Chronology of the Asian Currency Crisis
and its Global Contagion
 

This Chronology of the crisis is based on information from several news sources (Reuters, AP, CNNfn, Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Financial Times, Bloomberg,etc.) 


Click here for summarised version

Click here for 1997

Click here for 1998 January-March

1998 April-June

Apr May June July


April
Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
      1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29 30    

Wednesday April 1.
  Stock markets throughout Asia lost ground on Wednesday as fears that the region's economic problems are deepening resurged and a last-minute dip on Wall Street overnight startled dealers.  Tokyo stocks ended weaker on Wednesday, erasing gains earned on the previous day as a result of what appeared to be government help and reflecting the weakness of the Japanese economy, brokers said.  The key 225-share Nikkei average fell 1.73 percent or 285.51 points to 16,241.66 on the first day of Japan's 1998/99 fiscal year. Nikkei June futures closed down 90 at 16,210. 
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 566 million shares, against 682 million shares on Tuesday.
"The Japanese economy is facing tough times and there is no clear, detailed scenario for its recovery. The share price fall today reflected such a state of the economy," said Okasan Securities strategist Akihiro Naemura.
"Usually, a new fiscal year starts in a bright mood with much hope. But 1998/99 started with triple weakness in stocks, bonds and the yen, although on a small scale," he added.
"The gains from window-dressing yesterday disappeared," Dai-Ichi Securities analyst Akishige Ishikura said, adding that the Nikkei may have fallen to a level which correctly represents the current weakness of the economy.
Gloomy media reports on Wednesday magnified investors' concerns over the future economy, particularly Japanese companies' financial health, while the yen fell to the 133.90 level, its lowest since mid-January.
Reports of a possible failure of non-bank Daiichi Corp. and major banks' plans to dispose of a huge amount of problem loans invited selling of bank, construction and other issues, they said.
Daiichi said after the market close that it had decided to prepare for dissolution and that its liabilities "significantly" exceeded its assets.
Investors also think that banks, to be weakened by the reported huge problem loan disposal, may cut their lending to firms in order to protect their health and, as a result some companies may face severe difficulties in raising funds.
"We may have to endure a weak market for some time," a trader at a foreign brokerage said.
The Bank of Japan's "tankan" quarterly survey of business sentiment to be released shortly before the market opening on Thursday is expected to be gloomy, brokers said.
  Hong Kong stocks closed sharply lower on Wednesday as end-of-quarter buyers dropped out of the market and regional economic worries loomed larger, brokers said.
A further adjustment in the Dow Industrials overnight would pull the index down further on Thursday, they added.
"We have just had a lack of buying today," Eric Lee, head of institutional sales at J&A Securities said. "The Japanese market has also been weak today with the end of the window dressing."
The Hang Seng Index sank 187.26 points, or 1.63 percent, to close at 11,331.42 but off the day's low of 11,291.78.
The index opened slightly lower and stayed submerged through the day as buyers and futures-related traders abandoned the market following the close of first quarter accounting books on Tuesday.
Turnover fell to HK$6.48 billion, down from Tuesday's HK$6.81 billion.
Most of the region's stock markets closed lower with Jakarta the hardest hit, down 3.7 percent to 521 ahead of its Wednesday close.
Brokers said they were concerned about Wall Street's late session adjustment on Tuesday and expected further weakness in the next session which could weigh on Hong Kong on Thursday.
The Dow Jones hit a session high of 8,898.96 then slid sharply to close just 17.69 points higher at 8,799.81
"And we could see Wall Street come down 100 to 200 points now that first quarter window-dressing is over," a local broker said.
Singapore's benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended 1.78 percent lower at 1,600.12 points on Wednesday after a sharp rally just before the close.
The unweighted 30-stock index reached an intra-day low earlier in the afternoon of 1,586.47, a drop of 2.6 percent.
"My guess is this close is artificial and it will come off again tomorrow," said one dealer. "Volume picked up as the prices fell in the afternoon. It's not looking that good."
Total market volume was 273 million shares with 352 falling and only 54 rising.



Thursday April 2.
    Waves of selling drove stocks sharply lower throughout the Pacific Rim on Thursday following the release of a Bank of Japan survey that indicated that corporate confidence in the Japanese economy had sunk to a dramatic low.  Tokyo's key 225-stock Nikkei average ended the second day of Japan's new fiscal year down 3.32 percent, or 538.76 points, at 15,702.90, its lowest close since mid-January. The first section turnover was 690 million shares against 566 million shares on Wednesday.  The fall was the largest drop since the beginning of 1998. The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) "tankan" survey released before the market opened showed plunging confidence at Japanese companies large and small, manufacturers and non-manufacturers alike in late March compared with the previous survey in December. "The impact was uniformly negative. The figure came out much worse than anybody had anticipated," said Pelham Smithers, a strategist at ING Barings Securities (Japan).  The Japanese yen dropped to 134 yen against the dollar in late afternoon in Europe after Sony chairman Norio Ohga said Japan's economy was verging on collapse.  "If there is no announcement of large income tax cuts soon, the Nikkei average could fall as low as around 15,000," Masatoshi Kikuchi, senior market analyst of Daiwa Institute of Research, said in a report.
Selling pressure was especially strong on some banks and builders whose share prices were lower than those of the other issues in their sectors, as investors thought the low prices reflected financial weakness.
The market's mood had already worsened since Wednesday when some firms, including major builder Shimizu Corp., said they would post huge losses and that non-bank institution Daiichi Corp. said it was preparing for special liquidation.
"What we're concerned about is that the business environment for companies with heavy debts will be pretty tough this financial year," said Kokusai Securities senior trader Kaoru Ichikawa, adding that although the data was bad, it was within market expectations.
Jesper Koll, chief economist in Tokyo for J.P. Morgan, said that the tankan confirmed that the Japanese economy had slipped into a very deep recession.
"We're just starting to see Japan's darkest hour," he said.
    Hong Kong stocks recovered some of their losses but were still sharply lower at the close on Thursday with sentiment hit by the hefty losses on Japanese stocks and the weak yen, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index fell 141.71 points, or 1.25 percent, to close at 11,189.71 after hitting a day low of 11,097.14.
"The market was dampened by a sharp fall on Japanese stocks and a weak yen which affected southeast Asian currencies," said Louis Tse, executive director at Standard Capital Brokerage. "Hong Kong has been due for a correction for some time so bears used these as excuses to sell down the market."
Percy Au-Young, sales director at DBS Securities, said there was concern that the weak yen might affect the stability of other Asian currencies.
"The Hang Seng could test the March low of 10,700 in the short term but Hong Kong stocks looked attractive at around the 11,000 level," he said.
Singapore's benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) closed down 1.97 percent at 1,568.60 points on Thursday after earlier hitting an intra-day low of 1,565.52.
Dealers said the fall in the Singapore market had been encouraged by a slide in other Asian markets amid increasingly disturbing signs over the prospects for the regional economy, particularly for Japan.
"There is great pessimism associated with the Japanese market," said Daniel Lian, head of Asian markets research at ANZ Bank in Singapore, adding that "The markets really don't believe the Japanese government can reboot the Japanese economy. The poor Japanese growth is going to pull Asian markets further into the doldrums."
Dealers said the STII had started badly as it broke a key support line at 1,600 points in early trade.
"Technically, we expect the index to track down towards 1,450 over the next month, month-and-a-half," said one dealer.



Friday April 3.
    News that Moody's Investors Service had lowered its outlook on Japan's sovereign debt rating on Friday reminded dealers throughout the Pacific Rim of that nation's economic despair and brought most major Pacific Rim stock markets lower.  The announcement by the U.S. credit rating agency that it had changed Japan's triple-A sovereign debt rating outlook to negative from stable pushed Tokyo's key 225-stock Nikkei average down into negative territory, crushing its attempts to rebound in early trading. The Nikkei fell 1.18 percent or 185.12 points to 15,517.78.
"Stocks were sold in a panic but they soon stabilized," Okasan Securities strategist Akihiro Naemura said.
Moody's announcement pushed down the yen as well as the Nikkei, with the dollar ending at 135.20 yen, its highest since September 1991. Dealers said the Bank of Japan had intervened in the currency market in relatively small amounts.
Brokers said the lowered debt rating would not have a negative impact directly on the stock market but its impact on the yen could affect stocks.
The market believes that the weakening of the yen and bonds may prompt foreign investors to sell yen-denominated assets, including stocks, brokers said.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 559 million shares against 690 million yen.
Many investors retreated to the sidelines in the afternoon session as they wanted to see how financial markets abroad would react to Moody's announcement, Hatae said.
Investor confidence in South Korea was badly shaken by the news from Tokyo, with the Korea Stock Exchange composite index closing at 434.45 points, down 4.23 percent, or 19.21 points. It has fallen almost 70 points in the past week.
Hong Kong stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, with traders growing skittish ahead of the long weekend by the Nikkei's continued losses.
The Hang Seng Index closed at 11,052.68 -- a loss of 137.03 points, or 1.22 percent - after hitting a session low of 10,952.52 points during the afternoon. Turnover was HK$6.33 billion compared with HK$6.93 billion on Thursday.
"Japan has been a problem for a long time," said South China Brokerage director Howard Gorges.
This week's disappointing "tankan" survey of business sentiment had put Japan's problems back under the spotlight, analysts said.
"People are worried that the weakness of the yen could allow other currencies in the region to slip again," said Gorges. "The fact that the weakness in the yen has resulted in a sharp rise in our interbank rates has inspired the stock market here and as we have not had any particular news to get the buyers back in lately, the market is trying to find the lower end of the trading range."
The benchmark three-month Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate was at 7.32 percent at the fixing on Friday compared with 6.66 percent on Thursday.
"We have had quite a significant increase in local interest rates since the Hong Kong Association of Banks cut the prime rate," said Nikko Research Center chief analyst Steven Thompson. "That has put a complete halt to any expectations that the next movement in interest rates will be down."
Hong Kong banks cut the prime lending rate by 0.25 percent to 10.00 percent effective last Monday.
Thompson said the Hong Kong market needed to correct the gains made over the first quarter of the year and Japan was being used as an excuse.
The Hang Seng lost 682.82 points, or 5.82 percent, over the week. Analysts expected it to trade in a range of about 10,500 to 11,200 points next week.
The market will be closed on Monday for the Ching Ming Festival and on Friday for Good Friday.
Singapore's key share index fell for the fifth straight day on Friday amid signs that several foreign funds were selling.
Dealers said some were cashing out of Asian stocks after a rally that pushed up many markets in February and March.
"Some investors have been a bit freaked by the falls (across Asia) in the last two days," said one local broker. "Every day this week we have seen selling picking up in the afternoon. That suggests much of the pressure is coming from Europe when dealers there get to their desks."
Singapore's benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended down 17.09 points, or 1.09 percent, at 1,551.51. Falls swamped gains by 311 to 81 as 296.5 million shares changed hands.
Dealers said the outlook for next week was uncertain. Some expected the market to stabilize, but the technical outlook remained bearish with some chart analysts seeing the STII falling well below 1,500 points and maybe testing 1,450.
    U.S. lawmakers put partisan differences aside Friday to lambaste the International Monetary Fund and its policies in Asia, making it clear that President Clinton's fight for IMF funding is far from over.  House Majority Leader Dick Armey, a Texas Republican, accused the IMF of encouraging "behavior that leads directly to financial and economic collapse," and said funding the lending agency would drain the federal budget. "If we vote this money, our budget surplus will vanish and we will again be in deficit," Armey said in a letter to House Republicans.  Top Democrats in the House, in a separate letter, called on the Clinton administration to get tough with Indonesian President Suharto, saying U.S. financial support for Jakarta and the IMF is at stake. The Clinton administration wants Congress to provide $18 billion to replenish IMF resources drained by three multibillion-dollar rescue deals for troubled Asian countries.  The Senate already has approved the funding request but the package has stalled in the House, where Democrats and Republicans have criticized IMF policies, particularly in Indonesia.
The second-ranking Democrat in the House, David Bonior, and 26 other lawmakers said in a letter to Clinton that the United States is too tolerant of human rights abuses in Indonesia.
Critics say the IMF's bailout for Jakarta has benefited Suharto and his family. They have accused the international lending agency of ignoring Indonesia's record of human rights abuses and history of corruption.
In their letter, the Democrats threatened to oppose U.S. financial support for Indonesia and the IMF unless Suharto agrees to improve political, religious and worker rights, and conditions in East Timor.
Armey argued that the IMF is too secretive and the $18 billion price tag too high.
"On its face, this is a request of breathtaking audacity," Armey said.
"What exactly the IMF will do with that money is obscure, as the secretive fund declines to release information on its plans, deliberations, or even its binding agreements with sovereign nations."
Armey said the House should take its time analyzing the IMF and its funding needs before voting, despite White House pleas for Congress to act quickly.
"We need to take the time to understand the full meaning of the president's proposal," he said. "Although there has been a wide assumption that we would act on the IMF request quickly, possibly the week we return, I believe it would be better to wait and debate this more fully."
The House has adjourned for its spring recess, lasting nearly three weeks. The Clinton administration has urged the House to vote when it returns. But Armey controls the schedule and could try to hold up the package.
Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, a Mississippi Republican, acknowledged Friday that negotiations with the House would take time.
He said a House-Senate conference committee would try to complete defense and disaster relief funding shortly after the recess. The IMF package might have to be considered separately, Lott added.



Monday April 6.
    Major Pacific Rim markets began their climb back up on Monday after sliding sharply last week, with the Australian exchange hitting new records and Tokyo reviving on new hopes for a strong economic reform package.
Hong Kong's stock market was closed on Monday for the Ching Ming festival and will reopen on Tuesday.
Tokyo stocks closed higher on Monday, as comments by Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto and other politicians eased market worries, to some extent, over the government's ability to deal with Japan's economic malaise, brokers said.
The key 225-stock Nikkei average rose 188.21 points or 1.21 percent to end at 15,705.99.
"It was consolidation after the market posted sharp declines on Thursday and Friday," said Hiroshi Arano, general manager at Dai-Ichi Kangyo Asahi Asset Management Co. Ltd. "But I can't say the market has been completely relieved," Arano said.
Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto said on Monday that he will convene the Fiscal Structural Reform Council as soon as possible after parliament enacts the 1998/99 budget to see what measures might be feasible for reviving the nation's economy, the world's second-largest.
Hashimoto also said that Japan will respond boldly and flexibly to changing domestic and international economic conditions.
Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is expected to flesh out its outline for the nation's upcoming economic package by the end of April.
Market participants are likely to keep adjusting their positions after the Nikkei average's tumble last week, waiting for details of proposals in the package, brokers said.
"The market is waiting to see the debate over economic steps, which is expected to start later this week," Okasan Securities chief strategist Tetsuya Ishijima said.
"The Nikkei 225 may be trapped in a 15,000-16,500 range for a while," said Masatoshi Sato, manager at Kankaku Securities.
Turnover was light at 388 million shares on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, against 559 million shares traded on Friday.
Singapore shares closed slightly weaker on Monday amid uncertainties in Asia and blue-chip selling from funds, dealers said.
"There's no new angle on things. The economic situation still looks bad," a bank-based dealer said.
Some overseas funds spent the day locking in gains from the rally that pushed up many markets in February and March.
The benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended down 1.58 points at 1,549.93.
    Indonesia won muted applause from global investors on Monday for moves to tackle its banking problems, but analysts remain skeptical about the depth of the reform process.  "The news is reasonably good but it's against a huge weight of negative impacts. . . . Investment will definitely remain on hold," said Graham Neilson, economist at Paribas in London.  Indonesia announced it was freezing the licenses of seven banks and placing seven others under the management of the regulatory Indonesian Bank Restructuring Agency.  Four of the seven banks whose licenses were frozen were controlled by friends and relatives of President Suharto, a fact which analysts at ANZ Investment Bank said made the move more significant. Suharto's past reluctance to implement reforms at the expense of his allies has been widely criticized.  Credit rating agency Standard & Poor's, in a statement issued in London, said the latest move was a "significant step" in the long-awaited consolidation of the banking industry.  But fund managers, who have steered clear of Indonesia despite this year's strong recovery in some other Southeast Asian stock markets, remained skeptical.
"The banking move is obviously positive -- but Suharto has lost so much credibility that to bring it back is going to require much more work," said James Hancocks of Guinness Flight Hambro Investment Management.
"I think it has got to the stage that the only way for the economic crisis to be resolved is for a change in leadership."
Guinness Flight Hambro sold its last Indonesian investments a couple of months ago.
Indonesian stocks are down 12.4 percent in dollar terms so far in 1998, despite bouncing off their January lows, according to the International Finance Corp. By contrast, regional stars Thailand and South Korea are up 50.6 and 34.8 percent respectively.
A monthly survey by Merrill Lynch, released on Monday, showed that Asia Pacific fund managers had grown less negative on Indonesia in the past month as optimism about the economic outlook for the region as a whole improved.
But those with a bearish view on Indonesia's stock market continued to outnumber bulls by 32 percent in April, down from 56 percent in March.
A new letter of intent on a revised IMF reform deal is expected as early as this week, though with safeguards built in to ensure action is taken before the second $3 billion installment of a rescue package is disbursed.


Tuesday April 7.
    Japan stocks were the Pacific Rim standout on Tuesday, with the Nikkei leaping nearly two percent as traders gained faith in the government's ability to revive the Japanese economy, but other markets in the region closed flat amid holiday doldrums.
Tokyo's key 225-stock Nikkei average gained 272.73 points or 1.74 percent to close at 15,978.72. June futures finished 280 points higher at 16,030.
Brokers attributed the jump in market confidence to expectations that the government may make bold moves to revive the economy after the 1998/99 budget passes on Wednesday.
"Ahead of the expected passage of the budget bill, people were willing to cover their shorts for now," said Seiki Orimi, manager at Dai-Ichi Securities Co. Ltd.
Finance Minister Hikaru Matsunaga said the Japanese government would consider what new economic steps should be taken following the enactment of the budget for fiscal 1998/99.
Trading volume was light, with many participants taking a wait-and-see stance, brokers said.
A planned mega-merger between Citicorp (CCI) and Travelers Group Inc. (TV), which spurred buying in the U.S. and European stock markets, did not have an immediate impact in Tokyo, even though it probably poses a threat to Japanese financial industry, they said.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, turnover was 396 million shares, little changed from 388 million on Monday.
Brokers said short-covering dominated the market as the dollar's fall to 134.80 yen from yesterday's 135.40 brightened market sentiment.
"Since yesterday, stocks have recouped a portion of the large losses they posted last week," said Keiko Kondo, strategist at Merrill Lynch Japan Inc. "But from this level, market players will wait for action from the government."
Hong Kong stocks treaded water on Tuesday to close largely unchanged with little news to trade on and with many investors on holiday, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index dropped 3.25 points, or 0.03 percent, to end at 11,049.43. Turnover shrank to HK$5.00 billion from Friday's HK$6.33 billion.
Brokers said they expected the market to stay under pressure in the short term with the focus on overseas markets.
"The longer people look at the market and question fundamentals, the longer I think people begin to realize that this rally has been driven by liquidity," said James Osborn, sales director at ING Barings. "And it would appear that some of that liquidity in the short term is drying up."
Ricky Tam, senior research analyst at Delta Asia Securities, said some investors thought the market was overvalued and were waiting for it to pull back further before jumping in again.
"The main support will be around 10,700 to 10,800," he said.
In Singapore, the stock exchange was shut on Tuesday for the Moslem Eid al-Adha holiday. It will reopen on Wednesday, but then close again Friday for the Christian Easter weekend. The Malaysian and Indonesian exchanges were also closed for Eid al-Adha.
In Seoul, the Korea Stock Exchange composite index closed up 5.43 percent, or 23.66 points, at 459.58, and the won closed at 1,435 per dollar against Monday's close of 1,473.  A South Korea Finance Ministry official said on Tuesday that the nation will delay the pricing of its first-ever issue of sovereign bonds until Wednesday.  "We decided to delay the pricing date by one day as there were a lot of questions, including concerns about the recent weakening yen from some investors, " the official said. "But there will be no further delay."  Optimism on Korea's debt issue was dampened last week after Moody's Investors Service said it had lowered the outlook for Japan's sovereign debt rating to negative from stable.  The lowered outlook sparked a sharp fall in the yen against the dollar.  The yen has stabilized since at about 134 yen per dollar, but concern about potentially renewed economic difficulties for Japan was seen as widening the spreads on Korea's bond issue.  "We are concerned (about) what kind of impact the recent weakness in the yen would have on investors' buying sentiment," said a senior finance ministry official who asked not to be identified.
"There were some foreign investors who said they would buy hundreds of million of dollars worth of bonds if we would offer 400 basis points over U.S. treasury bonds," he said. "Full subscription (of Korean bonds) is important to keep the nation's credibility. But interest rates are the most important for us."
Sources in New York said joint-lead managers Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Salomon Smith Barney Inc. offered price talk guidance of 350-365 basis points over comparable U.S. Treasuries for a five-year note and 360-375 basis points over Treasuries for 10-year paper.
The rates would be higher than a 10-year Eurobond issue by the Philippines last week at 337.5 basis points. Seoul and Manila have identical credit ratings: Ba1 from Moody's and BB-plus from Standard and Poor's.
"It's reasonable for some foreign investors to ask for high returns on bonds which still have some risk. But the rates can be lowered if Korea reduces the size of the issue," said a source close to the deal in Seoul.
He said Korea would decide the bond size in accordance with interest rates and the nation's foreign currency cash flow.
"It depends on our situation," he said.
South Korea has registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to sell up to $5 billion in bonds, but was widely expected to tap $3 billion.
"I think given what's happened in Japan in the last week or so, the Koreans will now concentrate very much on the $3 billion," said Graham Courtney, director at Asian Macroeconomics, SBC Warburg, Tokyo.
"They will concentrate, I think, on getting the size and price right rather than going for too much at this stage," he added. "[They hope] that later on this year, conditions will improve such that they can issue the balance on the $9 billion that they intend to issue."
South Korea has said it would issue $9 billion total in sovereign bonds.
Jwa Seung-hee, president of the Korea Institute of Economy, said it would be better for South Korea to push for the bond issue despite high rates.
"We need to attract more foreign currency in order to expand foreign currency reserves and to extend more export financing," Jwa said. "Exports are the best way to secure more foreign currency and to help the nation turn the corner. And then we can replace the debt later with more attractive rates."


Wednesday April 8.
    Major stock markets throughout the Pacific Rim ended higher Wednesday, with Hong Kong and Australian stocks soaring on residual banking sector interest and the Japanese surging on hopes that the government will enact tax cuts.
The Tokyo stock market's key Nikkei average closed up 2.49 percent or 397.90 points at 16,376.62.
The market's focus was on a rumored Thursday news conference by Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto following the enactment of the 1998/99 budget.
"Ahead of the news conference by Hashimoto, there was speculation of a (possible) corporate tax cut. This prompted those who had gone short to close their positions," said Kiyoshi Kimura, general manager of research department at Societe Generale Securities Ltd.
Brokers said that now that the regular budget has passed, Hashimoto should be free to begin detailing plans which will require at least one supplementary budget and which are expected to include corporate and income tax cuts.
"Investors are viewing enactment of the budget as a positive factor as it will allow the government to freely discuss the contents of its supplementary budget and economic steps," Okasan Securities strategist Akihiro Naemura said.
Stocks were also supported by expectations of stock purchases by public pension funds after the passage of the national budget, brokers said.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover was 447 million shares, up from 396 million shares traded on Tuesday.
The yen firmed against the dollar to trade at 133.00 from 133.36 on Tuesday.
Hashimoto was widely expected to say economic stimulus was more important at the moment than cutting the budget, and that he would convene a committee on Friday that could open the door to tax cuts, analysts said.
Japanese media said recently the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) planned to continue its two trillion yen special income tax cut in 1999 and was considering various tax reforms, including reform of the corporate tax.
Hong Kong stocks trimmed earlier gains but closed Wednesday sharply higher with index major HSBC Holdings in the fore following merger news between Citicorp (CCI) and Travelers Group Inc. (TRV), brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index surged 265.03 points, or 2.40 percent, to end at 11,314.46.
"If you look at the market today, turnover is not very strong and all focus is now on Hongkong Bank (HSBC Holdings)," said Kelvin Tang, analyst at ImPac Asset Management.
Turnover was moderate at HK$6.13 billion, of which HSBC accounted for HK$1.82 billion.
"People are trying to ride the wave," said Kent Rossiter, institutional sales manager at Nikko Securities. "If they can't see any progress in the next couple of weeks, I think they are going to lose patience."
Japan's bullish markets and news from Indonesia's talks with the International Monetary Fund injected additional optimism.
In Indonesia, the government said it had completed talks with the IMF on a revised reform package. Full details of the package will be released on Thursday.
Singapore shares gained in thin trade on Monday as investors kept a wary eye on regional developments and Japan's shaky economy.
Holidays shortening the week also sapped liquidity, with funds executing few trades and retail buyers staying shy.
"People thought things would settle down after corporate results but then Japan, the yen, started to look bad," a dealer with a local brokerage said, shrugging off Hashimoto's pledge to take "bold measures."
The key Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended up 23.16 points at 1,573.09.
"A lot of bad news is still coming from Malaysia. So far, it's just a sort of eye wash," another broker said, referring to news that a major Malaysian dam project might be indefinitely stalled.
    Indonesia said on Wednesday it had reached agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a new package of economic reforms and targets, which the IMF would watch closely to ensure compliance.  Indonesia's Coordinating Minister for Economics and Finance Ginandjar Kartasasmita said full details on the package would be revealed on Thursday after it had been reviewed by the IMF executive board.  Following a cabinet meeting of economic ministers, Ginandjar told a news conference that President Suharto had ordered the ministers to carry out the agreed reforms.  "The instruction from President Suharto in the cabinet meeting was that all commitments should be honored," he said.  The IMF said in a statement immediately after the news conference that the new agreement would be closely monitored to ensure compliance.  In addition, the IMF expected substantive action on the program before the agreement can be submitted to the Fund's executive board for formal approval within the next two to three weeks.  The board must approve the program in order to release a $3.0 billion balance-of-payments loan to Indonesia. The loan would in turn trigger the release of several billion additional dollars in assistance under the $40 billion bail-out package arranged by the IMF in October to help Indonesia out of its worst economic crisis in decades.  Ginandjar said there were three main differences from two earlier agreements with the IMF in October and January: plans for the IMF to coordinate and monitor the program, a full prior discussion with the cabinet, and measures to resolve corporate overseas debt.  He said the economy was expected to contract by four percent over the current fiscal year that started on April 1, compared to the zero growth predicted in January, and forecast that inflation would ease to 17 percent over the fiscal year, down from the January forecast of 20 percent and markedly lower than the 25.13 percent figure seen so far in 1998.  With IMF agreement, the government would continue subsidies on rice and soybeans, while fuel and power prices would be raised gradually.
In a January agreement, subsidies were to have been quickly eliminated and fuel and power prices were to have gone up this month. However, an IMF team agreed to the continued subsidies in order to protect the poor in the nation of 200 million people.
The collapse of the rupiah currency from the level of 2,400 to the dollar last July has triggered sharp increases in prices and unemployment, thrown most companies into technical bankruptcy and brought trade to a virtual standstill.
Ginandjar said the new agreement with the IMF was aimed in part at stabilizing the rupiah and containing inflation.
The rupiah was stable around 8,525 to the dollar early on Wednesday afternoon, while the stock market reacted positively to the announcement, ending the day up 3.89 points at 530.03.
Analysts were not surprised by the agreement.
"No surprises here," said Sani Hamid, an analyst with MMS/Standard & Poor's in Singapore. "This is mostly within expectations with nothing out of the ordinary. The growth forecast is probably in line with market views. Many had expected minus five percent or even less."
Charles Phoa, an analyst with DBS Securities in Jakarta, said the stock market had largely reacted positively to the news. "But it's likely to be cautious optimism as players . . . wait for tangible results," he added.
The IMF team had discussed five areas with the government: financial and banking reform, monetary policy, the budget and subsidies, structural reform and private foreign debt.  Banking reform and the debt crisis are regarded as key elements in restoring confidence in the economy and currency.  Ginandjar said Indonesia would follow a Mexican model in settling the corporate debt problem, which banking sources said totaled at $74 billion.  International banks representing creditors are due to meet in New York to discuss the issue this month.  On other reforms, Ginandjar said the government would stop granting monopoly privileges, often granted in the past to favor members of Suharto's own family and close associates.  He said a new bankruptcy law was needed and a government decree would be issued initially.  The government also planned to raise funds by selling its stake in five listed companies and floating seven state-owned firms in the current fiscal year.
Ginandjar said the government planned to help small- and medium-sized businesses hard-hit by the economic crisis through subsidies and lower interest rates, but warned that there would be no bail-out or subsidies for deeply indebted companies.
Back to April calendar

