...THE WHITE DRAGON'S WAKE...

INTRODUCTION 

TYPES OF          AVALANCHE 

THE MECHANISM OF AVALANCHE RELEASE 

FORECASTING SNOW AVALANCHES 

AVALANCHE CONTROL TECHNIQUES 

AVALANCHE HAZARD RATINGS 

AVALANCHE TRAINING FOR DOGS 

INFO ON THE PAGE OWNERS 

 

 

Forecasting Snow Avalanches 
  • Why forecast and how do we do it?
Although the general features of snow instability are known, many details of avalanche formation are not clearly understood. Forecasting snow avalanches is therefore largely an empirical art based on accumulated experience. Known physical and mechanical principles of snow behavior provide a qualitative understanding of avalanche origin, but quantitative extension of these principles to specific situations is difficult,, for nature presents too many variables to allow exact calculation of snow stress and strength variations with time. The precise time a given slope will avalanche cannot be predicted, but the general degrees of instability in a given area can be estimated with reasonable accuracy.  

  There are two basic methods of anticipating avalanche hazard. One is the examination of snow cover structure for patterns of weakness, particularly those leading to slab avalanches. This method finds its greatest success in forecasting climax slab avalanches caused by structural weaknesses which may be evolved over a period of time and by a variety of weather conditions. The second method is analysis of meteorological factors affecting snow depositions. The latter is now successful in forecasting direct action soft slab avalanches which run in fresh surface snow layers where structure is poorly differentiated. In practice the two methods overlap and both are used. Emphasis on one or the other depends on local climate,, snow type, and avalanche characteristics. Both apply principally to winter avalanches in dry snow; forecasting wet spring avalanches depends on knowledge of heat input to the snow surface as well as elements of the foregoing methods.  

   Referring to the picture on the left: 

Typical snow structure at the fracture line of a slab avalanche.Layers of new, partly metamorphosed and old snow are separated from an icy crust by a thin layer of very fragile depth hoar crystals. The profile of ram resistance at right indicates low strenght in the slab layer which slid away. 

  
Picture Gallery
In this section, you will get to see pictures of avalanches happening worldwide...dated from the 1900s... 
Maps of avalanche-affected areas
Click on the globe to see frequently hit places...
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