Thursday April 9.
    Eager for confirmation that the Japanese government would cut income taxes, Tokyo stocks ended moderately higher on Thursday, giving markets throughout the Pacific Rim a welcome if weary lift before a long holiday weekend.  Although the announcement that Japan would release 10 trillion yen in fresh real spending as part of a stimulus package -- including four trillion yen in income tax cuts - came after the close of trading in Tokyo, sentiments were optimistic throughout the session, brokers said.  The key 225-share Nikkei average climbed 160.04 points or 0.98 percent to close at 16,536.66. Nikkei June futures rose 190 points to 16,570.
The yen firmed substantially, trading at 133.11 against the dollar.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover was a light 375 million shares, down from 447 million shares traded on Wednesday.
Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto said shortly after the end of Thursday trading that his government will cut income taxes by a total of four trillion yen ($30.5 billion) as part of the stimulus package.  But some said the reported plan would fall short of creating a long-term bullish trend in the stock market.
"The report helped the stock market post some gains, but I don't think the only two trillion yen additional cut [for 1998] will boost the Nikkei average further," said Kenji Karikomi, deputy general manager at Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
He said such temporary cuts in the income tax would help increase savings but not boost consumer spending.
Brokers said the market wanted to see if Hashimoto would pledge a quick revision of Japan's fiscal reform act, a law requiring the Japanese government to stick to a tight spending policy which has made it difficult for it to take bold economy-boosting steps.
"We are not sure if the Nikkei average will top the 17,000 level tomorrow," said Masatoshi Sato, manager at Kankaku Securities Co. Ltd.
    Hong Kong stocks closed Thursday slightly higher but brokers said the market lacked firm direction as it moved into low gear ahead of the four-day holiday weekend.
The Hang Seng Index added 27.56 points, or 0.24 percent, to end at 11,342.02. Turnover was a meager HK$5.69 billion against Wednesday's HK$6.13 billion.
Brokers said the market drew strength from derivatives-linked trading ahead of the long break with movements exaggerated by slim volumes.
The blue-chip index was expected to trade in a tight range in the short term as investors looked for guidance in overseas markets.
"I don't see any breakthrough on the upside," said Frederick Tsang, strategist at BNP PrimeEast Securities.
He added institutional investors did not find the Hong Kong market so attractive at current levels.
In South Korea, the main stock index rose 12.58 points to close at 468.11, a 2.77 percent gain. The rise was fed in part by the success of an overseas bond sale.  Singapore blue chips were in demand on Thursday ahead of the long Easter weekend.  A new agreement on reform between Indonesia and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Wednesday lent only marginal support, as it had been expected and factored in.  "The IMF deal is not materially different from what we saw before," a bank based dealer said.  The Straits Times Industrials Index closed up 20.96 points, surging 1.33 percent to end at 1,594.05.
However, in neighboring Malaysia, the Kuala Lumpur composite index soared on the IMF news, gaining 1.75 percent, 11.65 points, to end at 675.93.
    South Korea said on Thursday it was preparing to issue another $1 billion of sovereign bonds next month after a rousing reception given to its $4 billion debut this week.  The finance ministry also said it may cut back the planned total issue of $9 billion in sovereign debt this year if the nation's overseas currency situation improved.  Analysts said the stunning debut of the initial offering had encouraged the government to advance its issuance schedule.
"Following the successful launching of $4 billion in sovereign bonds, we plan to issue a further $1 billion in bonds next month," a finance ministry official said.  South Korea was considering issuing the $1 billion in Eurobonds, he said, adding that Korea would issue the remainder of its debt in $1 billion increments in various types of bonds including Eurobonds, Samurai bonds and floating rate bonds.  South Korean state-run banks would separately seek syndicated loans, the official said.  "We forecast $500 million in syndicated loans would be sought by each state-run bank," the official said.  Offered in New York, the $4 billion issue was heavily oversubscribed as international investors scrambled to buy into South Korea's recovery.  South Korea placed $3 billion of 10-year paper at 355 basis points over comparable U.S. Treasuries and $1 billion of five-year notes at 345 basis points over.  The $4 billion sovereign issue would boost the nation's usable foreign exchange reserves to $29 billion, up from a little more than $25 billion at present.
Analysts said the overwhelming demand for the initial bonds had encouraged the government to hasten its plans.
"The government thinks it's the right time to unload more bonds now after receiving a good response on the initial sovereign bonds," said Ken Lee, head of research at ING-Baring Securities. "The reaction to another $1 billion in bonds would be good, as seen in the first issues."
In fact, observers noted that the response to the initial offering was so favorable that the spread on future offerings may narrow compared to the relatively wide premium on the initial bonds.
"The rates were quite high this time due to the unexpected fall of the Japanese yen," said Oh Moon-suk, research director of LG Economic Research Institute.
"But if the yen and the Korean won remain stable in May, the rates may fall slightly," he said.
Bankers in London said on Wednesday that Korea's ability to raise $4 billion on the international bond market was testimony to confidence in a country which stood on the brink of economic collapse at the start of this year.
They said expectations that the country's long-term overseas currency debt ratings would be raised from speculative to investment grade within one year had underpinned demand.
But analysts in Seoul said such optimism was premature.
"We cannot hope for an upgrade in ratings based on oversubscription in sovereign bonds alone," said Lee of ING-Barings. "Korea still faces a high risk of crisis in its debt-ridden corporate sector."
    Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers Thursday called Japan's initiative to cut taxes by $30.5 billion "a constructive step."  Summers told CNNfn's "Moneyline with Lou Dobbs" how and when Japan carries through stimulus measures was particularly important.  Summers also emphasized the need for Japan to revise its fiscal policy, straighten out its financial sector and further deregulate its economy.  Here are excerpts from that interview.
    DOBBS: Is Japan doing enough?
SUMMERS: I think it's a constructive step, and what will be crucial is how and when Japan carries through on these measures, when we see all the details both on the tax side and -- as the prime minister [Ryutaro Hashimoto] also indicated in his statement -- on the expenditure side on the public investment to stimulate the economy.
And the extent of these measures will be important. But equally important will be fiscal policy, especially as it relates to working through Japan's difficult problems in its financial sector and continuing the hard work of deregulating and opening the Japanese economy. It's these things -- expansionary policy, fixing the financial system, deregulation and openness -- that we see as really crucial and they're mutually reinforcing. The more they do of each one of them, the more the others will be effective.
DOBBS: It is in some ways extraordinary to watch a country of Japan's size and sophistication being dictated to, or at least there's seemingly an attempt to dictate economic policy to them. You're not confident that the Japanese government has the good judgment to stimulate an economy that is stagnant, to make institutions more transparent, and to suffer in terms of their capital and their balance sheets.
SUMMERS: It's not our place to dictate economic policy to Japan, but I think you'll find that countries always comment on the policies of other countries when they're having an important effect on the global economy. Just as Japanese and European officials were an important source of pressure with respect to our budget deficits a few years ago, making very clear the concerns that they thought those budget deficits raised.
So too, we thought it was appropriate to make clear the concerns that we have with the economic situation in Japan, but Japanese policy is obviously made by Japanese officials.
DOBBS: Surely. The markets always make some judgments as well, and the judgments so far in the announcement of the $30 billion -- $15 billion installments over two years -- is really saying this isn't nearly enough, right?
SUMMERS: Well, we'll have to see what happens. The tax cuts are one piece. There are also expenditure increases through public investment that were referred to in the prime minister's announcement. And we'll have to see how markets and the Japanese economy respond over time because ultimately what we found is that markets fluctuate, but what's really important is the fundamentals of economies. If they work to strengthen the fundamentals, markets will work out.
DOBBS: Well, the markets have also been studying IMF policy and the U.S. policy as well as Indonesian policy and obviously some problems remain in the judgment of the markets at least in relation to Indonesia. Give us your assessment of the new agreement with the International Monetary Fund.
SUMMERS: I think that the IMF and Indonesia have come together on something which I think has the potential to be very constructive, but from this point, what's really crucial is what the Indonesians do to implement it. Markets and the Indonesian citizens will be very carefully watching the steps they take and if they can carry through on curbing monopolies, maintaining limits on the amounts of credit they provide and their troubled banks and very highly indebted corporations, I think there's the potential to see real improvement over time.
But it's really up to the Indonesians and their policy choices. It's very important to reinforce steady progress, because it will be a while before the first IMF disbursement of resources and then the IMF money will be provided in a way that's measured with the amount of progress that the Indonesians make.
DOBBS: That first tranche will come soon?
SUMMERS: Yes. I would expect it to come in a matter of weeks.
DOBBS: Give us your best assessment of the situation now in Asia. Is the crisis behind us? Have its effects been mitigated as a result of the IMF and the steps taken by the governments in that region?
SUMMERS: I think we've seen very real progress, but obviously risks remain, which is why it's so important that we in the United States provide financial support to the IMF -- our crucial insurance policy for [protecting] our interests.


Friday April 10.
Tokyo stocks fell in early morning trade on Friday, partly in reaction to Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto's speech on the economy late Thursday.  Brokers said that shares fell on profit-taking after recent gains and also because investors think the steps mentioned in Hashimoto's speech may not be enough to strongly boost the economy.  The key 225-share Nikkei index was down 0.77 percent, or 126.57 points, at 16,410.09 in early trade.
Nikkei June futures were down 120 at 16,450. The speech, made after the market closed on Thursday, marked the government's clear shift in priority to economic stimulus from cutting the budget and included income tax cuts of four trillion yen.
"The announcement will not become a factor in spurring active buying although it will make investors reluctant to sell shares actively," a trader at a major securities house said.
Brokers said that stocks are expected to fluctuate in a range of 16,200 and 16,800 on Friday as investors try to determine the future direction of the market.
Meanwhile, Japan's top financial diplomat, Eisuke Sakakibara, said he expects the yen and Tokyo share prices to rise as a result of government economic policies and currency intervention.
The vice finance minister for international affairs told reporters that Japan "has done whatever is necessary" on the economic and currency fronts and that its "strong yen policy is unchanged."
Elsewhere in Asia, South Korean shares fell in early trade as the Seoul Composite lost 3.69 points or 0.79 percent at 464.42.
Stock markets in Hong Kong, Australia and Singapore were closed Friday.
 



Monday April 13.
    Japan and Singapore stocks ended lower on Monday in extremely quiet trade with overseas investors absent due to Easter holidays and domestic investors cautious ahead of a Group of Seven (G7) meeting to start on Wednesday.
The Hong Kong and Australian stock exchanges were closed for the Easter holiday, but both will reopen on Tuesday.
Japan's key 225-stock Nikkei average ended down 0.99 percent, or 163.54 points, at 16,317.58. Nikkei June futures were down 80 at 16,330.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 178 million shares against 333 million on Friday.
Investors were also cautious as they awaited the government allocation of public funds to trust banks and other financial institutions for investment in the new fiscal year. Brokers said the funds, expected to be distributed on Thursday, could alter market conditions.
Another factor in the lack of activity was the absence of overseas investors, long some of the main players in the Tokyo market, due to the extended Easter holiday.
"There were few foreign investors and the market was dominated by a wait-and-see mood," a futures dealer at a medium-sized brokerage said.
Orders placed for Japanese stocks through international brokerages before the market opened showed sell orders of 3.7 million shares against buy orders of 2.2 million shares.
Tokyo Securities general manager Kunihiro Hatae cited the upcoming Washington meeting of G7 finance ministers and central bank governors as a reason for the thin trade.
"Institutional investors especially wanted to see how the yen will move on the G7 meeting," Hatae said.
Bank of Japan governor Masaru Hayami told reporters after the market closed that the agenda at the G7 meeting will include currency and Japan's economic measures.
In currency exchange, the yen fell to 129.50 to the dollar, sinking from its weekend position of support in the low 128 range.
  Singapore shares slipped on Monday despite a firm start, with property and bank shares providing the market with a firm backbone against deeper losses.
The Straits Times Industrials index closed down 7.14 points, 0.14 percent, at 1,586.91. Traders said that market players were locking in gains from a morning rally in which the index briefly recaptured 1,600 in an otherwise quiet session.
"The market seems quite firm though volume is light. There is a feeling that the index found a temporary bottom at 1,540 last week and it looks set to retest the 1,700 level this week," a broker with a Singapore firm said.


Tuesday April 14.
The Pacific Rim's major stock markets closed mixed on Tuesday, with Hong Kong and Australia spurred by renewed interest in the financial sector to end stronger after the long holiday weekend.  However, Tokyo stocks ended slightly lower after a quiet session due to new trading rules and caution ahead of a Group of Seven (G7) industrialized nations' meeting on Wednesday. The key 225-share Nikkei average lost 0.25 percent or 40.26 points to 16,277.32.
"Investors are waiting to see how the G7 meeting decides the future course of currencies and other markets," said Keiko Kondo, strategist at Merrill Lynch Japan Inc., adding that investors were particularly interested in gauging the G7 members' reaction to Japan's economic stimulus package unveiled last week. A meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors from the G7 nations will be held in Washington on Wednesday and it is expected to discuss currencies and Japan's economic measures.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 266 million shares, compared with 178 million on Monday.
"The market lacked the two most powerful players in recent sessions -- foreign investors and dealers at brokerages," Okasan Securities chief strategist Tetsuya Ishijima said.
Overseas investors were still scarce in the market after the Easter holidays. Orders placed for Japanese stocks through five global securities houses before the market opened showed sell orders totaled 4.9 million shares against buy orders of 4.6 million shares.
A trader at an overseas brokerage said that the turnover was small also because brokerages were not accustomed to a new system of bid and ask prices introduced on Monday.
"Systems at some brokerages have not yet been able to fully cope with the change. The brokers and their customers will need some time to get accustomed to the new rules," he said.
Under the new system, prices for some stocks are now quoted in smaller increments, with the aim of making it easier for investors to spot price movements and identify risks. Brokers said, however, that dealers and some individual investors may find it more difficult to take quick profits under the new system.
  Hong Kong stocks closed higher on Tuesday, fueled by index major and banking giant HSBC Holdings which took center stage following more bank mergers in the United States.
The Hang Seng Index rose 78.32 points or 0.69 percent to end at 11,420.34.
HSBC Holdings rallied HK$8.00 to HK$247.00 after hitting HK$249.00, its highest level this year. HSBC added 104.16 points to the blue chip index and accounted for more than a fifth of the total turnover.
"Generally, I think the view is that if we are seeing so many mergers going on, it does heighten the view that perhaps Hongkong Bank (HSBC) is cheaper in terms of valuation," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SocGen-Crosby Securities.
BankAmerica Corp and NationsBank Corp said on Monday they had agreed to merge in a US$60 billion stock swap, creating the largest U.S. bank.
Banc One Corp and First Chicago NBD said they had agreed to merge in a stock swap valued at about US$29 billion.
"Banking stocks in London or the U.S. are trading at around 3.5 times book value. Right now Hongkong Bank is still trading at around 2.9 to 3 times book value," said Ricky Tam, senior research analyst at Delta Asia Securities.
  Singapore stocks closed mostly weaker on Tuesday with real estate firms leading the fall, dealers and analysts said.
The Straits Times Industrials Index was down 1.60 percent or 25.36 points at 1,561.55. Activity was extremely thin.
"Property shares are being depressed by newspaper reports of below-cost launch prices and lackluster demand," one analyst said.
Analysts, however, shrugged off the weaker property share prices as daily fluctuations.
"I don't think one can read too much into daily price movements. There are values in some of these property counters. I believe their share prices have priced in the weak sector outlook," said one analyst.
Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea's Seoul Composite index closed down 27.26 points, dropping 5.51 percent to end the day at 467.63 as overseas investors stayed away from the market after the Easter weekend, dealers said.
"Foreigners are unlikely to come in a big way since they have already bought as much as they are capable of," said Chang Se-yang, a senior broker at Shinheung Securities.
Overseas investors had already purchased around 20 percent of South Korean stocks on a value basis, he said.


Wednesday April 15.
After a session characterized by directionless trading and lackluster spirits, major Pacific Rim stocks closed flat to lower on Wednesday, although lingering financial fever drove Sydney to another record high.  Tokyo stocks ended marginally firmer on Wednesday thanks largely to anemic buying of high-tech and blue-chip issues as traders hung back from the market until after a meeting of the Group of Seven (G7) industrialized nations. The key 225-stock Nikkei average ended up 0.14 percent, or 21.98 points, at 16,299.30 in a slight rebound after losses in the previous three sessions. Nikkei June futures ended up 50 at 16,350. Brokers attributed the rise to hopes that the government will allocate fresh money to public funds to use in supporting the Nikkei.
"Expectations of buying by public funds is keeping investors from selling. And high-tech issues and shares of industry leaders are attractive as they think public funds will buy those stocks," one broker said.
Buying of high-tech issues was encouraged by a newspaper report on Wednesday that major computer makers plan to release in late July personal computers (PCs) equipped with the Japanese-language version of Microsoft Corp.'s Windows 98.
The tech rally was also supported by a media report on Tuesday that the government was considering tax incentives for firms that buy PCs.
"Turnover was small but an increasing number of issues hit a year high. The market began to show positive moves," a trader at an overseas brokerage said.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was a light 301 million shares as many investors waited to see how currency exchange and other markets will move after the meeting of finance ministers and central governors from G7 nations to start later on Wednesday in Washington.
As investors already expect G7 members to urge Japan to work toward a domestic demand-led economic recovery, such a demand is unlikely to have a direct impact on the Tokyo stocks.
However, brokers said that any currency movement resulting from the conference could affect the Nikkei.
The dollar showed signs of slowing against the yen in late Tokyo trade on Wednesday, stabilizing at 129.50.
  Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Wednesday, pulled down by selling of blue chip properties and HSBC Holdings, and brokers expected the market's otherwise directionless trend to persist on Thursday.
"There is nothing I can see that would upset us or push us sharply one way or the other," said Gordon Crosbie Walsh, vice president at Salomon Smith Barney.
The Hang Seng Index closed 49.28 points, or 0.43 percent, lower at 11,371.06 after trading in a wide range during the day. Turnover was a moderate HK$7.20 billion, up from Tuesday's HK$6.69 billion.
The index recovered nearly 100 points in the afternoon, after being pulled down in the morning by investors cementing gains made by HSBC Holdings and other financial stocks earlier in the week.
"HSBC Holdings was the main culprit in the morning after it hit HK$250 in London overnight," said Crosbie Walsh.
In local trade, HSBC dipped HK$5.00 to a low of HK$242.00 in the morning, then climbed back to close unchanged at HK$247.00 on heavy turnover of HK$1.14 billion.
The share was bid up on Tuesday in the belief that the banking giant would seek to maintain or improve international competitiveness by buying another U.S. banking entity.
Singapore stocks were mostly weaker on Wednesday with sentiment weighted down by nagging regional concerns and the absence of major investment funds from the market.
By early afternoon, the Straits Times Industrials Index had broke its near-term support of 1,550, only to fall further to close at 1,543.94, down 17.61 points or 1.13 percent. Total market volume was a paltry 45 million shares.
Dealers saw the index finding its next support at 1,400.
"There is a dearth of good news to trade on. Overnight orders from Europe or the United States are quite thin," lamented a trader.
Trading was expected to stay lackluster as funds poured money into the more lucrative western markets.
"But those markets are heading towards dangerously high levels," a dealer noted. "One can expect some profit-taking there and hopefully, funds will return to Asia. But then again, not necessarily to Singapore."
In neighboring Malaysia, the Kuala Lumpur Composite index closed down 20.22 points, plunging 3.04 percent at 644.62.


Thursday April 16.
Markets throughout Asia took a beating Thursday after renewed weakness in the yen and general worries over the region's economic future left investors without much incentive to buy.  In Tokyo, the key Nikkei average dropped below 16,000 to close down 2.55 percent at 15,883.77, unnerved by a falling yen triggered by accelerated selling after a meeting of the Group of Seven (G7) industrialized nations.  Brokers said that even though some details of Japan's latest economic stimulus package were expected to be unveiled next week, the forthcoming announcement had so far failed to completely restore investors' confidence in the economy. Large and persistent sell orders at the 16,400 level in the futures market - a recent staple in Tokyo -- further dampened market sentiment.  Initially, the statement issued by the G7 in Washington was not a major factor moving Tokyo stocks. Because it said that G7 members welcomed steps taken by Japan to stimulate its economy, the statement even restored the spirits of some investors in early morning.  But the stock market mood quickly deteriorated as the dollar climbed to above 131 yen in afternoon trade, brokers said. "After the dollar rose above 131 yen, selling intensified," Tokyo Securities general manager Kunihiro Hatae said. "Without a correction in the yen's value, an overall rise in share prices will be unlikely."
"We now see a strong link between the yen's weakness and stock falls," a trader at an overseas brokerage said.
Investors are increasingly nervous about currency exchange movements, viewing yen falls as a signal for possible sales of yen-denominated assets by the global investors who have recently been major players in Tokyo's stock market.
In overnight trading, the yen was falling freely, dropping to 131.34 yen to the dollar from 129.93.
Brokers said light turnover magnified the impact of selling on the cash market on Thursday. Turnover on the exchange's first section was 418 million shares, against 301 million shares on Wednesday.
There was some buying in early morning trade, probably by public funds, but the effect of such buying weakened later due to persistent selling in the futures market, Daiwa Securities deputy general manager Kenji Karikomi said.
Brokers said the futures sell orders were placed in connection with past buying. Some said the orders were related to the use of public funds for massive stock buying at the end of March that was aimed at lifting share prices, while others said the orders were placed by hedge funds.
Brokers expect the market to stay weak for some time.
Hong Kong stocks slumped to a sharply lower close on Thursday, haunted by weaker markets in Japan and investors cashing out of index heavyweight HSBC Holdings, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index trimmed earlier losses but still ended down 183.28 points, or 1.61 percent, at 11,187.78 after hitting a low of 11,110.59. Brokers expected the blue chip index would test 11,000 in the short term.
"We still have to see whether the index can hold the 11,000 support level," said Eugene Law, director at Lippo Securities. "If it breaks through, actually the chartists suggest it will go down to 10,000."
Turnover dipped to HK$6.98 billion from Wednesday's HK$7.20 billion.
Futures closed at a discount to the spot market with the April Hang Seng Index contract off 230 points at 11,080 after dropping to a low of 11,020.
Falling markets elsewhere in the region depressed sentiment further. In Seoul, stocks finished the day down nearly three percent, falling 13.72 points at 454.15, while the key index in Malaysia also was down nearly three percent, 15.28 points lower at 629.34.
"People felt like they had to get back in these markets in the first quarter and now they really pull back," said Glenn Lesko, head of sales at ABN-Amro Hoare Govett Asia Securities.
The market fell on the heels of HSBC Holdings which lost HK$9.00 to HK$238.00 as merger speculation began to run out of steam, brokers said.
John Strickland, an executive director of HSBC, had said Wednesday that HSBC Holdings has not altered its expansion plans as a result of the recent mergers between U.S. banks.
Fears of more corporate failures in Malaysia spooked Singapore stocks on Thursday and the Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) fell 1.86 percent, or 28.79 points, to 1,515.15.  Given the close economic and trade links between Singapore and Malaysia, confidence was shaken after MBf Capital, which owns Malaysia's largest finance company, announced its first ever net loss.  The Malaysian firm reported a net loss of 566.4 million ringgit for the 1997 fiscal year against a net profit of 299.53 million ringgit previously.  In the first hour of trade in Singapore, MBf shares fell about 13 percent, or 7.5 Singapore cents to S$0.49. Trade was an active 9.5 million shares as investors cashed out after the dismal results.  Malaysian shares traded over the counter (OTC) accounted for about half of the 68.6 million shares changing hands in early dealings.  Dealers said there was a fear that as many as 100 Malaysian companies could be potential candidates for receivership.

  Financial leaders of the Group of Seven industrial nations appeared to give little support on Wednesday to Japan's drive to bolster its weakening currency, saying it needed to reform its economy to solve its problems.  In a communiqué issued after their meeting, the G7 members welcomed steps taken by Japan to stimulate its economy, which would help to correct the excessive weakness of the yen. "We emphasized that it is important to avoid excessive depreciation where this could exacerbate large external imbalances," they said, echoing almost word-for-word a statement issued at their previous meeting in February. But in Wednesday's statement they added a sentence urging Japan to implement quickly a strong program of fiscal measures and structural reforms. "In light of this, we support appropriate steps by Japan aimed at stimulating domestic demand-led growth and reducing external imbalances, thus also correcting the excessive depreciation of the yen," they said, repeating exhortations made by several G7 finance ministers over the past few months.
The lack of strong verbal support for the yen helped to bolster the value of the dollar against the unit, with some dealers interpreting the statement as showing Tokyo may receive little help in propping up its currency.
Jens Munster at Westlb Research in Tokyo said: "My reading is that the story is we can still expect a stronger dollar...the Bank of Japan will stay in the game and will intervene, but I think we have heard it all before.
"It's a relatively noncommittal statement and the focus is on an orderly strengthening dollar," Munster said.
The G7 comprises the United States, Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan. Japan was the focus of this meeting, as the world's number two economy, and the communiqué noted that challenges facing it "are serious and have intensified in recent months."
In contrast, it said strong expansion continued in North America and in Britain.
The communiqué said growth in Germany, France and Italy "gained momentum in 1997 and is expected to strengthen further this year."
The G7 members said they welcomed progress toward restoring financial stability in crisis-wracked Asia and were encouraged by signs capital markets were being restored in some countries.
The communiqué urged Indonesia, now receiving a huge international bail-out, to move "fully and vigorously" to implement reforms.
 
    Nearly 14,000 union workers at South Korea's Kia Motors Corp. began a three-day strike Thursday, and hundreds blocked the company's court-appointed administrator from taking up his new post.  Production was halted on all Kia Motors assembly lines as workers downed tools to protest against the possible sale of the troubled automaker, union and company officials said.  Kia union president Ko Jong-hwan said the strike would continue until Saturday and the government would have until April 24 to state its position on a takeover.  "We are on full strike until Saturday," Ko told a news conference called by the Korean Metal Workers Federation, which includes the country's main auto-related unions.  "Unless the government makes clear by the 24th that it will rule out a takeover of Kia Motors, we will be forced to make a serious decision," Ko said without elaborating further.  "These strikes are a warning to the government against any takeover of Kia," warned Dan Byung-ho, president of the metal workers federation.
Separately, union members surrounded Kia Motors headquarters in Seoul's financial district to block the entry of Yoo Chong-yul, the man appointed administrator of Kia Motors by Seoul District Court on Wednesday.
Dozens of posters of Yoo were posted around the Kia building to make sure he did not sneak in, and workers chained and padlocked themselves to the doors. A scuffle broke out when Yoo tried unsuccessfully to push his way through.
"If he has come to Kia, we would like him to clearly state what his plans are," Ko said. "Is he coming to help with a takeover or to revive Kia? Until he clearly states this, we cannot let him in."
Seoul District Court put Kia Motors and sister company Asia Motors into receivership on Wednesday, and appointed Yoo administrator. Yoo said no decision had been made on whether Kia would be sold.
Kia workers had asked the court to also appoint company president Park Je-hyuk as an administrator to ensure the company's and workers' interests were represented during the receivership process.
Kia union members have said the appointment of an outsider to manage Kia during the receivership process was an indication of the government's intent to allow a takeover.
News of the strike sent Seoul stock prices tumbling. The composite index closed down nearly 3 percent at 454.15 points on Thursday.  "There are growing concerns that the Kia strike could blow into a nationwide strike," said Lee Kye-joon, a broker at Daishin Securities.
Kia workers were to rally in downtown Seoul in the afternoon, with additional rallies planned on Thursday, Friday, April 22 and May 1, the statement said.
Analysts said a takeover by a Korean automaker in partnership with a foreign automaker was inevitable and the best solution for Kia Motors and the country.
"A strike is the only way Kia's union can make its feelings known, but at the moment power is not in their hands," said Lee Jung-ja, head of research at HSBC James Capel in Seoul.
"Most South Koreans have changed their attitude and they know a takeover is best," she said.
The Hyundai, Daewoo and Samsung groups have either said directly they were interested in Kia or hinted at it.
The previous government's inability to resolve the problems of Kia Group, formerly ranked eighth among the country's big business conglomerates, is blamed for the country's foreign-exchange crisis. South Korea last December was forced to accept a humiliating $58.35 billion bailout from the International Monetary Fund after global bankers shut off credit lines and called in loans.

Friday April 17.
    Pacific Rim stocks ended substantially weaker on Friday due largely to growing pessimism over the likely effectiveness of Japan's upcoming stimulus steps to salvage the region's troubled economy, brokers said.  Prompted by market rumors, the dollar rose to above 132 yen in early afternoon, in turn pushing the Tokyo market's key Nikkei average sharply lower. But buying from sources that may be public funds quickly won back much of the lost ground. The 225-share Nikkei average closed down 1.13 percent, or 179.97 points, at 15,703.80. The index had fallen as low as 15,464.80 at one point in the afternoon.
Nikkei June futures ended down 100 at 15,750 after having at one point fallen as low as 15,470.
"Rumors moved the currency market, and the foreign exchange moves hit futures and then the cash market," said Yasuo Ueki, general manager of Nikko Securities.
Brokers said the yen's sharp fall came as an additional blow to the stock market, as investors were already pessimistic about the government's economic stimulus plans. A wide range of issues, including blue-chips, were sold, they said.
"We are becoming worried about whether the government's economic stimulus package will brighten prospects for the economy," said Okasan Securities chief strategist Tetsuya Ishijima.
The yen's drop was prompted by rumors circulating in the foreign exchange market that U.S. credit rating agency Standard & Poor's Corp. (S&P) was considering taking negative rating action on Japan, currency dealers said.
S&P later told Reuters it had taken no action on its Japan ratings.
Stock market investors have become increasingly nervous about currency movements, viewing yen falls as signals for possible sales of yen-denominated assets by the overseas investors who have recently been major players in Tokyo stocks.
A trader at an international brokerage said there had been sporadic large-lot selling by global investors.
Brokers said the Nikkei's losses were swiftly trimmed by buying on dips, possibly from public funds.
"It must have been public funds if it could boost the index that quickly," said one broker.
"They came into the market in a great hurry so that the Nikkei would not fall further," another broker said.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 440 million shares, against 418 million shares on Thursday.
"The Nikkei may have fallen as a signal that the market wants to see meaningful measures, and we now have a slight hope that we may be able to see measures that will please the market," said Tokyo Securities general manager Kunihiro Hatae.
Hong Kong stocks dropped to a sharply lower close on Friday as investors' confidence was dented by a weak yen and shaky overseas markets, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index came off earlier lows but ended Friday down 186.46 points, or 1.67 percent, at 11,001.32. The blue chip index fell as low as 10,876.00 during the day.
"We are very much stuck in a trading range which I would say is about 10,200 to about 11,700. I see no reason why we should break that range," said James Osborn, sales director at ING Barings. "I would argue fund managers are still very weighted to Hong Kong compared to the other markets."
Japan cast a bearish shadow over the market as brokers said investors feared the Tokyo stock market still had a substantial downside before it would stabilize.
Overnight losses on Wall Street and London helped to strangle any optimism. The Dow industrials lost 0.94 percent to 9076.57.
Turnover picked up to finish at HK$8.16 billion compared with Thursday's HK$6.98 billion.
Against the backdrop of a surging economy, the U.S. trade gap exploded to near-record levels in February as exports fell to their lowest level in a year, the Commerce Department reported.  The trade deficit expanded 4.2 percent to $12.11 billion from a revised $11.6 billion in January. Economists had estimated a deficit of $11.8 billion.
The February figure was the highest reading since the department began tracking the data on a monthly basis in 1992. However, the highest monthly average on a quarterly basis came in the fourth quarter of 1987, when the gap reached $12.9 billion.  "Finally you're starting to see some of the filtering of the Asian problems a few months ago in terms of swelling deficits with Japan," said Maria Ramirez, international economist.  With exports to Japan reaching a new three-year low, the trade gap with the world's second-largest economy rocketed 21.4 percent in February to $5.29 billion, the highest reading since October 1997. But the deficit with China eased 17.5 percent to $3.5 billion, a level not seen since April of last year.
The latest figures provide further evidence for American officials to increase pressure on Japan to revive their moribund economy. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin won endorsement of this view at a meeting this week with America's six largest economic allies. But Japanese officials told the group they believe their new stimulus package of tax cuts and increased spending -- the fifth such program since last October -- will do the trick.
In an effort to deal with the trade deficit, Clinton administration officials have turned to Japan with hopes of transforming the island nation into the growth engine of Asia, which was hard-hit last year when countries such as South Korea, Thailand and Indonesia experienced severe currency devaluations.
To be sure, the trade gap with many of those countries did not get worse but actually improved in February. The deficit with Korea narowed 31.1 percent, while the shortfall with Indonesia shrank by 8.2 percent.
Other bright spots in the latest figures came in America's dependency on imported oil. Thanks in large part to a four-year low in crude oil prices, shipments plunged 16.2 percent to $4 billion in February.
Overall, imports totaled $89.12 billion while exports slipped to $77.01 billion. For the first two months of 1998, the deficit was running at an annual rate of $142 billion, far surpassing last year's nine-year high of $113.7 billion.
Meanwhile, President Clinton was forced to go to Santiago, Chile, this week without congressional authorization for new free trade agreements. His request for so-called fast-track authority is stalled in Congress by determined opposition from labor groups.



Monday April 20.
 Asia stock markets had mixed results Monday as continued economic concerns in Japan muted optimism generated by Wall Street's Friday rally.  A wait-and-see attitude pervaded in Asia's top stock market Monday as Japanese investors waited for the details of the government's economic stimulus package, set to be released later this week.
Asian stocks overall brushed off cues from a late-day rally Friday on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrials gained 90 points to a new record close at 9167.50.  Tokyo stocks closed nearly flat amid caution about last week's economic package, which is to come to light later this week. Traders said downward pressures were still present.
Volume was light and trading hovered in a narrow range as the Nikkei average fell 6.70 points, or 0.04 percent, to 15,697.10.
The U.S. dollar was virtually unchanged against the Japanese yen, up .03 to 131.75 yen to the dollar.
Traders said downward pressures weighed on Hong Kong's Hang Seng index this week, but the index still gained 150.31, or more than 1.3 percent, in moderate trading on Monday.
A better-than-expected government land auction in Hong Kong, which is expected to continue later this week, powered real estate issues higher Monday.
Stronger-than-expected trade data weren't able to prop up issues in Singapore Monday, as the Straits Times Industrials Index fell 4.76 points to 1510.39.
Australia's All Ordinaries Index rose 5 points to 2872.5, despite early weakness in banking issues. Concerns of a weak Australian dollar kept the gains muted.
Shares in Taiwan fell sharply, dragging down the island's promising technology sector, amid selling of electronics issues. The Taipei Index fell 217.38 points, or 2.49 percent, at 8,508.56.


Tuesday April 21.
    Pacific Rim markets ended mixed on Tuesday in noticeably light volumes as ominous economic data released in Tokyo and Hong Kong drove cautious investors to the sidelines and a lack of firm support from Wall Street further lowered sentiments.  Tokyo stocks gained modest ground on bargain-hunting by Japanese pension funds who have been ready to invest since the new financial year started on April 1, brokers said. But their purchases were a seasonal factor, with most investors cautious ahead of the government's economic stimulus package expected to be unveiled on Friday and of uncertainty over the nation's economic and corporate outlook, they said.
Overnight, the Dow Jones industrial average finished 25.66 points lower at 9,141.84, brought lower by investors cashing out of last week's record gains.
The key 225-share Nikkei average rose 128.57 points or 0.82 percent to close at 15,825.67. Nikkei June futures finished 50 points higher at 15,800.
Despite the pension fund buying, overall volume remained light at 311 million shares on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Monday's volume was 283 million shares.
Japan's economic indicators remained gloomy, causing the yen to remain weak despite the gains in the stock market. The yen rose only slightly against the dollar, to 131.54 from 132.23.
The Economic Planning Agency (EPA) said on Tuesday that Japan's diffusion index of leading economic indicators stood at 22.2 on a scale of 100 in February, well below the so-called "boom or bust" 50 mark for a fifth consecutive month.
Investors were mostly sidelined ahead of the government package, focusing on whether the government will change its tax policy to decide on permanent income tax cuts, a change that many investors think is necessary for economic recovery.
The package is to be worth more than 16 trillion yen, including four trillion yen in one-time income tax cuts, but brokers doubted that the package's contents would be enough to boost share prices.
Keiko Kondo, a strategist at Merrill Lynch Japan Inc., said the Nikkei was likely to be range-bound if the government did not demonstrate a different stance on fiscal reform in the package.
"If the trading volume remains slim like today, the Nikkei 225 may fluctuate due to pension fund buying," she said, adding that in any case market participants were more likely to hold off on investment until corporate earnings reports come out in April and May.
Hong Kong stocks slumped to close sharply lower on Tuesday on the heels of derivatives-linked trading, but brokers said the fall was exaggerated by the day's slim turnover.
The Hang Seng Index dropped 183.37 points, or 1.64 percent, to 10,968.26. Turnover remained lackluster at HK$5.75 billion compared with Monday's HK$5.26 billion.
"It is just a lack of interest in the market right now," said David Williamson, director at Indosuez W.I. Carr. "Futures have been trading at a discount for the last week and a half."
The April Hang Seng Index futures contract finished down 295 points at 10,855 while the May contract was off 270 points at 10,840.
"The big question mark is whether the long term support level should hold," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SocGen-Crosby Securities. "People will point to 10,800 as being support level."
Brokers said the market lacked firm direction with little news to spur cautious investors.
"A lot of people are more bear in the market than bull because the general economic situation in Hong Kong is not good," said Antony Mak, sales director at Vickers Ballas.
The fragile state of the economy was highlighted by unemployment figures released on Monday, brokers said.
The jobless rate soared to its highest level since 1995 in January-March, up 3.5 percent from 2.9 percent in December-February.
Index heavyweight HSBC Holdings dragged the market lower as it continued to ease after a strong performance last week on the back of news of bank mergers in the United States.
HSBC Holdings shed HK$6.00 to HK$229.00, accounting for 77.93 points of the Hang Seng Index loss.
Indonesia raised interest rates across the board Tuesday shortly before launching a series of reform measures agreed to with the IMF in order to get the country's battered economy moving.  A detailed reform program, agreed to with the International Monetary Fund on April 8, set specific targets and dates for implementing various phases of the plan.  Eleven measures are due to be in place by Wednesday, ranging from new amendments to the bankruptcy law to lifted restrictions on overseas investment in the wholesale trade and rescinded bans on palm oil exports.
Jakarta is also due to announce a series of banking measures and the establishment of a monitoring system on structural reform and, from Friday, the government will publish key monetary data on a weekly basis. Bank Indonesia raised key interest rates of central bank certificates (SBIS) by an average of 4.1 percentage points on Tuesday, the first major increase since March 23.  The government is desperate to return confidence to the rupiah currency and raise it to a level agreed to with the IMF of around 6,000 or better to the dollar and control soaring inflation.
However, the interest rate hike had little immediate effect, with the rupiah barely changed around the 7,850 level.
Indonesia turned to the IMF last October after the rupiah collapsed from its July level of around 2,400 to the dollar amid the economic typhoon that hit Asia.
After some false starts and backsliding by Indonesia on reforms in return for a bail-out of more than $40 billion, the IMF has imposed stringent conditions before making further payments.
Some economic analysts said that it was unlikely that every deadline would be met, and that they would in fact be highly suspicious if they were.
"Some of the things will be delayed because there is just more work here than was realized. There are practical difficulties, which is not backsliding," one banking analyst said. "But they can't afford backsliding. The new (Indonesian) economic team is smart enough to know that they are risking their political lives if there is any backsliding."
He added he would be suspicious that data were being faked if all went too smoothly.
President Suharto, elected last month at the age of 76 to a seventh 5-year term in office, has told his cabinet to push through all agreements with the IMF. The Fund in turn has said that it would require proof reforms were being implemented this time around.
"This is a plan where flexibility and adaptability are required," an economist said, adding that the government and the IMF were in daily contact over the program.
The IMF has still to set a date for a meeting of its 24-member executive board to finally approve the latest agreement and give the go-ahead for disbursement of a further $3.0 billion balance-of-payments loan.


Wednesday April 22.
    Markets in the Pacific Rim closed flat to lower on Wednesday in mostly quiet sessions marked by low volumes, narrow trading ranges and trader wariness ahead of the expected announcement of details of Japan's economic stimulus package.  Tokyo stocks closed slightly lower, but the downside was muted by a media report in the afternoon that fresh stimulus in the package was likely to be 12 trillion yen, about two trillion yen more than expected. The key 225-stock Nikkei average closed down 64.13 points, or 0.41 percent, at 15,761.54.
June Nikkei futures ended 70 points lower at 15,730.
"Shares prices have been drifting without direction throughout the session," said Masaaki Higashida, deputy general manager at Nomura Securities Co. Ltd.
The market failed to respond to a report by Fuji Television that fresh spending in the economic package may be larger than expected, brokers said.
"People can't sell off because fresh spending will be carried out, but the expected package is not giving us particular incentives to buy actively," Higashida said.
While new fiscal spending will push economic growth higher in the short term, there were worries that the expected package will not be enough to produce sustainable growth, brokers said.
Investors were also waiting for the outcome of a government panel meeting on Thursday, which will discuss revising the fiscal reform law, to see how it would affect the pump-priming package.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) remained light at 319 million shares, against 311 million shares on Tuesday.
The yen picked up strength from the comments, climbing to 130.58 from 131.54. Reaction was muted to remarks by Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Eisuke Sakakibara, known as "Mr. Yen" because of his ability to move currency markets, that Japan's economy is bottoming out and that it is unlikely the government will make permanent income tax cuts, brokers added.
Investors were reluctant to trade actively as they are waiting for corporate earnings results for the last business year and earnings forecasts.
"The market could be vulnerable to bad news from earnings results or from any retreat in U.S. stocks, since we're not sure of the potential effectiveness of the package," said Daiwa Securities' Kenji Karikomi.
  Hong Kong stocks closed flat on Wednesday in cautious trade after a government land auction failed to offer much guidance to the market, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index added 9.21 points, or 0.08 percent, to end at 10,977.47 and brokers said the market attracted neither bulls nor bears at current levels.
Turnover shrank to a quiet HK$4.59 billion from Tuesday's HK$5.75 billion.
"I still see the market as having a tendency to go lower, probably to 10,500 or even 10,000," said Percy Au-Young, sales director at DBS Securities. "But there is not enough negative news to push down the market to those levels."
Steven Thompson, chief analyst at Nikko Research Center (HK), said the market looked tired with little news to trade on.
"We are in a weak period," he said. "We think it (Hang Seng Index) should settle at around 10,000 or so and move sideways from there."
  Singapore shares drifted lower in quiet dealings on Wednesday with property stocks leading the losers.
Dealers said property stocks have come under pressure this week with strong volume in heavyweights like City Developments.
"Some funds are definitely selling CityDev. Other property stocks like KepLand and DBS Land have also been weak," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said.
The broader market also drifted lower with the benchmark Straits Times Industrials down 16.82 points, 1.13 percent, to 1,475.52.


Thursday April 23.
    Sentiments in Asia's biggest equities markets continued to be subdued on Thursday as the threat of renewed economic stagnation sidelined investors in both Tokyo and Hong Kong.  Tokyo stocks closed virtually unchanged on Thursday, with investors adopting a wait-and-see stance ahead of details of the government's economic revival package to be announced Friday.  The key 225-stocks Nikkei average pared modest gains and closed 0.15 point higher at 15,761.69. Nikkei June futures finished 20 points lower at 15,710
Brokers said the market mood was briefly lifted by the yen's recovery against the dollar, but growing expectations that the government will not announce any surprising news in the package caused the rally to run out of steam.
"Unless we see a fiscal reform meeting and announcement of the package, as well as the U.S. government reaction to the outcome, we can't budge in the stock market," said Tetsuya Ishijima, chief strategist at Okasan Securities Co. Ltd.
The meeting of Japan's fiscal reform council originally scheduled for Thursday morning had been postponed. Brokers said they expect the meeting to be held on Friday before the government announced the package's details.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover was light at 323 million shares, up marginally from 319 million on Wednesday.
The dollar was at 130.24/34 yen, down from 131.05/10 yen in late Tokyo trade on Wednesday, due to reported comments by senior finance ministry official Haruhiko Kuroda that Japanese investors should be aware of the risks of a stronger yen.
"What is drawing market interest is the content of the package," said Hiroyuki Nakai, general manager at Nikko Securities Investment Trust and Management Co.
"When the fiscal reform council meeting was postponed, hopes briefly grew that the government may include new proposals in the package, but now we're sure that no news will come out from the package," he said.
Investors believe that the outcome of the meeting will determine whether or not the package will include permanent income tax cuts, which the market believes are necessary to revive Japan's flagging economy.
"A package of this size is likely to help put a bottom on the economy. The more important question, however, is whether or not these measures are sufficient to support a sustainable recovery," said Merrill Lynch Japan strategist Keiko Kondo.
  Hong Kong stocks drifted to a lower Thursday close in subdued trade with concerns over a fragile local economy weighing on sentiment.
The Hang Seng Index lost 58.53 points, or 0.53 percent, to end at 10,918.94 after hitting a low of 10,827.91.
Turnover shrank to a meager HK$4.39 billion from Wednesday's already low HK$4.59 billion as investors expected the blue chip index to have little upside, brokers said.
"In times of crisis people return to the fundamentals and the fundamentals are not particularly attractive at the moment," said James Osborn, sales director at ING Barings.
"The market had already discounted a very sharp downturn in the real economy. That is happening but there is no evidence of the downturn stopping just yet."
The Hong Kong government said this week that unemployment surged to its highest level since 1995 in January-March, up to 3.5 percent from 2.9 percent in December-February.
"The situation is the worst that people have seen for several decades," said Michael Ng, dealing director at Sassoon Securities.
Some brokers said the unemployment figures triggered worries that the Hong Kong dollar peg may have to be sacrificed to revive the economy.
But the Hong Kong government said on Thursday the Hong Kong dollar peg must be kept and that interest rates remain the most potent weapon in defense of the fixed exchange rate.
"The consequences of high interest rates are far better than the consequences of no peg," said Osborn.
Brokers believed the Hang Seng Index would test lows of 10,800 and 10,500 in the short term.
"In the longer term the Hang Seng should fall to 10,000-9,800 levels," said Ricky Tam, senior research analyst at Delta Asia Securities.
Singapore shares were firmer in light trading conditions early on Thursday in the wake of a slight rebound in property stocks and news that Malaysia's Sime Bank deal was finally going ahead.
"Most property stocks are slightly better today, looks like the selling has stopped for the moment," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said.
The benchmark 30-share Straits Times Industrials index closed up 20.34 points, gaining 1.38 percent, to 1,495.86.
Malaysia's Finance Minister Anwar Ibrahim gave a thumbs up on Thursday to the resolution of a drawn-out banking merger between RHB Bank Bhd and Sime Bank Bhd.
"I think people feel better now that details of how the deal would be funded are out. The market is not so nervous about whether the deal is on or off," one dealer said.
After weeks of wrangling over financing, Phileo Allied Bhd stepped into the breach to subscribe to one billion ringgit ($266 million) of preference shares of RHB Capital Bhd, which owns RHB Bank, in order help RHB pay for the takeover.



Friday April 24.
Asian equities firmed somewhat after Tokyo's key stock average climbed above the 16,000 level for the first time in seven sessions on Friday, but Hong Kong and Singapore still closed down on the day, weighed down by overnight losses on Wall Street.  Japan's Nikkei average ended up 249.55 points, or 1.58 percent, at 16,011.24. The average last ended above 16,000 on April 15.
Earlier, the Dow Jones Industrial average closed down The Dow Jones industrial average lost 33.39 points at 9,143.40.
Nikkei June futures closed 310 points higher at 16,020. On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover was 383 million shares, up from 323 million shares on Thursday.
Brokers said that the stronger sentiment was a result of hints from Japan's finance minister that permanent income tax cuts may be in the future. Many analysts say permanent tax cuts are vital to snap the economy out of its doldrums.
However, the rally in the stock market was cut somewhat short due to what brokers said was a lack of clarity on the government's plan concerning such tax cuts in the near future.
The market was initially cheered by Finance Minister Hikaru Matsunaga's comments in the morning concerning the issue.
"The LDP's (Liberal Democratic Party) tax panel, I believe, said in its final proposals for tax cuts that it will continue to consider permanent income tax cuts, including permanent cuts in corporate taxes," he said.
However, some brokers said Matsunaga's comments confused the market.
"The government appeared that it has altered its tax policy completely, but actually it didn't," said Tsuyoshi Segawa, general manager at New Japan Securities Co. Ltd.
The draft of the economic stimulus package to be unveiled by the Japanese government later on Friday contained no fresh clues to chances of permanent cuts in income tax and corporate tax that markets long for.
Noriyuki Fujiwara, director at Credit Suisse Investment Trust Management Co. Ltd., said: "Without overall structural reforms, the package will only stimulate buying in the market for the short term."
  Hong Kong stocks drifted to a lower close on Friday in subdued trade at the end of a disappointing week with little good news to cheer the market in the near term.
The Hang Seng Index lost 39.01 points, or 0.36 percent, to 10,879.93 after hitting a low of 10,767.32.
"The market has to move down before getting renewed buying interest," said Ricky Tam, senior research analyst at Delta Asia Securities. "In the recent economic environment it is hard to attract investors to jump into the market."
Hong Kong's February retail sales, released after the market closed, showed a fall of 18 percent in value on the year and down 26 percent on the month.
Turnover continued to shrink with little news to drive the market and little upside in sight, brokers said.
"It has been a disappointing market all week with low volume and it has really been led by futures-led selling throughout the week," said David Williamson, director at Indosuez W.I. Carr.
Futures cast a bearish shadow over the market, remaining at a discount.
Index heavyweight HSBC Holdings accounted for nearly all of the points loss of the blue chip index as it dropped HK$3.00 to HK$227.00. Sentiment took a beating after HSBC fell to HK$224.75 in London on Thursday.
But while overnight losses on Wall Street and in London weighed on sentiment, the rise in Japan stocks encouraged the market.
Singapore shares ended mixed on Friday with Singapore Telecom shares holding steady after the government announced the award of a second basic telephone license.
Singapore on Thursday awarded a second basic telephone and a mobile phone license to the StarHub consortium led by Singapore Technologies and Singapore Power.
"I think the news has been discounted so there is just very slight recovery in the price," one dealer said.
The benchmark Straits Times Industrials index closed down 4.58 points, 0.31 percent, at 1,491.28.
Dealers said the index would have to clear psychological resistance at 1,500 to draw more players into the market.
"The market is not going to run away at the moment," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said.


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Friday May 8.
    The tone of Indonesian financial markets was tense Friday on renewed student protests in the capital and continued unrest and looting in cities in north Sumatra.  Students ignored a call from Indonesia's powerful military chief to halt their protests and staged a mock trial of President Suharto in Jakarta on Friday, condemned him to death and burned him in effigy. In the north Sumatra city of Medan, the scene of violent student protests for reform and riots over big fuel and electricity price hike, demonstrators denounced Suharto as the "Son of Satan" and demanded he be tried in the flesh by the Indonesian people. The rupiah recovered to a high of 8,750 per dollar from an opening of 9,450 before edging back down to 9,150 at the close. The stock market fell 2.12 points, or 0.49 percent, to 434.66.
A chorus of reform demands from establishment organizations grew louder with church leaders representing the nation's more than 10 million Protestants throwing their support behind the student protests. Earlier in the week, a leading Moslem intellectual organization urged wide-ranging reform.
The Sumatran violence flared after sharp hikes in fuel and transport prices took effect earlier this week, adding further misery to ordinary Indonesians already facing a wage freeze, rising unemployment and higher food prices.
But the rebound was mostly due to technical factors, notably offshore investors squaring off their long dollar positions ahead of the long weekend. Indonesian markets will be closed on Monday for the Vaisak holiday commemorating the birth of the Buddha.
Dealers said the rupiah market largely ignored a central bank rate hike of an average of 7.5 percentage points on Thursday, an IMF loan disbursement and the Friday start of talks in Tokyo about Indonesian debt.
"It's now the socio-political dimension which dictates the market. It takes some time to get this kind of problem under control," one local bank dealer said.
Dealers said the central bank rate hike was not sufficient to allow overseas investors to lock their money into high-yielding central bank paper because implied yields for swap rates were still much higher than the return.
"It's not enough to attract inflows in central bank papers because of increased risk-premiums for Indonesia," one said.
Market players were also concerned by President Suharto's planned trip to Egypt.
Suharto is due to visit Cairo from May 11 to 13 for a summit meeting of 15 developing countries, followed by a formal state visit to Egypt amid political and economic woes at home.
Currency dealers said the market was worried whether the government could maintain control of the worsening situation with Suharto away for so long.
Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin urged Indonesia to show restraint in dealing with social unrest, but the military has said it will be tough on protesters.
    Stocks in the Pacific Rim tiptoed cautiously on Friday as most investors remained on the sidelines on concerns over the health of local economies and corporations, but a few brave souls returned to the markets to hunt for bargains.  Tokyo's Nikkei average closed up a scant 0.04 percent or 5.97 points at 15,149.00.  "Investors took a wait-and-see stance ahead of the weekend after trading in various issues related to the May options settlement ended," a trader at a second-tier brokerage said.
Turnover on the first section was 285 million shares, against 176 million shares by midday on Thursday.
Market sentiment remained bearish due to the weak yen, strengthening of bonds and recent announcements of sluggish earnings by many companies, brokers said.
Despite the recent announcement of the largest-ever economic stimulus package by the Japanese government, the market mood has been deteriorating due to a combination of various negative factors, including social unrest and economic turmoil in Indonesia.
Brokers did not foresee positive market factors emerging soon. Instead, they expressed concerns about signs that overseas investors - key players in the Tokyo market - were fleeing.
"We cannot expect foreigners to be net buyers of Japanese shares in the near future," Nomura Securities strategist Masaaki Higashida said.
Market sources said orders placed through 10 international securities houses before the start of stock trading on Friday showed a net selling stance of seven million shares.
However, selling slowed in the yen market, with the Japanese currency advancing slightly to 132.76 to the dollar from its Thursday close of 133.035.
Hong Kong stocks regained some strength on Friday to close higher as investors covered short positions and started looking for bargains, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index added 88.45 points, or 0.89 percent, to end at 10,060.38 after hitting a high of 10,095.62. It lost 503.3 points over the week.
"We have been down every day this week so the market got pretty oversold," said Howard Gorges, director at South China Brokerage.
Brokers said sentiment remained cautious with lingering concerns about a slowing local economy and developments in the region.
"A lot of people felt (the market) would go a lot lower so they continued to buy short positions," said Andrew Fernow, director of research at Vickers Ballas.
Frederick Tsang, strategist at BNP-PrimeEast Securities, believed the blue chip index may drop below 9,800 next week.
"The rebound should at least move close to 10,300 before meeting resistance, but the market actually failed to break 10,000," he said.
Monday was expected to be relatively quiet as markets in Thailand, Singapore, the Philippines and Indonesia are closed for holidays.
Singapore stocks closed softer on Friday as investors avoided trading, choosing instead to evaluate the fragile political situation in neighboring Indonesia before a long market weekend.  Dealers and analysts had said that the riots and demonstrations across Indonesia this week have ended any chance of a quick rally in Singapore shares.
"Looking forward, there is now further downside for Singapore," said Jeffrey Teo, institutional sales manager at Santander Investment in Singapore. "The hedge funds are selling. They were selling yesterday and are still doing so today."
Singapore's benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) fell 7.75 points, 0.5 percent, to 1,420.75 on Friday, days after riots and shootings began in the Indonesian city of Medan, which lies a few hundred miles northwest of Singapore. The Medan riots followed sharp rises in fuel and transport prices, which were a condition of a $40 billion economic rescue package agreed with the International Monetary Fund.  Elsewhere in the region, Indonesian and Malaysian stocks both closed flat before the long weekend. Indonesia's Jakarta composite index closed down 2.12 points at 434.65, while Malaysia's KLSE closed down 6.78 points at 580.05.



Monday May 11.
    Most Pacific Rim markets closed higher on Monday as investors took heart in positive corporate news and a quiet day in riot-ravaged Indonesia, but volumes throughout the region were precariously thin.  Tokyo stocks gained more than 1.5 percent on Monday as investors were cheered by tie-up talks between Japanese auto maker Nissan Motor Co. Ltd. and Daimler-Benz AG, and other positive factors.
Financially weak builder Haseko Corp.'s adoption of a restructuring plan and an advance in U.S. share prices on Friday also helped improve the mood in the Tokyo market, which has been overshadowed recently by worries over the Japanese economy and companies' financial health, brokers said.
Earlier on Monday, Nissan Motor said it was in talks with Daimler-Benz on a tie-up in development, production and sale of commercial vehicles.
The key 225-stock Nikkei average closed up 1.54 percent, or 232.90 points, at 15,381.90.
"News on Nissan and Haseko further improved the sentiment which was already cheered by share price rises in the U.S.," Tokyo Securities general manager Kunihiro Hatae said.
Despite Monday's brightened sentiment some brokers were skeptical about a sharp recovery in stocks, saying that the very small first section turnover of 273 million shares showed that investors were cautious.
"If they are confident about the stock market recovery, trading should be definitely be more active," Okasan Securities strategist Akihiro Naemura said. "Market players shifted the focus of their attention to positive factors that emerged on Monday but their worries over the Japanese economy have not yet disappeared."
Trade is likely to remain quiet ahead of the Group of Seven summit meeting to be held on weekend, brokers said.
  Hong Kong stocks closed with modest gains on Monday after oversold utility stocks led an afternoon rise and higher Japanese share prices aided sentiment.
The Hang Seng Index rose 35.99 points, or 0.36 percent, to 10,096.37 after a volatile session which saw the index touch a high of 10,135.33 and a low of 9,953.27.
Turnover was a quiet HK$3.62 billion, amongst the lowest this year, compared with HK$5.83 billion on Friday.
"Overall sentiment has improved after gains on the Nikkei and a stabilizing Japanese yen," said Alex Tang, head of research at Core Pacific-Yamaichi International.
He expected Hong Kong share prices to continue making gains over coming days, meeting resistance at around 10,500 points.
"But volume is extremely low reflecting a lack of participation from retail investors. I don't think small investors are aggressively buying," he added. "Over the last few weeks, turnover has been shrinking."
Traders said many investors were sidelined by holiday closures in many Southeast Asian markets -- including those in Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore -- which have been a recent market focus due to signs of political tension.  Uncertainty over the future of those same markets led share prices on the Seoul stock exchange to plummet to a new low for the year Monday, traders said.  The composite price index (KOSPI) closed down 13.18 points, 3.5 percent at 361.58. Trading was thin with 39.3 million shares worth 236 billion won (169.5 million dollars).



Tuesday May 12.
    Stocks in Australia and Asian markets ended weaker on Tuesday due to regionwide economic concerns heightened by fears of a possible downturn on Wall Street later in the week.  Tokyo stocks slumped on Tuesday on grim economic data and the government's comment that production and unemployment were worsening.  The key 225-share Nikkei average ended down 0.39 percent, or 59.42 points, at 15,322.48.   First section turnover was 363 million shares against 273 million on Monday, as many investors took a wait-and-see stance ahead of the Group of Seven summit meeting this coming weekend.
"The market is sandwiched between corporate factors and macro factors relating to uncertainties over the Japanese economy," Nikko Securities general manager Yasuo Ueki said.
Before the market opened on Tuesday, the Bank of Japan announced that Japan's domestic wholesale price index fell a year-on-year 2.3 percent in April -- the biggest fall since July 1987.
Economic Planning Agency Minister Koji Omi said shortly after the market opened that Japan's production and unemployment were becoming more severe and that more time is needed to see if consumption in Japan will continue to improve.
Economic worries also pushed down the yield on Japan's benchmark 182nd government bond to a record low in afternoon trade, which was followed by a rise in the dollar to133.28 yen.
On the upside, many car issues were higher on Tuesday after an announcement by Nissan Motor Co. Ltd. on Monday that it was in talks with Daimler-Benz AG on a tie-up in development, production and sale of commercial vehicles, including a possible sale of shares in truck maker Nissan Diesel Motor Co. Ltd.
  Hong Kong stocks closed sharply down on Tuesday, battered by a fall in index futures and fears of a Wall Street retreat, brokers said.
The blue chip Hang Seng Index dropped 254.86 points, or 2.52 percent, to finish at 9,841.51. May index futures tumbled 330 points to close at 9,750.
"The fall was mainly due to index futures," said Tony Yung, research manager at Tai Fook Securities Co. Ltd. "The U.S. long-bond yield rose above 6.00 percent last night and there is a concern that U.S. PPI might reverse the recent negative growth trend to positive."
The United States is due to announce its April Producer Price Indexes on Wednesday and economists have forecast, on average, that prices will rise 0.1 percent overall.
"If U.S. stocks are weak later tonight, there is a good chance that the Hang Seng Index will gap down at the opening on Wednesday," Yung said.
  Singapore stocks were weaker on concerns over Indonesia on Tuesday with trade thin following a three-day weekend, dealers said.  "Indonesia continues to drag us down. Moody's downgrade of South Korean banks also didn't help. People are frightened the region could be in for another sell-off," said a dealer.   After opening at 1,422.68, the Straits Times Industrials Index closed at 1,400.05, down 20.70 points or 1.46 percent. Total market volume was paltry.  Moody's Investors Service downgraded 19 debt-ridden Korean banks, citing worsening financial conditions of the government's main policy banks and its wavering support of these banks as prime reasons.
Stocks in Seoul plunged 2.69 percent, with the Seoul Composite index shedding 20.70 points to close at 351.86, its second consecutive low for the year after dropping 3.5 percent on Monday.



Wednesday May 13.
    The Indonesian stock market slumped 8 percent and the rupiah sank below 10,000 to the dollar Wednesday after six students were killed at a protest rally Tuesday.  The Jakarta composite stock index was 8.01 down percent at 396.04 at one point before closing at 402.05, down 6.61 percent. Traders expected the index to head lower as new student protests emerged in several cities. Indonesian security forces fired shots Wednesday as crowds joined campus protests around Trisakti University in Jakarta where the six students were killed, witnesses said.  They were the first student deaths in three months of protests against the 32-year rule of Suharto.  Shares in conglomerate Bimantara, controlled by President Suharto's second-eldest son, were among the most active. They dropped 100 rupiah, or about 17 percent, to 500 rupiah.  The rupiah dipped below 10,000 to the dollar, the level where it was two months ago. It was quoted at 10,000/10,200 in early afternoon trade.
"I think interest rates are definitely going to go higher. We've seen a lot of pressure on interest rates even taking into account inflation and with the social unrest coming about, there is more pressure on interest rates to go higher," Andrew Fung, regional treasury economist at Standard Chartered in Singapore, said.
"Pressure on the exchange rate will be determined in the near term by the extent to which social unrest continues."
The deaths marked a significant escalation of violence in the student campaign for sweeping political change and for Suharto to quit.
Dealers said they cast yet another shadow over financial markets and nervous investors were selling shares across the board.
"The reason is obvious," said a dealer at a Western bank in Jakarta. "People are nervous on concerns over the death of the students."
"The market is falling and it is going to dive further on the student deaths and possible larger protests after the bloody one [yesterday]," a broker said.
Analysts say political and social factors are playing a major role in determining the value of the rupiah and interest rate rises may not be enough to defend the beleaguered currency.
But a newspaper quoted central bank director Miranda Goeltom as saying interest rate rises had so far prevented the rupiah from falling further.
The Indonesian Observer quoted her as saying that non-economic factors, including social unrest and student protests, were behind the weakness of the rupiah.
The central bank raised interest rates last Thursday to defend the rupiah after it was battered by concerns about fierce rioting in the north Sumatra city of Medan, a major commodities center.
The riots were prompted by sharp rises in the prices of fuel, electricity and public transport, one of the conditions for a $40 billion International Monetary Fund bailout package for Indonesia's crippled economy.
U.S. professor Steve Hanke, who has advised Suharto on how to handle the rupiah's slide, said in Geneva Tuesday the currency is likely to fall further and push interest rates towards 100 percent.
He said the 1998 target of 6,000 rupiah to the dollar, agreed to with the IMF, is now unrealistic.
For currency stability, Indonesia "will have to put up interest rates higher than the current level, which will completely crush the economy," Hanke said at a conference in Geneva.
"It's going to be higher and higher interest rates and more and more turmoil as we get more unemployment, more people without income, and higher inflation, and everyone ganging up against the political structure in Indonesia," he said.
    Stock markets throughout the Pacific Rim reeled in shock on Wednesday after six students were killed overnight in anti-government protests in Indonesia, setting a deeply pessimistic mood for the day's trading and sending stocks plummeting.  Tokyo stocks were the exception, ending marginally higher thanks to a report that financial giants Nomura Securities Co. Ltd. and Industrial Bank of Japan Ltd. (IBJ) would tie up.
The key 225-share Nikkei average closed up 0.14 percent, or 21.33 points, at 15,343.81, after moving in a negative zone almost all day. First-section turnover remained light at 381 million shares after 363 million on Tuesday.
Nomura and IBJ decided to tie up to counter foreign financial institutions which aim to boost competitiveness through restructuring, including mergers.
However, such corporate factors as business alliances failed to activate trade and boost share prices as investors were concerned about the future of the Japanese economy and social unrest in Indonesia.
Indonesian security forces fired shots on Wednesday as crowds joined campus protests around the Jakarta university where six students had earlier been killed.
"No market in Southeast Asia is performing well, and this weighed on exporters and banks that have business out there," said Shigeru Yoshida, a deputy general manager at Wako Securities Co. Ltd.
Brokers also said they were worried the Japanese economy might now be showing signs of deflation.
The dollar remained strong against the yen -- trading well past the 134 threshold at 134.25 -- and the yield on Japan's government bond continued to mark new lows.
  Hong Kong's Hang Seng stock index faced its biggest point drop in more than two months on Wednesday as the escalating Indonesian violence and rising interbank rates teamed up to batter share prices across the board.
The blue chip index closed on a loss of 372.22 points, or 3.78 percent, at 9,469.29, its biggest drop since March 5 when the index lost 547 points. Turnover rose substantially to HK$6.77 billion from HK$4.98 billion on Tuesday.
Brokers said the downside may continue.
"People are expecting trouble in Indonesia, and it is hard to tell how much is discounted, but the writing on the wall is that trouble is brewing," said Howard Gorges, a director at South China Brokerage. "That, combined with poor local sentiment, is why we are getting hit so hard."
"There is not much direct exposure but it is more affecting sentiment around the region. If it was a shambles there, then you could worry about security (elsewhere)," he added.
The ongoing Indonesian crisis did have one direct effect on Hong Kong's economy, analysts said.
Hong Kong interbank rates pushed higher on Wednesday - largely based on weakness in the rupiah - despite an overnight denial by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority of rumors it had instructed banks to limit quotes on Hong Kong dollar forwards.
The benchmark three-month HIBOR rate was at 8.78 percent at the fixing on Wednesday compared with 7.44 percent on Tuesday.
"If the rupiah remains weak, Hong Kong interest rates will be maintained at a high level," said Alex Wong, research manager at OSK Asia Securities.
  In  nations bordering Indonesia, the market situation was much more pessimistic, with stocks in Singapore and Malaysia sent reeling.
Singapore's benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index fell to 1,331.98, down 68.07 points or 4.86 percent.
Malaysia's KLSE index plunged 20.84 points, 3.66 percent, at 548.33.
However, the most severe losses came in Jakarta, where stocks lost 28.46 points -- 6.61 percent of their total value - to close at 402.05.
"The market is not good. There is more downside than upside to come with all these uncertainties," a local dealer said.


Thursday May 14.
    The Indonesian rupiah dived below 11,000 to the dollar and stocks linked to the family businesses of President Suharto tumbled on Thursday as fresh rioting in Jakarta rattled investors and disrupted trade.  As looters torched buildings in the city center, dealing slowed to a trickle on Jakarta's stock exchange with many brokers locking their offices and heading home. Major banks were virtually empty with scores of staff trapped at home by the riots. The highway to Jakarta's international airport was closed by rioting, and Deutsche Bank announced it was temporarily shutting its branches in Jakarta and Surabaya. By the opening of London's currency markets, the rupiah was quoted at 10,800/11,200 to the dollar. It had fallen as low as 11,700 overnight, more than 25 percent below its levels on Tuesday before the death of six students prompted riots which have claimed at least 12 more lives, with the toll expected to rise.
In April, after the latest revision of its 1998/99 budget, Indonesia projected an average 1998 exchange rate of 6,000 rupiah to the dollar, compared with earlier targets of 4,000 and 5,000.
Analysts said there was now little chance of the latest target being met.
"I want to go home but I'm confused on where to go as most roads are jammed and blocked," said one dealer at the stock exchange.
"No traders showed up this morning," said an official at a palm oil trading company. "The office was closed because players feared for their safety."
Some analysts said the rupiah's slide could only be halted if President Suharto stepped down, but discounted reports from Egypt, where Suharto was on a state visit, that he might be prepared to step aside.
"He's said it before, and it's not to be taken seriously," one economist said.
"The rupiah is going to fall further until there is a change of government," said economist Rizal Ramli, director of the Econit economic advisory group. "This process of weakening is going to continue."
On the stock exchange, Suharto-linked shares extended Wednesday's losses, hit by concerns that the 76-year-old president's grip on power was slipping.
Ninety-six shares were weaker with only 22 gaining ground and 33 unchanged. The overall index edged lower in extremely thin trade, with strong currency-related gains in a few heavyweight stocks preventing a much heavier fall.
Shares in conglomerate Bimantara, controlled by Suharto's son Bambang Trihatmojo, dived 25 percent, falling 125 rupiah to 375.
Finance firm Maharani, controlled by Suharto's daughter Siti Hediati Prabowo, dropped 25 rupiah to 100, a fall of 20 percent.
Citra Marga, a toll road operator controlled by Suharto's eldest daughter Siti Hardiyanti Rukmana, was 11.11 percent weaker at 400 rupiah.
Transport firm Humpuss Intermoda, controlled by the president's youngest son Hutomo "Tommy" Mandala Putra, was untraded and remained at 625 rupiah.
Jakarta's overall share index closed up a scant 1.64 points at 403.69, supported by technical gains in three heavyweight stocks which make up 22 percent of the index's total capitalization.
    Stock markets throughout the Pacific Rim showed confusion Thursday, with Hong Kong closing sharply higher and other key markets closing flat to lower as regional traders reacted to speculation that Suharto, president of troubled Indonesia, may be willing to resign.  Tokyo stocks ended slightly weaker on Thursday as a poor earnings outlook for some firms added to worries over Asia's economies, brokers said.
While some shares were bought on the expectation of more business alliances in Japan following the Nomura-IBJ move, the buying was not strong enough to boost share prices.
The key 225-share Nikkei average closed down 0.24 percent, or 36.12 points, at 15,307.69.
On Wednesday, share prices fell sharply in many other Asian stock markets due to the increasing violence in Indonesia. Brokers said they would keep an eye on how regional markets perform on Thursday.
"Unless Asian stocks stabilize, it will be difficult for the Nikkei average to head higher," said Tsuyoshi Segawa, general manager at New Japan Securities Co. Ltd.
The Nikkei average, which briefly dipped to 15,294.51, bounced back by midday, partly helped by the dollar's slip below 134 yen, brokers said.
Currency dealers said a Jakarta Post report that Indonesia's President Suharto said he was willing to step down gave support to the Japanese currency.
The dollar stood around 133.75 yen at Thursday midday in Tokyo against a 134.10/20 yen close in New York on Wednesday.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover was 378 million shares, down from 381 million shares traded on Wednesday morning.
Hong Kong stocks rebounded from heavy losses on Thursday to finish with solid gains after concerns about violence in Indonesia drove the market down to oversold levels and prompted a price bounce.  The Hang Seng Index ended up 122.66 points, or 1.30 percent, at 9,591.95 after bouncing off a low of 9,303.03 points during the afternoon. The index has lost 5.0 percent this week.
Turnover, which has been rising all week, was HK$8.32 billion, the highest since HK$10.13 billion on March 26.
"The price momentum is on the downside and the only thing that is saving us is that we are oversold," said Steven Thompson, chief analyst at Nikko Research Center. "We will get bounces because we are oversold."
Thompson said the Hang Seng Index could continue falling, reaching 8,100 points before a recovery.
"From there, I think there will be a period again of calm and we could see the market rebound again."
Singapore shares fell sharply on Thursday as traders' initial euphoria, ignited by the reports of Indonesian President Suharto's willingness to resign, evaporated.  After reversing early gains in the morning, Singapore's key Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) slipped further to close down 30.20 points, 2.27 percent, at 1,301.78.
"There is fear that a small country like Singapore, despite its strong balance sheet and reserves, might not be able to escape a recession if its neighbors suffer," said a dealer. "Singapore will feel the impact of the malaise even though it is domestically well-managed."
Indonesia has been beset with riots in recent days, triggered by protests against price hikes imposed by the government and demands for President Suharto to step down. Mobs rampaged through sections of Jakarta on Thursday, with no apparent slackening of rampant violence a day after 12 people were killed in anti-government protests, riots, arson and looting.  Fresh rioting pushed the Indonesian rupiah below 11,500 to the U.S. dollar. The currency has plunged more than 25 percent since six students were shot and killed on Tuesday.  The Jakarta Composite stock index ended flat, up a scant 1.64 points at 403.69 after Wednesday's tumultuous 6.61 percent loss.
In neighboring Malaysia, investors took their cue from the Suharto news, driving the KLSE index 12.17 points higher, up 2.22 percent to close at 560.50.

 


Friday May 15.
 Indonesian financial and commodity markets were virtually abandoned on Friday, swamped by fear in the aftermath of four days of rioting, arson and looting in Jakarta.  Banks were closed and most offices deserted. Overseas corporations started closing down operations and evacuating staff.  Although the city was quieter, there were reports of fresh riots and looting and many people stayed at home.  Rumors were rampant that President Suharto - now back in the country after cutting a state visit to Cairo short -- may call a special session of the Indonesian parliament to consider some kind of political reform.  However, protester demands that Suharto step down have grown in recent days, and analysts were unsure that the Indonesian people will now accept anything less.  Witnesses said the houses of some non-Indonesians in Jakarta's affluent southern suburbs were being looted and a huge shopping mall was set ablaze on the western edge of the city, killing more than 100 people.  The stock market was open but barely 20 percent of the seats were occupied and shares were traded in just six companies in the morning session.  With the banks closed, there was no trading of the Indonesian rupiah in Jakarta and banks offshore kept their activity to a minimum as the central Bank Indonesia said it was not doing any clearing.
Bank officials said it may resume clearing on Monday if the situation improves.
The rupiah was quoted at 10,500/11,500 to the dollar in Singapore, with the lack of liquidity reflected in the wide spread.
The Jakarta stock exchange composite index closed up 2.23 points at 405.93 with a mere 4.8 million shares traded.
The palm oil market was inactive with Jakarta traders at home and little activity in the north Sumatra commodities city of Medan.
Indonesia's major commodity port of Belawan in Medan was operating normally on Friday despite rumors of possible fresh riots in the North Sumatran city, officials said.
Most traders there stayed at home, saying rumors were rife of fresh rioting in the city brought to a standstill by rampaging mobs last week after the government imposed hefty rises on fuel and electricity prices.
   Most international residents in the Indonesian capital were also holed up at home or in luxury hotels on Friday trying to get flights out of the riot-torn city or waiting for the violence to subside, embassy officials said.
At the airport, flights out of the country were full and no rooms were available at airport hotels. Witnesses said most of the flights were being filled by ethnic Chinese.
A growing number of companies have announced they were pulling their staff out of country.
The United States, Australia and Hong Kong urged their citizens to leave.
Three U.S. petroleum companies said they planned to evacuate non-Indonesian workers and their families from Jakarta but no disruptions in oil or natural gas production were reported.

    Major equities markets in the Pacific Rim hung separately again on Friday as traders pulled back from regional stocks ahead of possible developments in Indonesia's political situation and an upcoming Group of Eight leaders summit.  Japan's key 225-stock Nikkei stock index, lacking more concrete macro-economic factors to move prices, ended down 0.42 percent, or 64.83 points, at 15,242.86.
First section turnover was 405 million shares against 378 million shares on Thursday.
The fall in the benchmark 182nd 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield to a record low of 1.285 percent shortly before the stock market closed added to lingering worries over the Japanese economy, brokers said.
The dollar's rise above 134 yen following the drop in JGB yield further worsened stock market sentiment.
"Investors were reluctant to actively trade due to increasing worries over Indonesian politics and caution over the G8 summit," a second-tier securities house trader said. "While shares of some firms attracted investors, movement in indices was dull."
Brokers said that investors were waiting to see the outcome of the G8 summit to be held on Friday in Britain but many added that they do not expect any new, concrete steps for Japan's economic recovery to be announced there.
The G8 leaders are expected to discuss Asia's problems, such as the worsening Indonesian situation and India's nuclear tests, as well as the sluggish Japanese economy.
Hong Kong stocks ended Friday lower as lingering worries about unrest in Indonesia kept cautious investors on the sidelines.
The Hang Seng Index lost 53.56 points, or 0.56 percent, to end at 9,538.39 after hitting a low of 9,499.02.
Turnover shrank to a modest HK$4.86 billion against Thursday's HK$8.32 billion.
"The entire region is just held at bay until we have figured out what is happening in Indonesia," said Glenn Lesko, head of sales at ABN-Amro Hoare Govett Asia Securities.
Indonesia remained under the spotlight as riots and speculation about the country's political development continued. At least 110 people, most believed to be looters, were reported killed in a Jakarta shopping mall fire.
"Technically there should be some support," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SocGen-Crosby Securities. "The problem is that sentiment has been dragged into new depths by what is happening in Jakarta."
     Singapore's key share index rose 1.56 percent on Friday as buyers mopped up blue chip casualties of Thursday's heavy selling.
"I think government-linked companies could well be in the market buying up the stocks that are being sold off. Someone is doing it and there are no big foreign buy orders out there," a dealer with a local firm said.
The 30-stock Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) gained 20.25 points to 1,322.03, edging the index back up from its key 1,300 support base.
On Thursday the STII shed 2.27 percent on volume of 201 million shares as violent unrest in neighboring Indonesia sent shivers down the spine of the Singapore share market for a second day.
Dealers saw a calmer tone in Jakarta as a temporary respite, as tensions remained high and further downward moves were expected next week.
"The pressure is clearly there for more selling," a dealer at a Singapore brokerage said.
Malaysian stocks also gathered strength, adding 6.35 points, 1.13 percent, to close at 566.85. Indonesia's stock market remained steady in razor-thin trade, adding 2.23 points to close at 405.93.

 



Monday May 18.
 Indonesia's rupiah tumbled below 12,000 to the dollar and the stock market fell more than 4 percent Monday as trade resumed after being effectively shut down last week by widespread rioting in Jakarta.  Analysts said only extremely thin trading volume prevented the currency and shares from suffering heavier losses, with more demonstrations against President Suharto underway and huge ones planned for Wednesday.  "Even the most daring speculators prefer to stay away. The risks are enormous," said one stockbroker.  "We don't know where things are going and Wednesday is on everyone's mind," said another.  The analysts said if social unrest continues, the rupiah could head toward its historic low of 17,000, set in January, and the stock market index could fall to 350 points from its present position around the 400-point mark.  By the market close, the rupiah was quoted at 12,300/12,800 to the dollar, compared with a low of 11,700 at the end of last week.  The beleaguered currency now is more than 22 percent below its levels of early last week before the shooting of six students sparked mass demonstrations on the streets of Jakarta. It is more than 80 percent below its July 1997 levels, before the country was hit by its crippling economic crisis.  On the stock market, the composite index ended 4.19 percent weaker, losing 17.01 points to 390.06.
Shares linked to Suharto's family and friends continued to fall, but the heaviest losses were sustained by firms that suffered property damage in last week's rioting, which left more than 500 people dead.
Astra, a conglomerate partly owned by Suharto's Nusamba Group and Trade and Industry Minister Mohamad "Bob" Hasan, fell 7.14 percent to 957 rupiah. The firm said its vehicle distribution and banking arms suffered property damage in the rioting.
Citra Marga, a toll road operator controlled by Suharto's eldest daughter, was down 11.76 percent at 375 rupiah, and Bimantara, controlled by his son Bambang Trihatmodjo, fell 6.67 percent to 350 rupiah.
Retail stocks also took a battering after rioters ransacked and torched hundreds of shops last week.
The Indonesian Retail Merchants Association (Aprindo) was quoted as saying direct losses from the damage could total 600 billion rupiah (about $50 million), or one trillion rupiah when the cost of lost business is taken into account.
Hero Supermarkets dived 32.5 percent to 675 rupiah. The company said six outlets had been burned down and 10 others severely damaged by looters. Matahari, Indonesia's largest retailer, was down 20 percent at 200 rupiah.
Rupiah traders said liquidity was so low that quoted prices gave little indication of market sentiment. In Jakarta, no price was quoted and most trade was in Singapore.
"The volume of transactions was extremely thin and represented demand by our clients who have immediate need to place currency orders," one Tokyo trader said.
Estimated stock market turnover was just 30 billion rupiah compared with a normal morning average of around 250 billion.
Many overseas brokers have fled the country and the stock exchange trading floor was only around three-quarters full, leaving a number of seats empty.
A Jakarta-based analyst who asked not to be identified said unrest Wednesday could send markets reeling.
"As long as Jakarta remains quiet the currency will sit there. The rupiah is almost a dead currency and it will be very thin trade. But if there is more unrest . . . it could easily go to 15,000 or 16,000," he said.
The stock market faced a similar scenario, he said. "If there is trouble on Wednesday, then assuming the market is still open it will definitely . . . head down to 350 very quickly."
    Stocks in the Pacific Rim were generally lower on Monday, with gloom over Indonesia's political turmoil and a sinking yen driving bulls away from the market and few if any positive forecasts in sight.  In Tokyo, the major exception, stocks shed their early losses to finish moderately higher as brokers said public pension funds had triggered short-covering in the futures market by buying blue-chip issues.
The key 225-share Nikkei average closed with a gain of 141.61 points, or 0.93 percent, to 15,384.47, after dropping as low as 15,069.68 at one point in the morning.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, turnover was light at 323 million shares, down from 405 million shares on Friday.
"There were no particular fundamental factors that stimulated buying," said Shigeru Yoshida, deputy general manager at Wako Securities Co. Ltd. "With the yen still weak and the peak of earnings reports approaching, the Nikkei 225 is unlikely to get out of the current range this week."
Brokers said the yen's weakness and a slide in Japan's long-term interest rates underscored concerns over Japan's economic health.
The dollar rose as high as 135.19 yen during the Tokyo morning to stand at around 135.00 yen by the market close. The yield of the key Japanese government bonds remained at record lows, falling to 1.265 percent on Monday.
"If the yen falls further and interest rates keep on setting new lows, it is quite possible that hedge funds will start selling off Tokyo stocks," said Shigemi Nonaka, managing director at Sakura Investment Management Co. Ltd.
Investors were also worried about the chaos in Indonesia as many Japanese firms, particularly banks and trading houses, have begun to suspend business operations there while Japanese businessmen and their families flee the country to escape the riots.  Hong Kong stocks dropped to a lower Monday close, unnerved by lingering concerns about the situation in Indonesia, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index lost 126.42 points, or 1.33 percent, to end at 9,411.97 after hitting a low of 9,368.43. Turnover shrank to a quiet HK$3.86 billion against Friday's already low HK$4.86 billion as investors sat on the sidelines.
"There is much to come with tomorrow's Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting and what looks to be a rather eventful independence day in Indonesia on Wednesday," said Andrew Fernow, director of research at Vickers Ballas. "I think people are quite concerned that a repeat of the violence last week is a possibility."
Indonesian opposition leaders have vowed to bring millions of people onto the streets on Wednesday to mark National Awakening Day, which commemorates the 90th anniversary of the founding of the nationalist movement by students against Dutch rule.
    Singapore's Straits Times Industrials Index shed two percent by Monday's close with the market gripped by fears of more violent unrest in Indonesia.
The STII ended the session down 2.29 percent, or 30.29 points, at 1,291.74 on low volume, with dealers preparing for more falls to come.
"The mood is very gloomy indeed and I think we should expect to see it spread," a dealer with an international brokerage said.
Singapore's fall was mirrored in Malaysia and Indonesia itself, with the weakening yen and softening of regional currencies against the dollar adding downward pressure.
Kuala Lumpur's KLSE index slipped 16.86 points, 2.97 percent, to end at 549.99. Jakarta's Composite index plunged 4.19 percent, 17.01 points, to close at 388.91.  Indonesian stocks have plummeted 10.95 percent of their total value since May 8.


Tuesday May 19.
    Asian and Australian investors stopped holding their breath on Tuesday as regional stocks and currencies rallied slightly, relieved by Indonesian President Suharto's promise of new presidential elections in which he would not run.
    "Suharto's comment that he would not become a candidate took off pressure on the Nikkei average for now and turned around the bearish trend," said Yasuo Ueki, general manager at Nikko Securities Co. Ltd.  Tokyo's key 225-stock Nikkei average climbed 167.18 points or 1.09 percent to end at 15,551.65. Nikkei June futures finished 270 points higher at 15,660.  "The elections will be held as soon as possible based on the new election law," Suharto said in the televised speech, but gave no date for the elections.  Brokers interpreted Suharto's speech as indicating his willingness to resign sometime in the near future.   "The worst case scenario for Indonesia is to become anarchic, but it looks like we have avoided that situation," said Shinichi Ichikawa, a strategist at Credit Lyonnais Securities.
However, Ichikawa also said there was no clue as to who would take over Suharto's position and whether Indonesia would be able to mollify demonstrators demanding Suharto's resignation and reforms.
"Until the future of Indonesia becomes clear, worries over the region will not disappear from the market," Ichikawa said.
Turnover was modest at 347 million shares on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), against 323 million shares traded on Monday.
Stocks' recovery was also helped by a rebound in the yen and Japanese long-term interest rates, brokers said.
The dollar was off the day's high, slipping back below 136.00 yen by late Tokyo on Tuesday. Overnight in New York, worries over Indonesia had lifted the dollar as high as 136.40 yen, its highest since August 1991.
     Singapore shares drifted lower on Tuesday as investors stuck to the sidelines, unconvinced that fresh developments in neighboring Indonesia had resolved the situation there.
"There's no mood to be in the market today. It's a case of wait and see because of Indonesia," a Singapore dealer said.
Investors were set to keep a close eye on Indonesia as it marks National Awakening Day on Wednesday, which commemorates the 90th anniversary of the founding of the nationalist movements by students against Dutch rule.
Indonesian Moslem leader Amien Rais said planned rallies to demand President Suharto quit would go ahead on Wednesday, having earlier vowed to put a million people on the streets across Indonesia.
In Singapore, the blue chip Straits Times Industrials Index ended down 13.12 points, 1.02 percent, at 1,278.62.
Trade was a thin 28.8 million shares as investors remained nervous about fallout from the power struggle in Jakarta.
The market drew strength from rebounding markets elsewhere in the region after Suharto's address to the nation.
Jakarta stocks surged 6.40 percent, 24.90 points, to 413.82 after the speech and the Indonesian rupiah climbed as high as 11,000 to the dollar after hitting a low of 16,000 earlier in the day, dealers said.
Malaysia's KLSE index posted more careful gains, up 4.43 points at 554.42.
  Hong Kong stocks clawed back earlier losses to close Tuesday higher as investors' nerves were soothed by Suharto's statement, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index gained 37.14 points, or 0.39 percent, to end at 9,449.11 after hitting a low of 9,209.97.
Turnover picked up to HK$6.59 billion against Monday's HK$3.86 billion.
"The turnaround was brought around by some hopes on the Indonesian situation but also, as the market turned around, people with short positions started covering," said Howard Gorges, director at South China Brokerage. "Market sentiment is still weak."
The market outlook remained cloudy with further downside possibly on the cards, brokers said, while concerns about a weak local economy also continued to weigh.
"This economy is really in the doldrums right now," Caspian Securities' Johan Tellvik said. "Part of the problem is that we have a lot of property developers who are forced to discount apartments."

The political upheaval in Indonesia is unnerving investors in markets as far away as Russia, Brazil and Mexico, arousing fears the deepening economic troubles in Asia could become global in scope. Russia's main stock index plunged nearly 12 percent yesterday amid mounting speculation that the Russian economy is becoming the latest emerging market to suffer a serious loss of investor confidence. Share prices in Latin America followed suit, with Brazilian stocks falling 6.4 percent, Mexican stocks tumbling almost 3 percent and Argentine stocks declining 4.7 percent.  "You could call this round two -- a second round of financial contagion," said Gene Frieda, senior Latin American economist at I.D.E.A., an economic consulting firm.

 Market participants said international investors have grown increasingly jittery about emerging markets in recent days. While the withdrawal of foreign funds won't necessarily escalate into a full-fledged panic, they said the situation bears a worrisome resemblance to the autumn of 1997. Then, the Hong Kong market crashed after a period of relative calm, sending South Korean and Indonesian markets into downward spirals that forced those countries' governments to seek massive bailouts from the International Monetary Fund.

 "It looks to some degree like what we had last October, because as the Asian crisis deepens, it's focusing market attention on other countries that don't have particularly good fundamentals -- and Russia would clearly fall into that category," said Desmond Lachman, head of emerging-market economic research at Salomon Smith Barney.

 Fueling the anxiety is the outbreak of rioting and virtual breakdown of the economy in Indonesia. Although the Indonesian economy is relatively modest in size, the country's population of 204 million is the world's fourth-largest; chaos there threatens its neighbors because its 13,000 islands straddle sea lanes vital to Asian commerce. Moreover, the looting and violence has provided a shocking reminder of the wrenching social adjustment facing the region's other ailing economies.

 Most Asian markets fell yesterday, continuing a recent downward trend that reversed rallies earlier this year. Share prices were off 4.2 percent in Indonesia, 2.1 percent in Singapore, 3.8 percent in Thailand, 2.9 percent in Malaysia, and 1.3 percent in Hong Kong, where the Hang Seng index closed at its lowest level since Jan. 27.

 Japanese stocks rose for the first time in three days, as did Korean stocks, but both countries' markets remain near their lows for the year. The Japanese yen hit a a 6 1/2 year low against the U.S. dollar, falling to 136.25 yen per dollar.

 The declines in Asia were soon overshadowed by frenzied selling in Russia, where investors have been growing increasingly skeptical about the ability of President Boris Yeltsin's government to maintain a stable value for the ruble. Yesterday's 12 percent fall came on top of an 18 percent decline since May 5.

 No particular event lies behind the market's intensifying pessimism, analysts said; rather, the markets are simply focusing more on evidence of the government's weak financial position. Russia has a dwindling supply of foreign currency reserves, which at $16 billion appears to be less than adequate to ensure that the country can continue to pay its foreign obligations.

 "You've just got fundamental weaknesses in the economy that the markets ignored in a more benign environment and that they are now pouncing on," said Lachman. "The Russians are the ones really under the gun now."

 A collapse in the Russian economy would pose even more disturbing problems for the Clinton administration than the Asian crisis, since Moscow is a nuclear power. The IMF, which has provided Russia with a $10 billion, three year loan package, has been wrangling with the Yeltsin government over how to cut the nation's budget deficit.

 Late yesterday in Moscow, in a dramatic move that is sure to please the IMF, the government raised a benchmark interest rate to 50 percent from 30 percent. The higher rates are designed to provide investors with attractive enough yields to keep their money in the country. But many analysts said it is far from clear the economy will be able to withstand the sharp increase in the cost of borrowing for very long.

 Economists generally agreed that Brazil is better able to withstand the selling pressure that hit its markets yesterday. The Brazilian government, which holds about $75 billion in reserves, established considerable credibility with investors during a period of instability late last year by raising interest rates to high levels and holding them there until the markets settled down.

 



Wednesday May 20.
    Asian currencies enjoyed an unexpected reprieve on Wednesday as Indonesia's armed forces maintained a heavy presence in Jakarta and massive anti-government protests were called off at the last minute.
Most regional currencies extended or at least held on to Tuesday's gains, which were inspired by President Suharto's promise to hold fresh elections and not stand as a candidate.
Relative calm in the Indonesian capital soothed investors' frayed nerves, but dealers said the mood remained nervous, capping gains in Asian currencies.
Moslem leader and key opposition figure Amien Rais called off mass demonstrations on Wednesday morning. He later said he had done so because an army general told him Indonesia was prepared to tolerate another Tiananmen Square -- a reference to the bloody crackdown on the pro-democracy movement in the Chinese capital Beijing in 1989.
Traders and analysts were generally pleased by signs President Suharto was moving ahead with promised political reforms, but most said the jury was still out on whether the 76-year-old leader would indeed surrender his grip on power, as demanded by the people.
"The current situation -- a complete lack of liquidity in the markets and capital flight -- can only be addressed if investors feel that the government can take charge of the situation and a compromise can be reached,'' said Thio Chin Loo, strategist at Banque Paribas.
"To this end, the cooperation of opposition party leaders and student activists remains key, and the government's commitment to reforms the only way forward,'' Thio said in a commentary.
A presidential spokesman said Suharto's new reform committee would be named on Thursday and its first priority would be to set a schedule for fresh elections.
The rupiah hovered between the 11,000 and 12,000 levels, but dealers said there were practically no trades going through after the Indonesian central bank suspended clearing operations.
It said normal operations would resume on Friday after a national holiday on Thursday.
The Jakarta Stock Exchange was open, but trading was at a practical standstill as most brokers stayed away. In the knife-edge volume, lone stocks gained 10.18 points, 2.46 percent, to end the day at 424.00.
Analysts said Indonesian markets would have trouble making much headway as recent unrest had further undermined Indonesia's stuttering efforts to rebuild its economy.
The United States indicated overnight that the next installment of IMF cash to the country would be held up due to the political chaos.
The World Bank and Asian Development Bank have already postponed loans to Indonesia and private debt talks with international creditors have also been delayed.
"Indonesia's economic woes are worsening. The recent destruction in Jakarta has set them back. It will be even more difficult for the rupiah to recover now,'' a European bank dealer in Singapore said.
Stocks in the Pacific Rim ended generally firmer on Wednesday as Japan and Hong Kong investors regained their confidence in the region after an apparent day of respite from political unrest in Indonesia.
In Tokyo, the blue chip Nikkei 225 index gained 101.30 points, 0.65 percent, to end the session at 15,652.95. Volume on the first section of the Tokyo Exchange was a healthier 430 million shares, up from 347 million on Tuesday.
However, the yen continued to lose ground against the dollar, falling 0.30 yen during the day to trade at 136.14 from 136.44 Monday afternoon in New York.
Traders said that the recent social unrest in Indonesia, which has led to the deaths of at least 500 people, had made investors skittish about the entire Pacific Rim region, causing many to pull their money out of stocks and local currencies and into the safe haven dollar.
    Meanwhile, concerns over the state of Japan's own economy were renewed when the yield on the benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond fell to 1.275 percent from Tuesday's finish of 1.280 percent, driving up its price to 111.55 yen from 111.52 yen.
    After a depressed opening, Hong Kong stocks recovered strength late Wednesday afternoon to end 1.06 percent higher, up 100.07 points at 9,549.18. Traders said that fears of renewed violence in Indonesia had largely dissipated, although some lingering anxiety remained. Turnover was moderate at HK7.88 billion, up from HK6.59 billion.
    Trading in Southeast Asia was mixed and somewhat cautious on Wednesday, although most markets took heart from the quiet in Jakarta and made tentative gains.
Malaysia's KLSE stock index closed up 14.77 points, 2.66 percent, at 569.19 while Indonesia's Jakarta Composite index closed up 10.18 points, 2.46 percent, at 424.00.
In neighboring Singapore, however, stocks dipped 4.84 points, 0.38 percent, to end the day at 1,273.78.
Dealers cited concerns over Singapore's economic health for the decline. Government data released during the session revealed that the nation's exports had slowed, reigniting worries about the region's long-term economic viability.

Thursday May 21.
    Saying he would not defy the will of the people, President Suharto Thursday morning announced his decision to resign from office.    Suharto made his decision known in a nationwide television address, ending his 32 years as head of the   world's fourth most-populous nation. The resignation is effective immediately.    Suharto handed over power to Vice President Bacharuddin Jusuf Habibie, who immediately took the    presidential oath of office before Supreme Court justices, a Koran held over his head. "I have decided to declare that I have ceased to be the president of the Republic of Indonesia as of the  moment I read this statement," Suharto said live on television in the presence of Habibie and other top  officials.
    The 76-year-old president, who had ruled since 1966, had been under escalating domestic and foreign pressure to step down amid the country's worst political and economic crisis since he came to power.  Habibie has been a friend of President Suharto since boyhood. He was appointed President Suharto's deputy in March 1998, 20 years after he first entered Suharto's Cabinet.
    Immediately after the swearing-in, Gen. Wiranto, the armed forces commander, said the army supports the transition of power from Suharto to Habibie. Gen. Wiranto asked the Indonesian people to remain  calm.  ``The armed forces will take part in preventing any irregularities ... that could threaten the nation,''   Wiranto said in a nationwide address. That was a reference to the armed forces' determination to  prevent another outbreak of violence.
    A retired five-star army general and Asia's longest-serving ruler, Suharto, 76, guided the nation of 202   million people through unprecedented prosperity. Yet his people blamed him for the country's sudden,  painful economic and social slide set off by the 1997 Asian economic crisis.
    Widespread rioting turned bloody when police shot dead six students at an anti-government protest on May 12. In the following days, rioters looted and set fire to cars, banks and shopping malls; more than 500 people died in the chaos. Student protesters ransacked Parliament, vowing not to leave the marble halls until Suharto resigned.
       Indonesian President Suharto has stepped down from the helm of a country in its worst economic mess since the 1960s and the problems can only worsen amid continuing political uncertainty, analysts said Thursday.
The political earthquake which led to Suharto's resignation on Thursday has already had a knock-on effect on the economy, with institutions such as the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank putting vital bail-out funds on hold.
The country's banking sector has all but closed down and financial markets have shuddered to a halt as violent anti-Suharto protests brought Jakarta to a standstill.
"Aside from political reforms, the economy is going to be the one that is much harder to turn around and it's going to get a whole lot worse before it gets better,'' said Chiang Yao Chye, head of Asia Pacific research at CIBC in Singapore.
Even with Suharto gone, political uncertainty remains and the market reaction to Vice President Jusuf Habibie taking over was one of disappointment.
Habibie is a protégé of Suharto and overseas investors are unlikely to return to Indonesia because of doubts that the government has really turned over a new leaf.
Suharto said Habibie would serve until 2003, although Environment Minister Juwono Sudarsono said the former vice-president may only be a stop-gap successor.
The general view is that the ship may have changed captains but it is still heading for an iceberg, although some political analysts believe that Habibie's tenure is doomed since he has little support within the army, the government or amongst the public.
"He's an interim president. I'd give him a few weeks at best,'' said Bruce Gale, manager of the Political and Economic Risk Consultancy's Singapore office.
"The odds are just stacked against him.''
So with the political picture far from clear, economic analysts say they have no choice but to be bearish.
``The risk that a lot of people seem to be overlooking is that the economy has fallen so far and so hard,'' said Andrew Fung, regional treasury economist at Standard Chartered in Singapore.
Forecasts for this year's gross domestic product (GDP) range quite widely but center around a contraction of about 7 or 8 percent, although some are much more pessimistic and said they would not be surprised to see a double-digit fall.
``The risk is to the downside. Before the political situation blew up, there were still people investing in Indonesia, like the oil companies who were insulated from the currency effect because their revenues were dollar-denominated,'' Standard's Fung said.
``But with companies like Conoco (the U.S. energy giant) pulling their staff out, even the most resilient of investments seem to be falling by the wayside. No one's going to consider putting new money in there until the political situation clears up.''
Looking further ahead, analysts said Indonesia would be extremely lucky to see much growth returning next year and more likely is an economy just about dragging itself out of contraction.
``The way things are looking, this year is going to be quite ugly and you'll be lucky to see flat GDP next year,'' CIBC's Chiang said.
The 80 percent drop in the value of the rupiah has lit the fires of inflation and the latest official data for April showed a year-on-year rate of 44.9 percent.
Analysts say the huge price pressures which have built up in the economy because of the rupiah's slump are being made much worse by shortages of food and other basic goods. Neither of those factors show signs of abating.
Some analysts are looking at a hyper-inflation spiral as future price rises start to be factored in.
As a rule of thumb, hyper-inflation is defined as price rises running at between 40 and 50 percent. Despite the official numbers there is plenty of anecdotal evidence that the prices of staples like rice, flour, eggs and meat are already rising faster than that.
Unemployment will come with a vengeance as the economy slams into reverse.
Analysts said figures are published only on an annual basis and as of last year the jobless rate was 4.7 percent, but they were quick to point out that they did not trust the validity of the numbers.
The government has estimated that about 10 percent of the country's 90 million strong workforce will be unemployed by the end of this year, but analysts are looking at a figure closer to 15 million -- more than 15 percent.
``I would say if they hold it to 15 to 20 percent they are doing well,'' said one analyst.
But politics will be a major factor in any recovery scenario, analysts said.
``The least political uncertainty can do is to delay the implementation of economic reforms,'' CIBC's Chiang commented.
``It's not to say there will be no pain but the earlier they take the pain the faster the recovery is going to be. Any delay on the political front will, if anything, make things worse on the economic front.''

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has come under fire for making a bad situation worse in Indonesia but analysts say Jakarta has little choice but to rely on the fund, no matter who rules the troubled nation.
Indonesian President Suharto, bowing to domestic and international pressure, resigned Thursday.
 Vice President Jusuf Habibie immediately took his place, but analysts questioned how long the controversial Habibie could stay in power.
 A danger remains that tough reforms mandated by IMF bailouts in South Korea and Thailand could spark similar political unrest in those nations, although greater progress toward political reform is expected to help avert Indonesian-style turmoil there.
 Hailed as a savior when Indonesia turned to it for help last October, the IMF since has come under heavy criticism for setting too-strict terms for its assistance and for failing to adapt its traditional prescriptions to the special requirements of Asia's economies.
 "In Indonesia, the method and timing of the broad structural reform policies included in (IMF) conditionality was too hasty and complicated the problem," an advisory panel to Japan's finance minister said in a report issued Tuesday.
 The IMF masterminded a $40 billion-plus rescue deal for Indonesia last October but twice had to revise the economic reform program linked to the bailout.
 Fund defenders, however, say that while some criticism of the content of harsh IMF prescriptions is valid, an ossified Indonesian political system built up during President Suharto's 32-year rule must bear most of the blame for the current chaos.
 "When the crisis hit last year, the political system wasn't able to respond," said Bruce Gale, Singapore manager of Hong Kong-based Political and Economic Risk Consultancy.
 Economic collapse after years of booming prosperity ignited growing dissatisfaction with the inequalities and rigidities of Suharto's regime, triggering the 76-year-old leader's downfall.
    The IMF said Wednesday it could no longer meet a June 4 target to pay its next loan installment and would have to reassess the economic assumptions underpinning the program.
 Ultimately, though, Indonesia will have no alternative to relying on the IMF to help it out of its economic woes.
 "Even a new government won't blame the IMF because they are going to need IMF support, and lots of it," Gale said.
 Habibie was quoted Thursday as saying he could honor all commitments with the IMF and continue promised reforms.
 Analysts said the fund's reaction and the nation's worsening economic crisis would be key factors in determining how long Habibie stayed in power.
 "It all depends on the economic situation. If there is no improvement in the economic situation and the IMF will not release the funds, then it will be very difficult no matter who comes up," said Hilman Adil, director of the Center for Social and Cultural Studies in Jakarta.
The overseas investment community has reacted with distaste in the past to Habibie's free-spending and unorthodox economic views.
 "The IMF has actually specified some of Mr. Habibie's projects for condemnation in its reform program at various times," Gerry Van Klinken, professor at Sydney University, told RTV, adding the IMF was unhappy with Habibie's approach to economic policy when he was research and technology minister.
IMF officials in Tokyo declined comment Thursday.
 But the World Bank said it was ready to resume operations in Indonesia as soon as the capacity to carry out economic reforms returned.
 "We will be moving quickly in close collaboration with the IMF to restart operations as soon as we have a sense of the emerging players here," Dennis de Tray, the bank's director in Indonesia, said, adding the first priority for Jakarta was to form a credible and competent cabinet.
Risk remains, meanwhile, that Thailand and South Korea could suffer more social unrest and political instability as they move to implement more reforms agreed on with the IMF.
 "At times when the economy is in recession there is always the risk of social unrest, and the risk that that will spill into political instability for countries like Korea and even Thailand can't be ruled out," said Rob Subbaraman, an economist at Lehman Brothers Japan Inc.
 Still, Seoul and Bangkok are seen as better positioned to avoid turmoil on an Indonesian scale.
 "The strength of South Korea and Thailand is that they basically have governments in power that people have a certain degree of confidence in, and there is an agreed mechanism by which these governments can be held accountable," Gale said.

    Financial markets throughout the Pacific Rim rejoiced on Thursday as investors took Indonesian President Suharto's announcement that he would resign as a sign that political tension in Jakarta may soon ease.
Tokyo's key 225-stock Nikkei average rose 192.30 points, 1.23 percent, to close at 15,845.25.
It had risen as high as 15,972.88 in the morning, but lingering worries about the future of the Indonesian economy pulled the average back downward later in the session.
Nikkei June futures ended 280 points higher at 15,870.
"Indonesia managed to avoid disorder for now, but it is hard to think that everything (in the country) will go well," said Hiroshi Arano, general manager at Dai-Ichi Kangyo Asahi Asset Management Co. Ltd.
In his speech on Thursday, Suharto said he has decided to resign immediately, ending a 32 years in power to hand over his position to Vice President Jusuf Habibie.
"Even though Indonesia's political crisis is over, its economic stagnation isn't over yet, and that would affect Japanese companies' business there," said Ryoji Musha, Japanese equity strategist at Deutsche Morgan Grenfell Capital Markets Ltd. "It will take time for Indonesia to regain stability as power struggles will continue."
There are widespread expectations in the market that the 15,000 level in the Nikkei average will be solid because a number of Japanese firms have announced stock buyback plans this quarter and also because of expectations that Japan will tackle long-standing bad loan problems, brokers said.
"The amount of shares companies are planning to buy back has already reached 2.3 percent of last year's trading volume on the Tokyo bourse," Arano said. "Share buybacks will continue to provide strong support to the market."
The yen also improved drastically on the news, leaping against the dollar to 134.96 from 136 levels on Wednesday.
Hong Kong stocks closed higher on Thursday as buyers returned to the market, nerves calmed by the news from Indonesia.
The Hang Seng index rallied 121.27 points, 1.27 percent, to close at 9,670.45 after hitting a high of 9.725.11.
HSBC Holdings dominated the market as investors looked for renewed exposure in Hong Kong and covered short positions.
HSBC gained HK$4.50 to HK$204.00 and accounted for nearly a quarter of the day's HK$7.21 billion turnover.
Stronger markets elsewhere in the region and lower local interbank rates improved sentiment further. The benchmark 3-month HIBOR rate dipped to 6.92188 percent at Thursday's fixing against 7.0000 percent at the same time on Wednesday.
"What we need to hear now is talk of interest rate cuts, either in Hong Kong or China," said Steven Thompson, chief analyst at Nikko Research Center (HK).
Financial issues surged to lead the Malaysian market to a strong finish on Thursday as investors were cheered by the Suharto news and indications that the Malaysian banking sector will be cleaned up.
The Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange's key Composite index was up 24.43 points, 4.29 percent, at 593.62.
In Singapore, stocks also climbed, gaining 45.87 points, 3.60 percent, to end the day at 1,319.65.
The Indonesia market was closed for the Ascension Day holiday.
 


Friday May 22.
    Enthusiasm for Pacific Rim stocks evaporated Friday, with most major markets lacking the energy to parlay optimism over Indonesian President Suharto's resignation into a sustained rally.
In Tokyo, the 225-stock Nikkei average closed down 0.28 percent, 43.60 points, at 15,801.65 after climbing as high as 15,915.23 at one point in early morning trade.
Some participants were reluctant to actively buy shares ahead of the weekend, and particularly with a three-day weekend in the United States. They were also cautious about the Japanese economy and future developments in Indonesia.
Nikkei June futures were down 130 at 15,740.
First-section turnover was a moderate 409 million shares against 468 million shares on Thursday morning.
Brokers said the Nikkei will continue testing 16,000, and they do not expect sharp falls any time soon.
But they also said the Tokyo market was not yet in a sustained recovery trend.
"The resistance this morning is not a major one. The Nikkei is likely to continue testing 16,000, and it could continue rising to 16,200 without great difficulties," Tokyo Securities general manager Kunihiro Hatae said. "I don't think there will be any sharp falls before the Upper House election."
Many brokers, however, were not optimistic about the Nikkei's movement over the medium and long term.
Daiwa Securities deputy general manager Kenji Karikomi said that Suharto's resignation on Thursday calmed domestic tensions, but worries over Asia's currencies and economic turmoil remained.
The dollar rose to a high of 136.08 yen overnight after minutes from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy board meeting in April said reductions in interest rates could be a "consistent" move.
    Hong Kong stocks were weaker on Friday in quiet trade as investors waited in the wings for results of a government land tender later in the day, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index was off 114.47 points, or 1.18 percent, at 9,555.98. Turnover was a slim HK$2.49 billion with little news to trade on, brokers said.
"Investors are quite content to sit on the sidelines and await an excuse to trade," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SocGen-Crosby Securities.
He added investors were reluctant to enter the market ahead of a long weekend in the United States and Britain where markets will be closed for a holiday on Monday.
Brokers said there was little reaction to Indonesian President Jusuf Habibie's new cabinet, announced this morning.
    The appetite for Singapore shares began healthy on Friday but soon waned as dealers considered the new Indonesian cabinet menu presented by Habibie. The benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index fell 5.98 points, 0.45 percent, to end at 1,313,67 after a brisk morning session.  "There is some keen interest from foreign funds in blue chips and we're seeing a bit of trading going on, but the market is a bit cautious as we wait and see about Indonesia," a Singapore dealer said.
Elsewhere in Southeast Asia, market reaction to Habibie's first day in office was mixed.
Malaysian stocks plunged 2.76 percent, 16.39 points, to end at 577.23.
In Indonesia, the Jakarta Composite stock index continued its ascent, soaring 4.99 percent, 21.13 points, to close at 445.15.


Monday May 25.
    Indonesian President Jusuf Habibie said on Monday that international loans were crucial to Indonesia's economic recovery, and obtaining them was dependent on the country's success in stabilizing its political crisis.
In a speech to the first meeting of his new cabinet, Habibie pledged to press ahead with economic reforms and set out his priorities in bringing Indonesia back from the brink of economic collapse.
"We must honestly admit that our success in overcoming the economic crisis depends largely on foreign loans, especially to finance imports of raw material and spare parts," Habibie said. "Foreign loans are influenced by our success in stabilizing domestic political life. Economic life does not stand in isolation."
Habibie said the government would go ahead with reforms demanded by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as conditions for its $41.2 billion rescue package for the crippled economy.
The IMF has delayed disbursement of the next installment of a $10 billion balance-of-payments loan, the central plank of the reform package, pending reassessment of the political and economic situation in Indonesia.
Its chief Asia expert Hubert Neiss was due to arrive in Jakarta on Tuesday to conduct the review.
Habibie said the government would accelerate restructuring of the banking sector and speed up a settlement on Indonesia's corporate debt.
"We will accelerate the restructuring of banks under the supervision of the Indonesian Bank Restructuring Agency in order to improve the banking sector," he said.
"We will accelerate efforts to overcome corporate foreign debt, and boost our efforts to strengthen support and confidence in international circles, especially from friendly countries and international financial institutions."
Talks on a settlement on Indonesia's $80 billion in private debt are due to resume in Frankfurt in early June.
Habibie confirmed that Bank Indonesia, the Indonesian central bank, would have operational independence and could set its own monetary policies, including deciding interest rate levels and managing the exchange rate.
"Steps will be taken . . . to stress Bank Indonesia's independence in monetary policy, including on interest rate and foreign exchange management," he said.
Echoing comments made at the weekend by top economics minister Ginandjar Kartasasmita, Habibie said his main short-term economic priorities were restoring confidence in the rupiah and bringing inflation under control.
"The short term problem which need to be paid attention is to restore confidence on rupiah and to control inflation," he said.
The government would amend Indonesia's laws to make its economic reform program possible, and would abolish the collection of levies which were not based on legal regulations, Habibie said in the text of his cabinet speech made available to reporters.
"The revision of laws in the economic field needs to be accelerated, including to abolish monopolies and oligopolies and boost fair competitiveness," he said.
The government's economic reform program would also focus on ways to reduce the burden on the poor and on small and medium-sized companies, Habibie said.
"We must give special attention to the groups of people who are affected by the economic crisis, and to supporting the small scale businesses and cooperatives."
    The dollar climbed to its highest level against the yen since 1991 on Monday after a senior U.S. official was quoted as saying he was ready to see significant further falls in the yen to prevent a Japanese economic collapse.
The dollar hit a high of 137.15 yen in early European trade before Japan's Ministry of Finance warned it stood ready to take decisive action to prevent what it called excessive yen weakness.
"At the last Group of Seven meeting in London the United States said it shares Japan's concern over excessive yen weakness," Vice Finance Minister Koji Tanami told a news conference in Tokyo.
Given that statement, Tanami said, "Japan will continue to cooperate with other nations and take decisive action against excessive weakness in the yen."
He was responding to a report in the U.S. magazine U.S. News & World Report that said U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin was willing to let the yen keep weakening to 140 to the dollar, or even 150 if that was the only way to keep the world's second biggest economy from totally collapsing.
Tanami's comments were enough to drive the dollar down to just below 137 yen, but the currency's strength gave European stock markets an early boost.
The dollar's latest rise was triggered by Rubin's reported comments that he was willing to let the yen weaken "if that's the only way to keep the world's second-biggest economy from totally collapsing."
Although Rubin told reporters on Sunday that U.S. dollar policy remained unchanged, his comments added uncertainty to the holiday-thinned market.
"Rubin's remarks are a risk to the yen against the dollar," said Herve Goulletquer, chief economist at Credit Lyonnais in Paris. "The market continues to be bearish for the yen, but I do not believe a weaker yen is in anybody's interests."
Rubin has repeatedly said the United States favors a strong dollar and that this has helped the country's economic performance over recent years.
    A new downturn for the yen and market holidays in the United States and London added up to thin and uninspired trading in Pacific Rim markets on Monday.
The Tokyo stock market's key 225-share Nikkei average ended down 18.53 points, or 0.12 percent, at 15,783.12.
"Investors were cautious about how far the yen would fall," said Tetsuya Ishijima at Okasan Securities.
Many bank issues were weak due to market worries over their bad loans, and that also prevented the benchmark index from rising, brokers said.
There were few market participants on Monday amid the three-day weekend in overseas markets and also because brokers were reluctant to actively trade at the end of the month.
"As today was the beginning of the week and also near the end of the month, many investors did not push themselves to participate in the market," a futures trader at a medium-sized securities house said.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 293 million shares against 409 million shares on Friday.
The dollar rose by one yen in Tokyo morning trade from Friday's New York close to hit 136.85 yen following comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin indicating the U.S. was willing to tolerate further weakening of the yen. The dollar hit 137 yen in the afternoon, its highest level since August 1991, amid a fall in yields of Japanese government bonds.
"Market participants will be careful about the yen's movement and overseas investors' stances on Japanese stocks. They will closely watch to see how overseas markets, particularly the U.S. currency market, will move after the long weekend," Ishijima said.
Some investors were perplexed on Monday because overseas investors' recent trading stances and the yen's fall seemed to contradict each other.
Overseas investors usually sell Japanese stocks when the yen falls, but non-Japanese concerns have recently become net buyers of Japanese shares, causing many overseas funds to take advantage of a weaker yen to hunt for Tokyo bargains.
Hong Kong stocks closed a touch weaker on Monday with liquidity drying up to a 1998 low as investors stayed on the sidelines to wait out a market holiday in the U.S. and the U.K., brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index dipped 11.45 points, or 0.12 percent, to 9,544.53 after hitting a low of 9,487.54. Turnover shrank to HK$2.62 billion, its lowest level this year, from Friday's already quiet HK$4.03 billion.
"All in all there is not a great need to do anything and a great desire to do anything," said James Osborn, sales director at ING Barings.
"I expect to see turnover remain very low this week. I expect to see the market fairly flat this week."
In Seoul, the key index plunged to an 11-year low of 331.90, down 24.15 points or 6.78 percent as domestic institutional investors went on a selling spree, but brokers said it had little impact on the Hong Kong market.
Instead, Hong Kong investors were waiting for guidance from the expiration of the May Hang Seng Index futures contract on Thursday, brokers said.
Ricky Tam, senior research analyst at Delta Asia Securities, said open interest in the June contract was notably big.
"Some investors expect the market in June will be quite volatile so they still accumulate short positions in the futures market," said Tam.
The May Hang Seng Index futures contract was up 35 points at 9,515 with open interest of 48,725 contracts. The June contract added 30 points to 9,485 with open interest of 34,811 contracts.
  Singapore's shares ended flat on Monday as investors stayed sidelined, awaiting developments in Indonesia.
Indonesia's political uncertainties under a new government led by President Jusuf Habibie, along with a poor outlook for Singapore's manufacturing sector, was seen keeping prices rangebound, traders said.
"(Singapore Telecom) and some property counters are getting play but negative sentiment will continue to erode valuations," a dealer with a local brokerage said.
The key Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended 0.97 points higher at 1,314.64.
    South Korean stocks tumbled to close at an 11-year low on Monday as local institutions dumped blue chips and global investors yawned at the removal of overseas stock ownership limits.  Initially South Korean regulators were hoping for a surge of overseas investment in their market Monday. The 55 percent overseas ownership limit in Korean companies was abolished Monday. In addition the individual 25 percent limit for Pohang Iron and Steel Co. (POSCO) and Korea Electric Power Corp. (KEPCO) was expanded to 30 percent.
But overseas buying was focused only on a handful of blue chips and POSCO was the only stock subscribed to its new holding limit.
Disappointment that global investment was less enthusiastic than expected sparked panic selling, sending the Korea Stock Exchange composite stock index to close at 331.90, down 24.15 points or 6.78 percent.
The close was the lowest since February 26, 1987, when it ended at 330.11.  "Sell, sell and sell," said Casey Choe, a senior equity trader at Indosuez W.I. Carr Securities. "The outlook for the market looks very gloomy."  Analysts and brokers said the market was heading for the 300 level as more Korean companies go bankrupt and labor unrest increases during painful financial and corporate restructuring over the next three months.
Such fears surfaced on Monday after state-run Korea Development Bank announced its plan to close two unlisted subsidiaries, KDB Securities and KDB Futures.
The news drew the market's attention to a corporate "carnage" list due to be released by banks this week.
A threat by a militant union group to stage labor strikes from Wednesday also cast gloom over the market, brokers said.
Brokers said the market worried that its worst fears would come true after local elections on June 4.
"I cannot rule out the possibility the index will fall below the 300-point level," said Kim Junghan, a market analyst at the Korea Stock Exchange. "It's really worrisome."
Overseas investors cold-shouldered the limit expansion even though they snapped up 1.81 million newly available POSCO shares, brokers said.
The Securities Supervisory Board said overseas orders flooded in at a 69.3:1 ratio from the opening bell for POSCO. The board expected about 106.4 billion won ($76.88 million) to flow into the market from the purchase of POSCO shares.
"POSCO is a stock representing the nation and its shares will be scarce with the new limit, if you hesitate to buy," said analyst Woo Sang-chul at Tongyang Securities. "But other shares will be available whenever foreigners want to buy."
Brokers said domestic institutional investors, as they had done in the past, went on a selling spree because of the lifting of the overseas holdings ceiling.
Individual investors also jumped on the selling bandwagon once trading breached the downside of the long-standing 350 level.
"As foreigners showed strong buying in POSCO, domestic institutional investors poured in sell orders on five million POSCO shares from the opening bell," said broker Choi Dong-chul at Ssangyong Securities.
"The selling spread to other blue chips and across the board eventually. This reflected how many investors had been waiting for a chance to liquidate their positions," he said.
"The share expansion was the right time to dump shares," said Lee Keunmo, research head at ING Barings. He added that he could not find any good reason for international investors to rush into the currently uncertain Korean market.
Rhee Namuh, executive director of Samsung Securities, said overseas investors believe the Korean market would be very volatile for the next two or three months and had a downside risk.
"But its mid- and long-term prospects look optimistic," he added. "(Overseas investors) are expected to enter the market again from the second half. I forecast they will invest more than $4 billion by end of the year."


Tuesday May 26.
    Pacific Rim stocks ended mixed Tuesday after a day of faint trading as cautious investors stayed on the sidelines, lacking direction from overseas markets and recoiling from new weakness in regional currencies.
Tokyo stocks ended slightly firmer but gave up larger gains as investors found few compelling reasons to buy shares following a three-day vacation for many due to holidays abroad.
The Nikkei average closed up 0.64 percent or 101.70 points at 15,884.82. The index rose as high as 15,942.16 in morning trade. Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 278 million shares against 293 million on Monday.
Tokyo investors took a wait-and-see stance as trading by overseas investors was sluggish after a long weekend in some of the major overseas markets, brokers said.
Tokyo investors were also unwilling to move actively near the end of the month, they said.
Dollar/yen was near session highs, trading around 137.67 versus 137.15 in late afternoon Monday trade in Europe.
"The yen's recent sharp fall made investors worry whether it might accelerate foreign investors' sales of yen-denominated assets like Japanese stocks. But it didn't, as foreign investors were slow in coming back from the long weekend," said Kenji Karikomi, deputy general manager at Daiwa Securities.
    In Hong Kong, stocks limped lower on Tuesday in low-volume trading as investors were unnerved by weaker regional currencies, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index lost 62.32 points, or 0.65 percent, to end at 9,482.21. Turnover was slim at HK$3.63 billion against Monday's HK$2.62 billion, its lowest level this year.
"Sentiment is still very weak," said Michael Ng, dealing director at Sassoon Securities. "People are reluctant to buy and there is no fresh money coming in."
Brokers worried a weak yen would further hurt an already shaky Japanese economy while it may put pressure on the Hong Kong dollar peg to the U.S. currency.
A weaker market in South Korea did little to encourage market bulls as Seoul stocks on Tuesday tumbled to another 11-year low of 311.99, down 19.91 points or 6.00 percent.
"While there are still things to be nervous about, nobody is buying and the market is very dead. There is not the kind of volume we saw previously, especially on the sell side because there is less concern about redemption," said Glenn Lesko, head of sales trading at ABN-Amro Hoare Govett Asia Securities.
"I think if the market was to trend any higher it would be on incredibly light volume like we are seeing today."
Brokers expected volume to pick up on Wednesday as U.S. and British markets reopen on Tuesday after a long weekend. Singapore blue chips were soft on Tuesday amid selective buying in the broader market.
Lingering concerns about the economy and tougher business conditions dampened some index-linked counters, dealers said.
The key Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended down 1.85 points at 1,312.79.
"There's not much interest out there. Those who shorted the market heavily yesterday are buying back," a dealer with a U.S. investment house said. He said liquidity was thinned by caution and also the closure of U.S. and London markets on Monday for public holidays.
    The painful realities of economic adjustment hit home in South Korea Tuesday, with stocks taking a renewed pounding on fears of further labor unrest.  Local selling sent the Seoul stock index reeling 6 percent to another 11-year low after a near-7 percent fall on Monday. The plunge was blamed on local investors dumping stocks on a plethora of bad news headlined by reports of overwhelming support for imminent strike action at Hyundai Motor, the nation's largest auto maker.  Overseas buying did nothing to stem the slide despite this week's lifting of investment restrictions, with the Korea Stock Exchange composite price index ending down 19.91 points at 311.99.  Easier international access was expected to restore some luster to what was one of the world's best-performing markets in the first two months this year. But stocks continued to fall, adding to a 45-point decline in the index over the past few weeks.  "This is the introduction of free market capitalism in its most brutal form, and Korea's history has been geared towards avoiding precisely that," said one equity strategist.
Some analysts said this type of volatility should be expected over the coming months as stock markets around the region react violently to economic developments.
But the prospect of further labor action in South Korea had a pronounced effect on stocks and added to concern about an announcement expected Thursday about bank credit lines.
"There will be no lifeboat for some of these companies, and my suspicion is that people don't know which companies are going to be off the creditworthy list, so they're selling everything," said Peter Perkins, strategist at Daiwa Securities.
The backdrop was also profoundly negative.
An economic contraction of 3.8 percent in the first quarter -- much worse than many had feared -- and a sudden slide in the yen combined to pressure stocks across the board.  The yen's collapse past technical support at 136 to the U.S. dollar was cited by some as the catalyst for this week's slide in Korean stocks, even though the won remained relatively stable at 1,388 to the U.S. dollar.
South Korean exporters are now long on U.S. dollars after dumping inventory in January and February.
    But the overseas view of South Korea is quite different from the local view. As locals sell, offshore investors are starting to buy selectively, buoyed by evidence that adjustment is starting to occur.
"Lifting of foreign ownership restrictions is important because ultimately it means foreigners will have greater participation, and that may spur changes in management," said Eugene Chung, chief strategist at SBC Warburg Dillon Read.
He considers some South Korean exporters among the best bargains in Asia. Countering this optimism, however, is a growing awareness of the slow pace of recapitalization.
With stacks of excess productive capacity, South Korea is an attractive prospect for many multinationals, particularly those in consumer goods industries who have waited a long time for the access required to build a coherent regional framework.
But arbitrageurs said potential suitors are spurning many South Korean opportunities because access to rights to market and distribute goods remain limited and often make acquisitions of industrial capacity unworkable.
"There is a growing dichotomy between what the government is saying and what is happening on a micro level," the unnamed strategist said. "The capital hasn't shown up yet, and in the absence of recapitalization you don't want holdings in Korea."
 


Wednesday May 27.
    Russian financial markets came under severe pressure Wednesday, causing President Boris Yeltsin to call an emergency meeting with key members of his government while the central bank tripled interest rates to 150 percent.
On the fixed-income market, interest rates rose dramatically to 80 percent. The government opened the day offering a 294-day issue at 61.070 percent, but later in the day announced a second auction with rates at 80 to 84 percent.
To cap further such spikes, the Bank of Russia pushed its prime refinancing and Lombard credit rates from 50 percent to 150 percent, effective immediately.
"We wanted to pour some cold water on the market players," said First Deputy Chairman Sergei Aleksashenko. "There was no other explanation for what happened with longer paper than psychosis. . . .We think that we have responded adequately to the situation which took shape today."
Investors were unwilling to buy government treasury bills (GKOs) because of fear that the government would default on redeeming the bonds.
With investors deserting the stock market, the Moscow Times stock index was down 11.5 percent, or 49.75 points, to 382.77 by mid-afternoon. Stocks already have lost more than half their value since the beginning of the year.
Fund managers in Russia have suffered equivalent losses. The Lexington Troika Russia Fund has fallen 40.2 percent so far this year, and Mark Mobius' Templeton Russia Fund is down 26.8 percent.
Market watchers are calling Wednesday's situation a "meltdown" and say the only solution is for Russia to "ask for help" by requesting loans from Western institutions like the IMF or individual countries like the U.S. and Germany.
The Russian government continues to insist it will not devalue the ruble. The IMF has praised Moscow's fiscal reform plan but has not yet said when or if it will give Russia the next installment of a nearly $10 billion loan.
Although the trouble comes a day after the government was unable to attract any bids from companies interested in purchasing state-owned oil holding company Rosneft, analysts say the crisis had been brewing for some time.
"Initially the catalyst was the Indonesia crisis," said Chris Turner, global strategist at I.D.E.A. "Everyone thought, 'emerging markets, let's get the hell out of there.' Initially, stocks fell quite aggressively, but then Russia ran into its own problems."
Yeltsin has called a meeting with Prime Minister Sergei Kiriyenko, Finance Minister Mikhail Zadornov, central bank chief Sergei Dubinin and the Kremlin Chief of Staff Valentin Yumashev for Thursday to discuss the situation.

    A banquet of bad news dragged stocks throughout the Pacific Rim sharply lower on Wednesday, with brokers paying special heed to a dramatic decline in South Korean and Hong Kong markets and new weakness in the yen and other local currencies.
In Tokyo, U.S. credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service's mid-afternoon announcement that it had downgraded five top Japanese banks also pressured stocks.
The key 225-share Nikkei average closed down 1.39 percent, or 220.53 points, at 15,664.29. Nikkei June futures closed down 280 points at 15,600.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 322 million shares, against 278 million on Tuesday.
"Sharp falls in Seoul share prices are the main reason for the Nikkei's fall," said Yasuo Ueki, general manager of Nikko Securities.
"There is no fresh selling factor, but the yen's weakness, strong bonds and the drop in Wall Street stocks overnight have made investors unwilling to buy shares," a trader at a second-tier brokerage said.
Share prices fell in New York and the dollar soared against the yen on Tuesday, amid expectations that Asia's economic turmoil may spill over into the earnings of U.S. multinational firms.
The Dow Jones Industrials slid 150.71 points, or 1.65 percent, to close at 8,963.73. The dollar briefly shot up as high as 138.02 yen in New York. On Wednesday morning the dollar was quoted at 137.64 yen.
The Korea Stock Exchange's composite price index ended narrowly in the black, up 1.49 points or 0.48 percent at 313.48 on Wednesday after hitting an 11-year low on Tuesday amid concern about planned labor strikes and further corporate failures.
As well as lowering the ratings of five top Japanese banks, including Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi Ltd., Moody's also said it might cut the ratings of four other Japanese banks.
Hong Kong stocks were hammered to a sharply lower close on Wednesday as investors fretted about the local economy after Hong Kong leader Tung Chee-hwa warned of negative growth in the territory, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index dived 498.78 points, or 5.26 percent, to 8,983.43, its lowest close in four months.
"There is no support. The next level is 8,800, and whether it can hold or not we have to wait and see how Wall Street performs tonight," said Alex Tang, head of research at Core Pacific Yamaichi International. "If Wall Street continues to move lower, the market might come down again."
The weak yen, Wall Street's overnight losses and softer regional markets dragged the market lower and brokers said sentiment remained poor.
"I am definitely convinced that throughout the summer we will go much lower than 8,800 and we will probably even go towards 8,500 short-term," said Johan Tellvik, sales director at Caspian Securities.
Turnover picked up to HK$8.00 billion (US$1.03 billion) compared to Tuesday's quiet HK$3.63 billion.
Falling futures spurred the bears of the market ahead of the expiry of the Hang Seng Index contract for May on Thursday.
"The discount is telling us that people are still very negative in Hong Kong," said David Williamson, director at Indosuez W.I. Carr.
The May contract slid 535 points to 8,880 with open interest at 28,534 contracts while the June contract shed 600 points to 8,775 with open interest at 57,043 contracts.
Market focus was on the government's first quarter economic report, due on Friday, after Hong Kong announced a 12 percent drop in the value of March retail sales on Tuesday.
Hong Kong chief executive Tung Chee-hwa said on Tuesday the territory could see negative growth as it goes through a major economic adjustment.
"The growth of (the) economy will fall substantially and indeed may even be negative," he said.
Singapore shares were weaker on Wednesday, with trade choked off by poor economic news spreading across Asian stock and currency markets.
Dealers said fear of another bout of currency volatility had gripped the market and was keeping investors away.
"The thinking is that there will be another sell-off in the region," a trader said, noting regional currencies were under pressure from the yen while Asian equity markets were down.
The key Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended 17.26 points or 1.31 percent lower at 1,295.53 on overall market volume of a meager 43.6 million shares.
Indonesian stocks dropped nearly 4 percent, 17.09 points, to close at 416.96. Malaysian stocks sank 9.00 points, 1.6 percent, to 416.96.


Thursday May 28.
    Russian financial markets regained some confidence on Thursday after an emergency interest rate increase and hopes that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) would help the nation stabilize the ruble.
The benchmark Russian RTS stock index opened up 6.57 percent at 199.53 after falling around 11 percent on Wednesday in a panicky day of trading described as a "so-called meltdown" by analysts.
However, although traders said the Russian central bank's decision to triple interest rates to a vertiginous 150 percent on Wednesday had helped to keep dollars from fleeing Russia, they warned that the rate was not sustainable.
Instead, they looked to the IMF for an estimated $5 billion in support.
"The general expectation is that there will be some kind of package from the IMF over the weekend," said an emerging market debt trader in London. "The IMF situation represents everything. If the IMF stands by Russia, the market should do okay but if we don't get words of support, then the concern is how can we lower rates again and we are back to square one."
However, Mark Mobius, managing director of Templeton Funds, said that IMF intervention would not solve Russia's problems.
"What Russia needs is investor confidence," he said. "The government has got to reform the tax system so it's sensible . . . and it also must reform this whole stock exchange and capital markets system."
Regardless of the possibility of an IMF bailout, the Russian central bank intervened heavily in currency markets on Thursday, buying dollars against strong demand for scarce rubles following the rate hike. Earlier in the week, the central bank drew down its dollar reserves to buy up rubles, making the Russian currency scarce and propping up its value.
Overnight rates, an indication of ruble demand, rose to 200 percent on Thursday from around 150 percent late on Wednesday.
President Boris Yeltsin also lent his strong support to the ruble, vowing that the government would protect the currency from devaluation.
"Foreign investors should feel confident there will be no collapse of financial markets in Russia," Yeltsin said during a meeting with Prime Minister Sergei Kiriyenko, his finance minister and central banks chairman.
"There should be confidence that investors do not flee but rather come to Russia. The bank and finance ministry have enough reserves today to hold on."
Despite Yeltsin's comments, not all traders were convinced.
"Their foreign reserves are down," Mobius said. "Usually when governments claim they will not devalue, just the opposite occurs (and) if the ruble is devalued then there will be political fallout, so I think they must protect the ruble at all costs."
However, while Mobius said the ruble was important to Russia, he did not see the ruble as being as crucial as the rupiah or other Asian currencies are for their respective national economies.
"Most of the Russian economy is not a ruble economy, it's a barter economy," he said. "I would say about 50 percent of the economy does not deal in rubles. A lot of people think in dollar terms and deal in dollar terms already - for example, the stock exchange quotes prices in U.S. dollars, not in rubles."

 Stock markets in Asia and Australia ended mixed on Thursday as a rebound in South Korean stocks and a firmer yen relieved Japanese investors but economic fears elsewhere drove other Pac Rim markets to continue their sell-off.
In Tokyo, the key 225-stock Nikkei average ended up 0.84 percent, or 132.26 points, at 15,796.55.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 313 million shares against 322 million shares on Wednesday.
"Negative factors that pulled down Tokyo share prices yesterday disappeared today," said Yasuo Ueki, general manager at Nikko Securities.
Buying back of shares increased, encouraged by share price rises in South Korea.
The Nikkei average lost more than 220 points on Wednesday, mainly due to the yen's weakness and tumbles in markets in South Korea and elsewhere in Asia.
South Korean stocks, which plunged in recent sessions amid concern about planned labor strikes and further corporate failures, shot up more than 3 percent due to a rebound in blue-chip issues.
The dollar had climbed as high as 138.02 yen earlier this week in New York but was trading around 137.20 yen in Tokyo.
Despite the slight gain in the Nikkei, investors lacked reasons to actively buy shares on Thursday in a Tokyo market overshadowed by Japan's economic gloom and its bad loan problems, brokers said.
Economic data announced by the government and the Bank of Japan on Thursday -- for Japan's industrial production in April, domestic wholesale price index in the second 10 days of May and diffusion index of leading economic indicators in March -- all showed that the economy is still in bad shape, although they did not have a direct, significant impact on Tokyo share prices.
  Hong Kong stocks closed Thursday weaker after concerns about the local economy sent the market on a rocky ride, and brokers said sentiment remained poor.
The Hang Seng Index fell 105.49 points, or 1.17 percent, to end at 8,877.94 after hitting a high of 9,066.79. The blue chip index tumbled 498.78 points, or 5.26 percent, on Wednesday.
"There is still a lot of fear that the economic problems are going to put a lot of pressure on corporate earnings," said Andrew Fernow, director of research at Vickers Ballas.
The May futures contract was up 88 points at 8,968. The June contract added 35 points to 8,810 with open interest at 80,053 contracts.
The failure of the market to bounce back in late trade ahead of the May futures expiry on Thursday indicated selling pressure had not subsided, brokers said.
"I would not be surprised to see the market come down to near 8,000, but around 8,000 the support is very strong," said Percy Au-Young, sales director at DBS Securities.
Singapore shares traded lower on Thursday, depressed by mounting worries that economic strains in Asia would inflict more pain on local companies.
Dealers said fresh cracks in the South Korean and Hong Kong economies this week sapped market liquidity again.
"Korea is dragging regional confidence down. The key point is that funds are not confident being here," a local dealer said.
The key Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended 33.91 points or 2.62 percent lower at 1,261.62.
Indonesian stocks dipped 2.74 points to end at 414.22, while in Malaysia stocks fell 7.54 points, 1.37 percent, to 544.74.


Friday May 29.
 President Boris Yeltsin fired the head of Russia's tax service on Friday as the government fought to reassure financial markets and the International Monetary Fund by plugging holes in the budget.
Yeltsin, who blames tax-dodgers for the budget crisis that sparked a run on Russian shares this week, was quick to fulfill his promise that heads would roll.
Interfax news agency reported the tax service chief and the man in charge of the state-run Transneft pipeline company had been fired.
Russian shares fell 11 percent on Wednesday but clawed back more than 6 percent on Thursday after the central bank tripled interest rates to defend the ruble.
On Friday, the benchmark RTS share index was 1.58 percent lower at 195.59, while the ruble was fixed a shade firmer at 6.1380 per dollar.
"The Russian government is sure the actions proposed, aimed at stabilizing the financial market and at substantive corrections in budget policy, are sufficient," Prime Minister Sergei Kiriyenko's team said in an eight-page statement outlining tax collection plans and spending cuts.
Yeltsin put off a number of meetings, including with major Russian businessmen, but met Kiriyenko for the second day running to discuss the crisis.
Russia and world markets have been eagerly waiting to hear whether the International Monetary Fund (IMF), whose Russia expert John Odling-Smee was in Moscow for talks, will disburse the next $670 million installment of an existing $9.2 billion credit.
"The IMF welcomes the statement made by the government this morning," a statement from the IMF's Moscow office said.
"On this basis, the IMF management will recommend to the Executive Board the completion of the review that would lead to the disbursement," it said. The IMF has homed in on better tax collection as one of its main conditions for the payment.
A deputy Russian finance minister said on Thursday that Moscow may need more money than the $670 million to tide it over the budget crunch, fueling speculation that a separate international financing package could be in the works.
Financiers in Moscow have said that Russia was considering seeking more help from outside the IMF as well.
Kiriyenko, 35, has been in office for just two months after Yeltsin removed his predecessor Viktor Chernomyrdin from office for failing to deliver tangible improvements in the lives of ordinary Russians. He was due to chair a meeting of a tax watchdog later on Friday.
The crisis agenda of the Temporary Extraordinary Commission (VChK), whose name not accidentally echoes that of the feared Bolshevik forerunner of the KGB, includes seizing the assets of major corporate tax-dodgers.
More state enterprise bosses and other officials could lose their jobs. Kremlin spokesman Sergei Yastrzhembsky was quoted by Russian news agencies as saying a list had been drawn up for a "financial cull."
One business leader who disappointed the government in its attempts to raise funds was already dismissed late on Thursday.
The chief executive of state oil company Rosneft, Yury Bespalov, was removed by government decree over the company's failed privatization.
Kiriyenko had been counting on at least $2.1 billion from the sale of 75 percent of Rosneft, the last oil company in state hands. But falls in oil and share prices meant that no one even bid for the company, leaving another hole in the budget.
The government statement said an austerity package would cut spending by 15 percent due to poor tax collection. It said the government expected to raise at least 15 billion rubles ($2.4 billion) by speeding up privatization once the crisis was over.
It also said it would squeeze at least five billion rubles from 20 major corporate tax debtors. The 1998 budget, before the planned cuts, was 500 billion rubles, with revenues forecast to be around 368 billion rubles.

    Pacific Rim stocks ended the week with a sigh of resignation on Friday after unsettling economic data in both Tokyo and Hong Kong and a rising dollar discouraged investors from actively buying shares.
In Tokyo, the key 225-stock Nikkei average closed down 0.80 percent, or 125.77 points, at 15,670.78.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange was 346 million shares against 313 million on Thursday.
"Investor sentiment was hit by the sluggishness in the economy and the situation in Asia," said Kunihiro Hatae, general manager at Tokyo Securities.
"The market lacked fresh incentives after moving due to the dollar's rise," Nikko Securities general manager Yasuo Ueki said.
The dollar rose above 139 yen in early Tokyo trade due to rising tension in South Asia after Pakistan conducted nuclear tests on Thursday. It was trading around 138.70 in Tokyo late Friday.
Investors see the yen's fall as a sign that overseas investors may continue to be fleeing the Japanese stock market due to a reduction in the value of their yen assets.
The release of data showing Japan's jobless rate hitting a record high of 4.1 percent in April worsened market sentiment, Daiwa Securities' deputy general manager Kenji Karikomi said.
"The jobless data will hit household spending and cool the economy in turn," said Masaaki Higashida, deputy general manager at Nomura Securities.
  Hong Kong stocks ended with a show of determination on Friday in a market otherwise seized with nervousness as investors awaited first quarter economic data.
As the market closed, the government announced that gross domestic product shrank two percent in real terms in the first quarter of 1998.
The Hang Seng Index closed with a gain of 56.62 points, or 0.64 percent, at 8,934.56. Turnover fell to HK$5.06 billion compared with HK$7.30 billion on Thursday.
"The market was trapped very much in a nervous band as people awaited the results of the GDP report," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SG Securities.
The index lost 621.42 points, or 6.5 percent, this week.
"I think people will start discounting further bad news," said Robin Fox, head of research at DBS Securities. "A recession is two quarters of contraction and there is quite a good chance that we will see a technical recession."
The GDP contraction for the first quarter of 1998 was the first quarterly contraction in Hong Kong in 13 years. The government said on Friday its 3.5 percent growth forecast for 1998 looked unattainable but had no revised figure.
"It looks as though it will be bad in the second quarter as well," said Fox.
The Singapore stock index closed lower on Friday, weighed down by uncertainties in Indonesia and Asian currency weakness.
"People who are not long-term holders will want to take any rebound in prices to sell," a local dealer said.
She said reports Indonesian students were protesting again in Jakarta for President Jusuf Habibie to step down were unsettling.
Singapore's key Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) ended 6.69 points or 0.53 percent lower at 1,254.93.
Malaysian stocks also ended lower, shedding 6.5 points, 1.19 percent, to 538.24. However, Indonesian stocks chalked up their first gain in a week, adding 6.24 points, 1.51 percent, to end at 420.46.

    Indonesia's new government took more steps Friday to begin the long process of reform after 32 years under ousted President Suharto's autocratic rule. The country's top economics minister announced sweeping reforms, as the former president's son and son-in-law resigned from their posts at one of the country's richest corporate giants.
Ginandjar Kartasmita, coordinating minister for economics, finance and industry, said the government had will implement reforms of investment procedures to cut bureaucracy and increase transparency.
"These are big steps, we can say they are sweeping reforms in investment rules. We expect this move will improve the investment climate in Indonesia to attract investors," Ginandjar told reporters after a meeting with President Jusuf Habibie.
We will cut bureaucracy and make transparent the criteria for granting tax holidays in a move to boost non-oil exports," Ginandjar said.
In the future, approvals for foreign investments of below $100 million would be signed by the investment minister. Approvals for investments over $100 million would still be signed by the president.
"Licenses for foreign investment will be issued under one roof at the investment ministry, although some of them can also be handled by regional investment offices," Ginandjar said.
Former President Suharto's second son, Bambang Trihatmodjo, resigned as president director of diversified conglomerate Bimantara Citra, one of the country's largest corporations, and Indra Rukmana, married to Suharto's eldest daughter, quit as president commissioner.
The Suharto family, which personally controls a lion's share of Indonesia's economy, is worth and estimated $40 billion. Indonesians believe most of the family's fortune was acquired through nepotism, and want its assets and cash returned to the country.
Although removed from the immediate management of the company, the pair remain Bimantara's biggest shareholders. Bambang owns more than 38 percent of the company and Rukmana about 14 percent.
Some 20 protesters chanted and sang songs outside the company's building demanding the Suharto family surrender their assets.
Several Suharto-linked companies have suffered since he handed power to his protege and deputy, Jusuf Habibie, on May 21, in the wake of widespread protests against his long rule
President Habibie, who has promised a complete revamp of electoral laws and new elections as soon as possible, ordered Thursday that a special session of the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR) will be called late this year or early in 1999 to approve changes in electoral law which will have to precede the polls.
The 1,000-member MPR, which includes the 500 members of parliament and nominated civilian and military officers, is the nation's top decision-making body.
The MPR, which usually meets once every five years, last held a session in March this year during which Suharto was named to a seventh consecutive five-year term and Habibie was chosen his deputy.
Constitutional experts have said the MPR needs to approve the changes in laws.
Indonesians elect the MPR through a complex voting system, in which candidates are assigned to parliamentary post. There have been suggestions that the country should switch to a district, or constituency, system of parliament.
Although the intense violence of the past weeks has subsided, the Jakarta Post reported Friday a riot in the North Sumatran town of Tanjungbalai, 90 miles southeast of the regional capital of Medan. The turmoil left one man dead and 14 people injured and damaged hundreds of shops, the paper said.
Witnesses were quoted as saying thousands of people went on the rampage, angered by gambling, prostitution, smuggling, drinking and nepotism in the town. Two bank branches were damaged and a small hotel was gutted by fire.
The paper said unrest had also broken out in the town of Jeneponto in the south of the island of Sulawesi. It said around 100 high school students had attacked shops and buildings. Police detained 50 students but later released them.
Meanwhile, the regional representative of the International Monetary Fund said Thursday the fund would consider whether its US $41.2 billion bail-out for Indonesia was still enough to rebuild the shattered economy in the wake of sweeping civil unrest.
Hubert Neiss, here to review economic and political conditions after Suharto's ouster last week in the wake of riots in Jakarta, told reporters it was too soon to judge if more money would be needed.
"In time, a team of the IMF will come here and assess the whole situation, will discuss every aspect of the economy with government officials and then an assessment will be made of whether the available financial support is adequate," he said.
After meeting Habibie earlier on Thursday, Neiss said the country's problems were so extensive that there would be no quick fix for its battered economy.
Speaking to reporters after an hour-long meeting with Habibie, Neiss said the political unrest that led to the ouster of president Suharto last week had made the country's recovery efforts even more difficult.
But he said that although his mission to Indonesia was not yet over, he had already determined there would be positive elements in his final report.
Neiss is in Jakarta until Saturday to review the nation's situation since Suharto's downfall and prepare a report that is likely to be decisive in the IMF's decision whether or not to resume aid.
The IMF has suspended disbursements of a $10 billion balance-of-payments loan, the central plank of a $41.2 billion rescue package crucial to getting the beleaguered economy back on its feet.

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Monday June 1.
    Stock markets throughout the Pacific Rim faced a dreary session on Monday as depressing economic news and pressure on the yen beat investor spirits lower and clouded trading in stock futures.
In Tokyo, the 225-stock Nikkei average closed down 349.75 points or 2.23 percent at 15,321.03. Nikkei June futures fell 370 points to trade at 15,330.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover was light at 331 million shares, down from 346 million traded on Friday.
Worries were reinforced by the yen's bearish trend. The dollar climbed above 139 yen in late Tokyo trade on Monday.
Meanwhile, a pullback in high-tech shares on Wall Street hurt sentiment in technology stocks in Tokyo in active trade, brokers said.
On Friday, the tech-studded Nasdaq tumbled 15.75 points to end at 1,778.87, as traders viewed technology earnings particularly vulnerable to Asia's economic slowdown
News of the possible tie-up between Tokyo brokerage Nikko Securities Co. and Travelers Group (TRV) sparked buying in shares of Nikko, which closed 46 yen higher at 482 ($3.47), topping the list of actively traded issues.
The news also touched off speculation of more alliances in the future, boosting shares such as Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd., another major Japanese brokerage, and Kokusai Securities Co. Ltd., a second-tier brokerage.
Hong Kong stocks closed sharply lower on Monday, shaken by local and regional economic tremors and brokers said prices were likely to remain weak in the near term.
The Hang Seng Index finished 322.55 points, or 3.61 percent, lower at 8,612.01, just off the low for the day and despite leaping ahead nearly 155 points at the open.
"There is a very bad atmosphere in the market," associate director Chris Geiger at Vickers Ballas said.
Turnover picked up slightly to HK$6.52 billion from Friday's HK$5.06 billion.
Futures-related trading strategies accounted for some of the market's volatility.
Singapore shares were weaker on Monday led by falls in property and bank stocks.
Dealers said sentiment was generally weaker also because of regional problems like negative growth in the first quarter in Hong Kong and Malaysia.
"Sentiment is just very weak with all the bad news in the region. The situation in Hong Kong looks like it will get worse," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said.
Singapore banks, which have heavy exposure in Malaysia, also came under pressure.
The broader market was also weaker with the benchmark Straits Times Industrials index down 20.34 points or 1.62 percent to 1,234.59.
The Malaysian stock market fell 20.24 points, 3.76 percent, to 518.00. In neighboring Indonesia, stocks were also uncertain, losing 6.38 points, 1.52 percent, to end at 414.07.
"It looks like the index is going to test 1,200 sometime this week. Beyond that, our chartist say we may see January lows again," a dealer said.
    Russian stock prices plummeted Monday while the main market for Russian stock futures, the Rossiiskaya Birzha, announced that it was suspending trading indefinitely due to settlement problems.
The Russian Trading System's benchmark RTS shares index closed down 10.24 percent at 171.71 Monday on sluggish total turnover of $28.94 million.
The Moscow Times stock index, another Russian equities benchmark, closed down 37.12 points, or 9.42 percent, at 356.88.
Dealers said unfulfilled expectations of emergency financial support from abroad for Russia's stricken markets were deepening the gloom.
"There isn't really any mood at all. I wouldn't say that there is selling going on, but there is no buying," said Rye Man & Gor Securities' head of sales and trading Kirill Maltsev.
Earlier Monday, the Rossiiskaya Birzha, a prominent futures exchange in Moscow, suspended all trade indefinitely due to problems in settling brokers' orders. The exchange trades in futures contracts on stock in several leading Russian companies.
The suspension order said that, if trade had not been restarted by 11:30 GMT Monday, all open positions had to be closed at the closing price from Friday, May 29. A spokeswoman for the exchange said the deadline had passed without resumption of trade, and therefore the exchange was suspended.
Russia's main currency and government debt exchange, the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange (Micex), said it was unaffected by problems at the Rossiiskaya Birzha and that trading was normal Monday.
"Trade of futures instruments on the Micex exchange on June 1 proceeded in a completely normal trading regime," an official at the bourse's press office said.
Dealers said they were wary of trading with each other and especially with smaller brokerages considered more likely to default on deals after the heavy falls in the index over the past few weeks.

    Pakistani stocks tumbled to a new record low Monday as domestic investors sold blue chips amid heavy selling by overseas investors, brokers and analysts said.
Getting its first chance to react to international economic sanctions that followed Pakistan's six nuclear tests last week, the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) 100-stock index plunged through the 1,000-point level in less than an hour of trade.
"That's a very expensive bomb," analyst Munir Ladha of M.L. Securities said, adding that more than $850 million of market capitalization was wiped out in the first two hours of trade.
But a government economic adviser said the stock market decline was just an initial reaction to sanctions and expected a reversal soon.
"I cannot give you an exact date or time," Ishfaq Hassan, economic adviser to the finance ministry, told reporters in Islamabad. "But it will start stabilizing once the panic is over."
The KSE index closed down 128.75 points, or 12.38 percent, at 911.44 after touching an all-time intraday low of 902.95.
KSE officials said directors of the bourse were in a meeting to see how a floor could be placed under the market. The meeting had reached no decision even two hours after trading ended.
The recent nuclear tests in the subcontinent prompted a number of major international funds to dispose of stock, analysts said.

Tuesday June 2.
Pacific Rim stocks had a generally easier time Tuesday as bargain hunters stepped into the breach left by the sharp descent the day before to bolster stock prices somewhat, although economic worries and a feeble yen still kept many would-be buyers on the sidelines.
Tokyo stocks bounced back on Tuesday, with the 225-stock Nikkei average finishing up 233.42 points, or 1.52 percent, at 15,554.45. Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) dwindled to 290 million shares from the 331 million traded on Monday.
Nikkei June futures rose 80 points to end at 15,410.
"The market will continue to consolidate, as many companies have not factored in possibly negative economic growth in Asia for the later half of this year," said Hiroyuki Nakai, general manager at Nikko Securities Investment Trust and Management Co.
The stock market was overshadowed by anxiety over the economy, with the yield on the key Japanese government bond falling to a record low of 1.125 percent on Tuesday afternoon.
Some said stability in Wall Street stocks overnight helped short-covering. On Monday, the Dow Jones industrials closed up points, or 0.25 percent, at 8,922.37.
Nikko Securities Co. Ltd. extended Monday's gains, after it and Travelers Group of the United States a capital alliance on Monday. Shares in Nikko were up 36 yen at 518, topping the list of actively traded issues on the TSE's first section.
The yen's weakness against the dollar gave a modest lift to some export-based shares like Sony Corp., brokers said. The dollar remained firmer at 139.46/50 yen at mid-session, against 139.12/17 yen in late Tokyo trade on Monday.
 The yen's decline was keenly felt in South Korea, where stocks lost well over 3 percent, 12.60 points, to end at 324.10 in heavy overseas selling.
Hong Kong stocks erased most of their earlier heavy losses to close Tuesday only a touch weaker, but concerns about a shrinking economy and a weak yen continued to dog the market, brokers said.
The blue chip Hang Seng Index closed down 13.84 points, or 0.16 percent, at 8,598.17. It had earlier hit a low of 8,351.11, or 267.56 points down, before investors stepped in to cover short positions and look for bargains, brokers said.
Turnover shrank to HK$5.53 billion against Monday's HK$6.52 billion with derivatives-linked trading to a large extent leading the market, they said.
    In Singapore, stocks ended lower as recent concerns over the worsening health of the neighboring Indonesian economy were borne out by data released Tuesday.
After news that Indonesia's economy was likely to contract 10.1 percent this year, stocks on Singapore's Straits Times Industrials index fell 2.23 percent, 27.47 points, to 1,207.12.
Indonesian stocks fell 14.48 points, 3.5 percent, to close at 399.59. 


Wednesday June 3.
    Markets in the Pacific Rim parted ways on Wednesday, with Tokyo stocks gloomily ending moderately lower while Hong Kong stocks rallied as investors hunted for bargains.
Tokyo's Nikkei 225-stock average was down 207.45 points or 1.33 percent at 15,347.00. Nikkei June futures lost 100 points to finish at 15,310.
Turnover was still light at 358 million shares on the first section of the TSE. Tuesday's volume was 290 million shares.
"The market was pretty much quiet except for hedge sales by domestic institutions," said Hiroshi Masuya, deputy manager of the securities investment department at Mitsui Marine and Fire Insurance Co. Ltd. "While the market lacked fresh factors, Nikko and Daiwa continued to attract attention."

"Thin trading volume exaggerated sales," said Tetsuya Ishijima, chief strategist at Okasan Securities Co. Ltd.
Many investors were sidelined because the impact of political and economic turbulence in Asia on Japan's corporate earnings is still unclear, Ishijima said.
The dollar stood at 138.43/48 yen in late Tokyo trade on Wednesday, against 139.49/54 yen in Tuesday's late Tokyo, boosted by speculation that the G7 nations might agree to support it as they meet next week.
 Hong Kong stocks rebounded on Wednesday as buyers returned to the market for bargains after recent steep falls, and inspired by a rebound in the Japanese yen, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index rose 221.05 points, or 2.57 percent, to 8,819.22 after hitting a high of 8,915.29. Turnover was largely unchanged at HK$5.72 billion against Tuesday's HK$5.53 billion.
However, some brokers said concerns about the local economy still kept investors on edge.
"Likelihood is that it is purely a reaction to the fact that the market has fallen so much over the last two months," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SocGen-Crosby Securities. "I think we will be testing low levels in the foreseeable future."
Hong Kong Monetary Authority chief executive Joseph Yam was cited as suggesting there might be negative growth for the 1998 second quarter, following last week's announced first quarter drop of 2.0 percent.
"If you define a recession as negative growth in two successive quarters . . . it seems we may see it," Yam was quoted by the South China Morning Post as saying during a London visit on Tuesday.
Singapore shares were mostly steady in quiet dealings on Wednesday.
Dealers said the mood was cautious with investors waiting for a clearer direction in the market. Property stocks did recover some ground after two days of heavy selling, they said.
"The (Straits Times Industrials) index did dip below 1,200 this morning, mainly because of Inchcape, but now it is back up. But the upside it going to be limited," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said.
At the close, the benchmark index was up 12.68 points, 1.05 percent, at 1,219.80. Total market volume was a light 57 million units.
Dealers said wider market sentiment was better because regional currencies were slightly firmer on the back of the stronger yen.
The Australian share market shed early gains to close mainly weaker on Wednesday as continued concerns over Asia and unclear directions from U.S. markets held investors back. "Apart from a better gold price -- and that looks temporary -- there was little reason to buy today," one broker said.  Early futures-led buying pushed the All Ordinaries index to a peak of 2,685.9 before it drifted down to close 9.1 points lower at 2,662 on turnover of A$720 million (US$442.8 million).  "Sentiment is still a bit fragile," said David Perry, head of research at Austock Brokers.


Thursday June 4.
Major Pacific Rim stocks closed mixed on Thursday, with utility bargain-hunting and merger speculation piercing the gloom for Japan stocks, while in Hong Kong economic worries pushed equities nearly 3 percent lower.
Tokyo's Nikkei 225-stock average was up 79.47 points or 0.52 percent at 15,426.47. Nikkei June futures had climbed 110 points to end at 15,420.
Turnover continued to fall, dwindling to 277 million shares traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange's first section from 358 million shares on Wednesday.
"The Nikkei 225 was lifted by a constant influx of money from cash-rich pension funds," said Kiyoshi Kimura, general manager at Societe Generale Securities.
Investors sought undervalued stocks in the utility sector, where earnings are not affected by weaker consumption, traders said.
The Japanese government's Management and Coordination Agency said on Thursday that spending by Japanese households in April fell 2.1 percent from a year earlier to an average of 337,308 yen per household.
The yield on the benchmark Japanese government bond continued to fall, reaching a record 1.140 percent late in the session.
Brokerage houses continued to gain attention. Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. topped the list of most actively traded issues, followed by Nikko Securities Co. Ltd.
Speculation about new alliances in the industry was fueled by an announcement earlier this week of a tie-up between Nikko Securities and Travelers Group of the United States.
"Investors will continue to pick up a limited number of issues, and the Nikkei 225 average will drift within a 500-point range for now," said Tsuyoshi Segawa, general manager at New Japan Securities.
The yen took a breather on Thursday, trading at above 138 against the U.S. dollar, as traders awaited a G7 (Group of Seven industrialized nations) meeting next week to see if the group would announce any program to support the yen.
Hong Kong stocks closed Thursday sharply lower as worries about a shrinking economy continued to gnaw at the market and brokers said a mood of caution reigned.
The Hang Seng Index shed 260.79 points, or 2.96 percent, to 8,558.43 in the shadow of Wall Street's overnight losses. Turnover dropped to HK$4.51 billion from Wednesday's HK$5.72 billion as investors stepped to the sidelines.
"The index is reflecting a bearish sentiment on the economy," said David Williamson, director at Indosuez W.I. Carr.
Gains made on Wednesday on the back of short-covering were erased on Thursday but brokers said derivatives-linked trading continued to set the tone.
"It just sort of reminds everybody that the possibility that there is going to be a big short squeeze at some point is legitimate," one broker said.
Singapore shares also ended sharply lower on Thursday, failing to sustain early buying momentum from Wednesday's late afternoon rally.
Dealers said trading was thin with block trades seen in several counters including Singapore Telecom, ST Engineering, Dairy Farm and NatSteel.
"Most of the married deals were done at yesterday's prices," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said. "A lot of punters who want to go for a quick trade are waiting to sell."
The benchmark Straits Times Industrials index closed down 32.06 points, 2.63 percent, to 1,187.74.
The Australian share market ended Thursday off its early U.S.-led lows as bargain-hunters went stock-picking among the blue chips in slow afternoon trade.  The All Ordinaries index closed 3.6 points down at 2,658.4 after bouncing from a low of 2,642 on very thin turnover of A$595.7 million (US$363.3 million).
"It's just flat really ... there is a bit of a trend for a downward drift, but the market is actually proving fairly resilient," said Andrew Sekely, head of equities at Intersuisse.  Brokers said underlying sentiment remained cautious with investors keeping wary eyes on the Asian economic downturn's impact on both the domestic economy and corporate earnings.  "I suspect that with the Asian problems starting to bite, the only thing that would give the market a significant fillip would be a combination of (a good rise on) Wall Street or lower interest rates and maybe a significant (upturn) for commodity prices," Sekely said.


Friday June 5.
 Increasing pessimism over the health of Pacific Rim economies pushed regional stock markets adrift on Friday, with most major indices caught in a downward trend by corporate doubts and currency worries.
Tokyo stocks finished moderately lower as worries over Japanese company bankruptcies, triggered by the failure of port harbor transport firm Mitsui Wharf Co. Ltd. were exaggerated by speculation about banks' financial troubles, brokers said.  The 225-stock Nikkei average was down 103.04 points, or 0.67 percent, at 15,323.43. Nikkei June futures closed 110 points lower at 15,310.
Despite active trade in a limited number of stocks, the overall volume remained light. On the TSE's first section, turnover was 290 million shares, against 277 million shares traded on Thursday. Losing issues outpaced gainers 656 to 424, while 180 issues were unchanged.
"Market sentiment was dampened by the sell-off in the banking sector," said Masatoshi Sato, manager at Kankaku Securities Co. Ltd.
Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan Ltd. (LTCB) closed down 18 yen or 9.05 percent at 181 and was the most heavily traded issue on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE).
The sales were touched off by a report in a monthly magazine that said the bank was in poor financial health. LTCB said late Friday morning that the article was groundless and it would sue the magazine.
Active sales spread to other banks. Fuji Bank Ltd. was down 45 yen to close at 605 and Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi Ltd. was down 30 yen at 1,365.
"What irritates us most is that it is hard to find out the truth (on Japanese firms' financial health)," said Ritsu Matsushita, director at Invesco Asset Management (Japan) Ltd.
Some brokers said sales in bank shares were touched off by the news about Mitsui Wharf as investors feared that an extended string of corporate bankruptcies could hurt the already-fragile banks.
Mitsui Wharf said on Friday that it had filed for protection from creditors at a court in Yokohama with debts totaling 20.37 billion yen. The shares were ask-only at 50 at the end of Friday's session, against Thursday's 100.
Concern about the health of Japan's banks also encouraged yen selling across the board, with traders watching for signs of renewed weakness in the currency as it fell to trade at above 139 against the dollar.
Hong Kong stocks closed Friday largely unchanged as cautious investors clung to the sidelines.
The Hang Seng Index added 11.04 points, or 0.13 percent, to end at 8,569.47. Turnover shrank to a slim HK$3.48 billion from an already low HK$4.51 billion on Thursday.
"We are very much in the middle of a range but with a great deal of nervousness," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SG Securities.
Caution remained the market watchword for the near term and brokers said concerns about a shrinking local economy continued to weigh on sentiment.
"There is a liquidity problem in the market," said Eugene Law, director at Lippo Securities.
The capitalization of the Hong Kong stock market fell 38 percent to HK$2,538.79 billion at the end of May from the same date a year earlier.
Singapore shares drifted lower in thin dealings on Friday, led by selling of bank stocks.
Dealers said market sentiment was weak after the benchmark Straits Times Industrials index (STII) broke support at 1,200 on Thursday and overnight gains on Wall Street did little to lift the downward selling pressure.
"Some people had hope the Wall Street gains would help stop the slide, but it looks like the selling is continuing," said a dealer with a Singapore brokerage.
At the day's end, the STII was down 19.28 points, 1.62 percent, at 1,168.46. Total market volume was light.
Australian shares closed down on Friday after drifting lower for most of the day as the market weighed central bank action on the embattled local dollar.
The All Ordinaries Index lost 15.6 points or 0.6 percent to close at 2,642.8. The benchmark index had spent a lifeless early period in a four-point range before dipping lower in the hour before the market closed for a long weekend.
Australian financial markets are closed on Monday for the Queen's Birthday holiday.
Falls heavily outnumbered rises on total value of A$639 million (US$387 million). Since last Friday's close the All Ordinaries has lost 72.9 points or 2.7 percent to today's level.
Dealers and fund managers said the market was still digesting the ramifications of a candid speech by Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) governor Ian Macfarlane in London overnight.
Macfarlane confirmed the RBA had intervened to support the Australian dollar on Thursday, effectively pitting the central bank against U.S. investment banks.
    The Australian dollar plunged to a fresh 12-year low on Friday, raising fears of a full-blown currency crisis and interest rate hike as the central bank aggressively defended the unit.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has spent at least A$1.0 billion (US$610 million) in the past 24 hours, buying Australian dollars in the face of heavy selling by U.S. investment banks and hedge funds, dealers said.
"It's an Armageddon scenario," David de Garis, senior treasury analyst at the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ANZ) said on Friday.
"The Reserve Bank may have to hike (rates) to stop the Australian dollar becoming a casualty like the (South Korean) won or (Malaysian) ringgit," de Garis told Reuters.
"The domestic fundamentals are not ringing any alarms, but the dollar surely is."
The Australian dollar hit a 12-year low in tense Friday afternoon trade as a retreat in the yen reminded the market of the dangers abounding in Asia.
The local dollar sank to 60.60 U.S. cents by mid-afternoon, surpassing its offshore low of 60.70 cents, despite talk the Reserve Bank was standing in the market to defend the currency. That was well down on Thursday's 61.55 high.
In part the Australian dollar was following the yen which skidded past 139.00 per U.S. dollar on U.S. fund buying and rumors Japanese Prime Minister Hashimoto might be mixed up in a financial scandal.
On Thursday, the RBA intervened aggressively to rescue the currency from a 12-year low of 60.70 U.S. cents, as investment banks and hedge funds sold massive amounts of local dollars.
But the spending spree bought only temporary relief and the central bank was believed to be standing alone in the market on Friday buying the Australian dollar under 61 U.S. cents.
So intense was the pressure on the dollar that RBA governor Ian Macfarlane took the unusual step of confirming the bank's intervention in the market in a speech in London on Thursday, declaring the currency market had over-reacted. "A significant fall in the exchange rate as we have had was always going to be part of the adjustment to this external shock (from Asia), but an overshooting would be in no-one's interest," Macfarlane said.
The Australia dollar has been unhinged by the country's trade exposure to Asia, which has already seen the country's current account deficit balloon by 33 percent in the first quarter of 1997/98.
Since last May, when the Asian economic crisis first grabbed headlines, the Australian dollar has declined by no less than 16.5 U.S. cents or 21 percent, partly in response to this deterioration.
The Australian dollar has only been down at these levels once before, and then only briefly, when it plunged from around 67 U.S. cents in May 1986 to an all-time low around 57.20 U.S. cents in July.
Macfarlane also took the opportunity to quash speculation of an Australian interest rate cut, which has been undermining the dollar in recent weeks. He said an easing was "very unlikely" and offered a stout defense of Australia's economy.
But none of this seemed to carry much weight with the big currency speculators in the United States.
"Ever since the market forced sterling out of ERM back in 1992 it has reasoned that if it could roll the Bank of England then it could roll anyone," said a dealer at an Australian bank.
In 1992, worldwide selling of sterling forced it out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System, despite all-out intervention by the Bank of England and two hikes in interest rates. One hedge fund alone, run by well-known speculator George Soros, made nearly a billion U.S. dollar profit.
    Dealers said the profit-motive was clearly behind the Australian dollar's present difficulties, but noted beating the RBA would be easier than the Bank of England because of its smaller foreign exchange reserves. The RBA's foreign exchange reserves stand at around A$20 billion -- a sum any respectable U.S. hedge fund could raise with a few phone calls.
Hedge funds represent many of the world's biggest individual investors and have access to billions of dollars of credit.
"The market will be quietly adding up what the RBA spends, waiting for it to run low on ammunition," said J.P. Morgan senior economist John Kyriakopoulos.
Analysts fear the currency will revisit all-time lows around 57.20 cents if it cracks the psychological 60 cent level.
But Australia's central bank is not afraid of a fight.
Rory Robertson, a fixed income analyst at Bankers Trust Australia, said the RBA had been prepared to put its reserves on the line in the past.
"We know that the last time they were concerned the currency had overshot, in the period between late 1991 and late 1993, they actually did A$18 billion of buying," he said. "So they do have a lot of money they're prepared to throw at it.


Monday June 8.
    The battered yen slid to 140.73 to the dollar in Tokyo morning trade on Monday, its lowest level in seven years.
The U.S. currency was quoted at 140.57/62 yen at the Tokyo market close. Traders said the currency was dragged down by persistent worries about the Japanese economy and the health of its banking sector.
The yen's fall triggered declines in other Asian currencies, including the Malaysian ringget, the Thai baht and the South Korean won, and pushed the Taiwan dollar to an 11-year low.
Japanese Vice Finance Minister Koji Tanami responded by pledging Tokyo would "act decisively" against excessive yen weakness, but Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto said all Japan could do was "closely monitor" currency moves.
"There's a bit of doubt about what the game is at the moment," said Richard Jerram, chief economist at ING Barings.
"Do they really want the yen to stop going down? Do they really think it's overshooting? Do they really think the weak yen is going to hurt Asia and do they really care?" Jerram said. "It's not entirely clear."
Some economists argue the yen's slide helps Japan, bringing the promise of higher exports to the United States and Europe.
"The biggest problem Japan has right now from the cyclical perspective is a massive inventory overhang and the only way they can solve that is through an export drive to the economies of Europe and the United States," said Jesper Koll, chief economist at J.P. Morgan in Tokyo.
Others, however, counter that many of the benefits to Japan are offset by domestic negatives, while the fresh blow to Asian currencies and economies will end up hurting Japan as well.
Gone, for example, are the days when the boost from a weaker yen to exporters' profits automatically spelled a shot in the arm for the broader economy, said Robert Feldman, chief economist for Japan at Morgan Stanley.
"The weak yen benefits some individual companies but it's not likely that...will spur any extra investment in exporting industries, so one of the channels of yen transmission to a stronger Japanese economy is cut off," he said, adding that firms importing goods, meanwhile, would see their costs rise.
"Even the incremental addition to export volume from a weaker yen may not be so high, because a lot of that's already been done," Feldman said. "Although some will benefit, those who lose will probably lose more."
Japan's weak demand means companies are unable to pass on higher import prices and so are seeing margins squeezed, said Susumu Kato, chief economist at Barclays Capital Japan.
And while Japanese exporters have gained a competitive edge from the yen's fall against the dollar, they have lost out against other Asian currencies, economists said.
"If the yen's fall meant higher exports and hence recovery, it would be a plus, but the yen is still strong against other Asian currencies, so it's not a plus at all," Kato said.
In addition, the weakened state of other Asian economies means shrinking demand for Japanese goods in a region which until recently accounted for 40 percent of Japanese exports.
Further falls in Asian currencies and a worsening of the economic troubles in the rest of the region would boomerang back on Japan's own shores, economists said.
"If Asian economies worsen, Japanese exports will decrease. And if you consider the chain reaction between a weakening yen and Asian currencies, a further weakening is not good for Japan," said Hisashi Yamada, an economist at the Japan Research Institute.
Regional concerns do weigh heavily on the minds of Japanese authorities just now, Kosuke Nakahira, a former vice finance minister for international affairs, told Reuters.
"It (a rapidly weakening yen) is not good for the Asian recovery, certainly. Japanese authorities are worried about it," said Nakahira, now an adviser to the Institute for International Economic Studies, a think-tank owned by Toyota Motor Corp.
At precisely what yen level the risk of competitive currency devaluations -- by China in particular -- becomes real, however, remains a big question. "That's the level the market is trying to test," said Barclay's Kato
    Currency queasiness was the keynote for Pacific Rim markets on Monday as the yen slipped below the crucial 140 barrier against the dollar and other regional currencies fell in sympathy, knocking stocks to a flat to sharply lower close.
"The yen's fall will definitely benefit exporters, but people were worried that overseas investors may not resume buying Japanese stocks unless the yen stops falling," said Kokichi Kumagae, a manager at New Japan Securities Co. Ltd.
Tokyo's Nikkei average of 225 leading stocks was down 28.72 points, or 0.19 percent, at 15,294.71. On the TSE's first section, turnover dwindled to 251 million shares, against 290 million shares traded on Friday.
Nikkei June futures finished 10 points higher at 15,320.
The dollar rose above 140.00 yen -- its highest level since June 1991 -- in Tokyo on Monday. The U.S. currency was quoted at 140.57/62 yen at the Tokyo market close.
The weak yen continued to support some exporters such as Sony Corp., which was up 110 yen at 11,420, and Citizen Watch Co. Ltd., which was up 12 yen at 1,099, but the gains were limited, brokers said.
Investors were cautious ahead of a Group of Seven (G7) deputy finance ministers' meeting in Paris on June 9 and 10. Some analysts said if G7 nations would not jointly support the yen, it could hurt other regional currencies and stocks.
  Hong Kong stocks ended Monday largely unchanged after a choppy session that saw investors worried about the weak yen but encouraged by strong major overseas markets, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index added 17.16 points, or 0.20 percent, to end at 8,586.63 after bouncing between a low of 8,424.22 and a high of 8,666.25.
Turnover remained quiet at HK$4.55 billion against Friday's HK$3.48 billion as cautious investors stayed on the sidelines waiting for firmer market direction.
Singapore's key share index sank more than 3 percent on Monday, depressed by a gloomy domestic economic outlook and fears of a fresh round of currency devaluations.
"There is no confidence that things are going to get any better for the region's economies in the short term and that's hitting shares," a dealer with a local firm said.
Blue chips were the heaviest casualties of Monday blues with banks, property counters and conglomerates bearing the brunt of selling which sent the Straits Times Industrials index (STI) tumbling 39.89 points, or 3.41 percent, to 1,128.57.
The grim mood was set by UOB chairman Wee Cho Yow, who said in a newspaper interview there could be a recession next year if the government did not take evasive action now.
Wee's prognosis compounded fears of a fresh round of regional currency hits after Singapore Senior Minister Lee Kuan Yew said that continued depreciation of the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar could push China into devaluing the yuan.
Dealers said there were concerns the Singapore dollar could slip heavily against the U.S. dollar if that happened.
"The Sing (dollar) has already gone through S$1.70 and is making the stock market even more jittery," another dealer said.
Australian markets, also recently shaken by currency worries, were closed for observance of the Queen's Birthday holiday. The Australian dollar continued to drop, reaching 1.6584 to the U.S. dollar. The Australian dollar plunged towards an all-time low on Monday after U.S. and other hedge funds renewed their speculative attack, forcing the currency through the crucial 60 U.S. cent level.
The local currency closed at a fresh 12-year low of 59.71/76 cents and is expected to trade even lower when the full Australian market restarts on Tuesday after Monday's public holiday, dealers and economists said.
The U.S. dollar's rise through 140 yen on Monday triggered the latest selling assault by large and mostly U.S. funds, they said.
"A lot of analysts have been looking at 58 cents as a likely target in the short term," said one senior Sydney dealer.
"The Australian dollar may well get down to 57-58 U.S. cents -- that's highly likely," said ANZ Bank chief economist Saul Eslake.
The Australian dollar had opened in New Zealand at 60.8 cents, supported by a rumored bout of intervention by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
But that strength proved fleeting and appeared only to pique the interest of the large speculative sellers that have pummeled the unit over the last week.
"The currency doesn't really have a friend in the world at the moment," said Bankers Trust Australia executive vice-president Lucio Febo.
Although the Australian market was officially on holiday, some Sydney dealers came into their trading rooms.
"It's becoming less a fundamental trade than a sentiment-driven trade and people are looking for a proxy for Asia," Febo said.
The Australian dollar fell to an intra-day low of 59.57, not far from the 57.20 all-time low reached in July 1986.
This 1986 low came after then-Treasurer Paul Keating warned about the dangers of Australia becoming a "banana republic" because of a blowout in its current account deficit.
The currency's plunge through 60 U.S. cents raised the prospect of the Reserve Bank being forced to hike official cash interest rates just to support the currency and stave off new inflationary pressures, dealers and economists said.
The RBA's massive intervention over the last week, put at close to A$3 billion ($1.8 billion), is generally seen as having failed to prop up the local dollar in the face of the huge speculative selling.
The RBA had US$14.7 billion in reserves at the end of April.
"The failure of the RBA, either to take the Australian dollar above US$0.6000 or continue to defend it will raise grave concerns about the outlook for the Australian dollar," said Societe Generale Australia analyst Glenn Maguire.
"The risk then becomes that the Aussie could accelerate to the 1986 low. It would be in this situation that the RBA would be in the entirely unenviable position of having to decide whether or not to lift the cash rate to defend the currency," he said.
Colonial State Bank's manager of foreign exchange Peter Whitley said: "Under these circumstances the RBA is really up against it."
"The sentiment is so negative based on the region and the Aussie dollar is being picked out by the funds because there is liquidity to get in there and to get out," said Whitley.
"We are really under attack like those Asian currencies were six to nine months ago," he added.
Some said the RBA should resist a defensive rate hike because it would dent the economy at a time when the region's economic prospects were uncertain.
"I would think caution in pulling out the heavy artillery would be well advised. It's not the RBA's fault. There's not a lot they can do about it," ANZ's Eslake said, adding a 100 or 200 basis point rate hike would cut GDP growth to under two percent.


Tuesday June 9.
    The yen continued its seemingly inexorable decline on Tuesday, pulling Pacific Rim stocks down with it, but the Tokyo stock market advanced as export-driven manufacturers found new strength, brokers said.
The 225-stock Nikkei average soared 235.46 points or 1.54 percent to close at 15,530.17. Nikkei June futures finished 170 points higher at 15,490.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange grew to 314 million shares from 251 million on Monday.
"The weaker yen will help earnings of Japanese exporters," said Kiyoshi Kimura, general manager of the research department at Societe Generale Securities Ltd.
But buyers have recently been limited to Japan's cash-rich pension funds, as other domestic investors stayed sidelined due to fears that the yen's downward trend could trigger a selloff by overseas investors, Kimura said.
The dollar rose towards 141 yen in early Asian trade on Tuesday, reflecting short-term capital outflows from Japan, where the economy is still in prolonged sluggishness. The U.S. currency was quoted at 140.51/61 yen at the Tokyo market close.
Brokers said they were keen to see how foreign investors will react to the yen's renewed weakness, as it should raise the currency risk in their Japanese portfolios holdings, but would also make fresh purchases of yen-based assets cheaper.
    Hong Kong stocks closed sharply lower on Tuesday in a rain-struck shortened session that saw buyers spooked by the weaker Japanese yen, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index lost 195.17 points, or 2.27 percent, to 8,391.46 after hitting a low of 8,347.98. Brokers believed the market has further downside in the short-term.
Mainland China companies suffered the largest setbacks. The red chip China-Affiliated Corporations Index slumped 8.52 percent to 934.92 while H shares lost 6.80 percent to 455.30.
"There are not a lot of reasons to buy right now," said Kent Rossiter, institutional sales manager at Nikko Securities. "People overseas seem to be extremely negative and about as underweighted as they can be on Asian equities."
Trading was called off on Tuesday morning by the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong after a "black" storm warning of torrential rain. The signal was later replaced by the less severe red warning, enabling trading to resume in the afternoon.
Turnover finished at HK$3.28 billion against HK$4.55 billion for the whole of Monday and Monday afternoon's HK$2.06 billion.
    Singapore shares lost ground late Tuesday as strength in the banking sector failed to lift the overall market, dealers and analysts said.
The Straits Times Industrials Index ended the day at 1,117.21, down 1.01 percent or 11.36 points.
Singapore's Deputy Prime Minister and Monetary Authority chairman, Lee Hsien Loong, had detailed bank reforms on Monday, including raising bank disclosure and encouraging mergers, as part of a move to make Singapore Asia's financial hub.
    The Australian share market ended lower on Tuesday as overseas gains were offset by fears that local rates may be hiked to defend the ailing currency.  "The uncertainty itself is enough to keep people away. The upside isn't big enough for investors to take too many chances at the moment," one senior dealer said.  The All Ordinaries index ended 18.9 points down at 2,623.9 after peaking at 2,649. Turnover was a moderate A$734.9 million (US$441 million).
 
    Japan's "Mr. Yen" on Tuesday met U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers and other senior financial officials but all kept silent on the one thing financial markets are watching for -- whether rich nations are ready to act to prop up the Japanese currency.
Japan's Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Eisuke Sakakibara, along with other senior officials at the so-called Working Party III, representing 11 countries, declined all substantive comment as they ended a day of talks at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
Summers and Sakakibara then went together to a separate building, apparently for bilateral talks, but emerged 40 minutes later barely leaving markets any the wiser.
"No comment," Summers repeated to waiting reporters. Asked whether this meant he was not at all worried about the yen, he said, "I didn't say that."
Senior officials from the Group of Seven had been expected to meet on the fringes of the Working Party III talks, amid intense market speculation about whether the G7 club of rich nations was ready to act to support the yen, hovering around seven-year lows against the dollar.
Federal Reserve Board Vice Chairwoman Alice Rivlin said only that, "We had a Working Party III meeting," as she left Tuesday's talks. Asked whether that meant there had not yet been a meeting of senior officials from the G7, she said, "Right."
The G7 nations are the United States, Canada, Japan, France, Germany, Italy and Britain.
The exact timing and location of a meeting of G7 deputies was being kept secret. But officials suggested it could now be on Wednesday.
According to monetary and diplomatic sources, deputies from the G10 -- actually 11 countries including G7 members plus Switzerland, Sweden, the Netherlands and Belgium -- were due to meet Wednesday morning.
The G10 forum is usually attended by both deputy finance ministers and deputy central bankers.
Officials have been playing down expectations that the Paris talks would produce any significant verbal support for the yen, which weakened above 141 per dollar overnight after Summers said before leaving Washington that there would be no policy statement after the meetings.
But markets have, nonetheless, held off from selling the Japanese currency too aggressively until the Paris meetings are out of the way.
The regular talks of the Working Party III, and those of G7 deputies, are usually held in secret, with no press access or final statements. Officials said much of Tuesday's session was devoted to an overview of the economic situation worldwide.
Officials had said before the Paris talks that they expected financial turmoil in Russia to dominate the discussions.
But in contrast to comments from the United States, Japanese officials have been encouraging the view that the Paris meeting would review currency movements.
"Although Russia will be the main issue, media reports that they will not discuss currencies are not correct," Japan's Finance Minister Hikaru Matsunaga told reporters in Tokyo earlier.
"We have strong worries over an excessive yen weakness," Matsunaga said. "We will take decisive measures as needed in cooperation with the G7 nations."


Wednesday June 10.
Stocks throughout the Pacific Rim fell on Wednesday as tumbling currency exchange rates highlighted market worries that the region's year-old economic woes may be deepening into recession.
In Tokyo, the 225-stock Nikkei average lost 190.91 points or 1.23 percent to close at 15,339.26. Nikkei June futures finished 150 points lower at 15,340.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover was 353 million shares against 314 million traded on Tuesday.
"What is worrying us most is the selloff in Asian stocks. Since the yen kept on weakening against the dollar, stocks are likely to suffer more," said Hiroshi Masuya, deputy manager of Mitsui Marine and Fire Insurance Co.'s securities department.
The dollar rose above 141.00 yen in Tokyo on Wednesday and was standing at 141.28/38 yen at the market close against 140.37/47 yen in late Tokyo on Tuesday.
Japan's banks were hit hard, partly due to the possible impact on their bottom line from economic turbulence across Asia, and to a cloudy outlook for the domestic financial industry. The bank woes placed downward pressure on the Nikkei average, brokers said.
"Bank shares dropped as investors unloaded their shareholdings amid worries that more Japanese banks would suffer from mergers, buyouts, and restructuring in the future," said Kenji Karikomi, deputy general manager at Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Brokers said shares in the banking sector were vulnerable to sales after shares in Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan Ltd. (LTCB) were pounded down on Tuesday due to speculation over the bank's financial health.
LTCB's shares closed 4 yen lower at 163, topping the list of most actively traded issues on the first section.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was knocked back to its lowest close in more than three years on Wednesday as the weak yen sent investors on a selling spree, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index ended down 412.09 points, or 4.91 percent, at 7,979.37, its lowest close since March 10, 1995.
China plays were hit hard and the China-Affiliated Corporations Index shed 5.08 percent to 887.41 while H shares dived 5.60 percent to 429.81.
China's central bank governor, Dai Xianglong, said on Tuesday the weak yen was having a severe impact on Beijing's foreign trade and brokers said the soft yen sparked concern about the strength of the Chinese yuan.
"Our current view is that the renminbi is relatively safe although there is a risk element of the yen," said Robert Sassoon, head of research at SG Securities. "If the yen does depreciate -- if it goes beyond 150 -- then we will obviously review the situation."
Asian currencies suffered a fairly severe thrashing as markets fretted about the yen, and most other regional stock markets were hammered lower.
In Thailand, stocks plunged more than 5 percent while share prices in Seoul lost more than 4 percent.
The Hong Kong dollar weakened below the key support of HK$7.75 against the U.S. dollar at one point before bouncing back to HK$7.7483/93 in late trade.
Singapore shares were sharply lower on Wednesday as fears of more regional woes depressed the market, dealers said.
The Straits Times Industrials Index ended down 4.42 percent, 49.40 points, at 1,067.81.
"Stronger worries about the yen and its potential domino effect on the other Asian currencies are taking a toll on the market. It has been a very quiet morning," lamented one dealer.
"The concern is, if the yen keeps falling, can the Chinese renminbi be sustained at current levels? Will the Hong Kong dollar-peg falter as well?" said another dealer.
The Australian share market ended Wednesday broadly lower as talk of an interest rate hike grew louder after the latest dip in the ailing local currency, now looking set to test all-time low levels.
The All Ordinaries index ended down 31 points or 1.2 percent at 2,592.9, on high turnover of A$1.02 billion (US$592 million).
"The continuing concerns over the dollar … are still dictating the nervousness of the market," broker Tony Russell of Morgan Stockbroking said. "Asian markets are all weaker as well, and that is adding to our malaise."
The Australian dollar hit a new 12-year low of US$0.5815 before recovering marginally, and has fallen almost three percent from Tuesday's local finish.
"If the consensus is that our dollar is going to go weaker, then you'll find overseas funds selling our market down hoping to buy it back at a cheaper currency price," Russell said, but added the outlook was not all doom and gloom.
The market "might get a bit weaker yet, but you must consider that it's becoming very good value," he said.
Stocks have fallen over 10 percent since the All Ordinaries index hit an all-time high of 2,893.7 on April 16.
    Deputy finance ministers from the Group of Seven industrial nations discussed the yen's weakness and Russia's troubled markets Wednesday, but the meeting had no apparent effect on markets.
The officials, who met in Paris, sought to calm financial markets by maintaining general silence amid a media storm over the yen and Russia. The group's only comments came from U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, who made an innocuous statement after the meeting,
"In conversations that I have had while in Paris, the situation in the foreign exchange markets has been a part of discussions of the global economic situation," Mr. Summers said.
He added that "certainly the kinds of concerns that the Japanese finance minister and [U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert] Rubin have discussed in the past regarding the weakness of the yen and the consequences of yen weakness for Asia and the global economy have been highlighted in those discussions." Mr. Summers also said that "as always we will continue to monitor developments in exchange markets."
The statement broke little ground, analysts said. The yen, which has sunk to seven-year lows against the dollar this week, was flat after Mr. Summers' remarks.These comments didn't advance the Japanese situation, one economist said, adding there was no reason they should have. "It is very rare for anything of note to come out of a deputy meeting. Significant policy statements, if they appear at all, usually come from full-blown G-7 meetings," said Gwyn Hacche, senior European economist at HSBC James Capel in London.
Regarding discussions on the Russian financial situation, Mr. Summers said the G-7 countries agreed to support the 1998 International Monetary Fund-backed program and that they are ready to consider additional aid "as necessary and appropriate." The G-7 countries are the U.S., Canada, Japan, Britain, Italy, France and Germany.
The Russian stock market wasn't affected by Mr. Summers remarks, having already slipped after its opening as expectations for a new G-7 aid package fell.
Russia's 1998 economic program developed with the IMF includes important commitments with respect to fiscal, monetary and structural policy, Mr. Summers said, repeating comments he made in Washington on June 4.


Thursday June 11.
    The spiraling yen and weakness in other regional currencies drove Asian and Australian markets lower on Thursday as economic worries added downward momentum to already-embattled stocks.  In Tokyo, banking shares were dealt a severe blow by concerns that Asia's turbulence may add to bad loans of Japanese banks, already saddled with massive debts. The dollar briefly jumped above 142.00 yen in late Tokyo trade Thursday, the first break above 142.00 since June 1991.  The 225-stock Nikkei average finished the Thursday session down 2.12 percent or 325.22 points at 15,014.04, just above the key support line of 15,000.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover grew to 418 million shares from 353 million shares traded on Wednesday.
"The Japanese stock market suffered psychological damage from Asia," said Ritsu Matsushita, director at the asset management department of Invesco Asset Management (Japan) Ltd.
But the fact that banks still have a huge amount of bad loans was also behind the selloff in bank shares, traders said.
"Unless banks deal with their bad debts, they will continue to see investor sales," Matsushita said.
Shares of major Japanese banks tumbled in heavy volumes. Sakura Bank Ltd. lost nine yen to end at 377, Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan Ltd. was down five yen at 158, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi Ltd. shed 66 yen to end at 1,276, and Sumitomo Bank Ltd. was down 61 yen at 1,205.
Patrick Mohr, a strategist at Merrill Lynch, said he expected the Nikkei average to fall further on Friday.
"GDP (gross domestic product) figures tomorrow could be very bad and very disappointing," Mohr said.
The Economic Planning Agency (EPA) will announce Japan's GDP for the January-to-March period Friday.
Hong Kong stocks slid to a lower close on Thursday as the weak yen continued to haunt the market, but bargain hunters helped repair some of the damage, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index fell 93.30 points, or 1.17 percent, to end at 7,886.07, its lowest close since February 1995. The blue chip index earlier hit a low of 7,673.25.
Brokers said the market may have bottomed out but the yen would largely dictate short-term direction.
"We have seen some bargain hunters, which is good news because the order flow has been very one-sided recently," said Tom Leventhorpe, director of sales and trading at Indosuez W.I. Carr. "On a chart basis we closed above 7,800, which is a very important level of support."
Singapore shares bounced back on Thursday after plunging in morning trading on regional currency concerns and Wall Street's weaker close, dealers said.
Although they said that fears of a Japanese recession had bound the market to a narrow range, key players went looking for underpriced bargains late in the session.
"The STI index breached 1,050 briefly earlier but quickly rebounded. The selling or redemption is very limited so far," said a dealer.
After hitting a low of 1,048.52, the Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) closed up 19.02 points, 1.78 percent, at 1,086.83.
The Australian share market dipped 1.3 percent on Thursday as declines on Wall Street and in Asia piled on top of concerns that the embattled local currency would lead to higher interest rates.
The All Ordinaries index closed 34.2 points down at 2,558.7 after a somewhat firmer dollar pulled it off a low of 2,543.5. Turnover was a high A$1.12 billion (US$656 million).
"You don't know which way the dollar is going to turn, or which way Asia and America is going to turn. There are just so many outside influences at the moment that control our market," dealer Peter Struk of Reynolds & Co. said.
He added that individual share movements reflected portfolio reshuffling ahead of the financial year-end this month rather than fundamental factors.
The Australian dollar, however, did improve to 1.7033 against the US dollar, helping stocks off their lows.
U.S. stocks posted losses across the board Thursday as a soaring dollar renewed concern about the health of corporate America amid a string of profit warnings.
    The U.S. dollar surged  anew against the Japanese yen at midday Thursday,  hitting a session high of 143.55 yen as Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin said the answer to the yen's  weakness lies with the state of Japan's economy.    Rubin's statement, seen as ruling out the possibility  of concerted foreign exchange intervention to support  the yen, sent the Japanese currency tumbling, traders  said.
The Dow Jones industrial average suffered its second-largest point drop of the year, losing 159.93 points, nearly 1.8 percent, to 8,811.77.  The sell-off spread throughout the broader market. The technology-weighted Nasdaq Composite lost 23.50, or 1.3 percent, to 1,749.75 and the S&P 500 index fell 17.70, or 1.6 percent, to 1,094.58.
Activity was brisk on the New York Stock Exchange with 609.7 million shares changing hands. Declining issues swamped advancers, 2,280 to 769.  The losses came despite record low long-term interest rates. Investors flocked into the bond market as a "safe haven" investment, especially given the dollar's strength.  The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond ended up 21/32 of a point in price pushing the yield -- which moves in the opposite direction -- down to 5.65 percent, a record low.  The dollar rallied in New York trading after U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin said a concerted intervention would represent only a "temporary" fix for Asian currencies such as the yen. In late New York trading, the dollar was at 143.94 yen and 1.8086 Deutsche marks.  Equity traders, meanwhile, not only had to contend with the effects on the stronger dollar but also the non-stop release of profit warnings from corporate America.
    International financier George Soros said Thursday the world economy is on the brink of a slowdown as the crisis intensifies in Asia.  "You have the potential of a breakdown of the entire system if you have a slowdown of economic activity in the center even as inflationary pressures mount," Soros told a Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) conference. "We're on the edge of it, yes."  Soros, asked if his companies had taken up new positions in Asia, told the conference: "Yes, I should hope so."  He said Japan's situation is worrying for the world economy and shows there is more yet to come.  "Already Japan is suffering from conditions reminiscent of the 1930s . . . and, after all, Japan is the second-largest economy of the world, so we are not yet out of the woods," Soros said.  Asked if the G7 should step in to support the declining yen, Soros said, "I think everybody agrees that further decline in the yen would be detrimental for the world economy, but the question is whether you can actually stop the decline by intervention alone.


Friday June 12.
    Sliding Pacific Rim stocks stopped short on Friday to close flat to slightly higher as bargain hunting overcame gloom inspired by the yen's ongoing decline.  In Tokyo, the 225-stock Nikkei average closed Friday's session up 8.29 points or 0.06 percent at 15,022.33.  The index briefly slipped as low as 14,784.52, breaking the 15,000 barrier for the first time since January 14.
Turnover on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) swelled to 817 million shares from 418 million shares on Thursday, due to trade related to the settlement for Nikkei 225 June futures and options.
"The market is facing a very tough situation," said Hiroyuki Nakai, general manager, investment research department, Nikko Securities Investment Trust and Management Co. "The yen will slide further, and so will stocks."
The Japanese currency hit a near eight-year low of 144.75 to the dollar in Tokyo on Friday morning after U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin made comments which were interpreted to mean there will be no imminent joint intervention.
"If the dollar heads higher to 150 yen, that will very likely spark a tumble both in yen bonds and stocks, which makes us very pessimistic over the future of the market," said Noriyuki Fujiwara, a global equity strategist at Credit Suisse Investment Trust Management Co. Ltd.
Behind the continuing slide in the yen was growing concern over Japan's weak economic fundamentals, brokers said.
"If the Nikkei average cannot stop falling at the 14,700-14,900 level, it will test 14,000," Nikko's Nakai said.
Hong Kong stocks finished slightly firmer on Friday as short-covering emerged to push up prices after the market dropped three days in a row, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index closed up 29.37 points, or 0.37 percent, at 7,915.44 after shrugging off 145-point early losses.
"Selling pressure sank and there was some short-covering on index futures, which fueled buying on blue chip stocks," said Ricky Tam, senior research analyst at Delta Asia Securities.
Brokers said trading was choppy ahead of the weekend, while the weak Japanese yen remained a concern.
"Even though the market does offer value, it is a question of when you believe that value starts to be realized," said Robert Sassoon, head of research at SG Securities.
"As long as people are concerned about the yen and its impact on other currencies in the region, and as long as interest rates remain high and have an impact on property demand, we are not going to have a sustained rally in the Hong Kong market," he said.
The weak yen put heavy downward pressure on other Asian currencies and the Hong Kong dollar, Tam said. Hong Kong dollar closed at HK$7.7492/02 to the U.S. dollar after hitting a low of HK$7.7499 in afternoon.
Singapore shares recovered from recent weakness on Friday, but the rebound was limited by macro-economic concerns -- including Wall Street's plunge on Thursday and Japan's woes -- that kept sentiment depressed.
The Straits Times Industrials Index ended up 4.66 points, or 0.43 percent, at 1,091.49.
However, traders were not heartened by the higher close.
"The whole market is weak. Except for the STI index, all the other indices are down. The STI is not reflective of the market," said one dealer. "Regional and global factors are governing the general market direction. These don't look good at the moment. We are telling our clients to be cautious."
    The big banks rode to the rescue of the Australian share market on Friday, lifting it to a firmer finish as investors went looking for yields and value.  The benchmark All Ordinaries index struggled 13.0 points or about 0.5 percent higher to 2,571.7 in a remarkable comeback from a slump inspired by a barrage of bad news from offshore.
"It's been a very difficult market today, although when it gets oversold it does bounce very quickly," said Reynolds and Co. dealer Grant Williams of the day's surprising finish.
The banks -- the benchmark index's largest component with a 22.5 percent weighting -- led the charge back into the black as investors eyed attractive dividend yields.
    Fears of the softening yen and its spreading impact on regional financial markets set off a selling spree among South Korean investors on Friday, which saw the market touch an 11-year low.  The Seoul Composite index closed down 26.61 points, 8.1 percent, to end at 302.09. The index has lost 20 percent of its market capitalization during 1998.  "The yen's weakness renewed investors' worries about possible depreciation of the Chinese yuan," said broker Cha Hee-gun at SK Securities. "In that case, the whole of Asia will be swirled in another financial crisis."
The yen recovered minimally by late afternoon in Tokyo on Friday after hitting 144.75 to the dollar, its lowest level since August 1990. Nerves over the falling yen and its impact on regional economies cast gloom on Asian stock markets.
"As the yen dropped below 144 to the dollar, overall Asian markets tumbled," said Kang Hun-koo, head of sales and equity sales at ING Barings.
Brokers said the yen's weakness would undercut Korea's value-added export items and the yuan's decline would hurt Korea's overseas shipments of light industrial goods.
The won was barely changed, falling back to 1,397 to the dollar from 1,391 on Thursday as traders feared that Japanese imports from Korea would slow.
"Our future now relies heavily on exports. Sluggish exports will deal a crucial blow to the Korean economy," said broker Cha Hee-gun of SK Securities in Seoul.
A Japanese recession would smack demand there for Korean goods, and probably force Korean imports of raw materials down even further.


Monday June 15.
 Stock prices throughout the Pacific Rim extended recent plunges on Monday as the yen fell lower and a barrage of gloomy data eroded confidence in the future of Asian economies, traders said.
Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei-225 average fell 197.16 points, or 1.31 percent, to 14,825.17, the first time it had closed below 15,000 since January 13, while the yen hovered at 145.55 after having hit 146.50 during the day.
Trading was lackluster, with 312 million shares changing hands on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Losers beat gainers 679 to 430, with 177 issues unchanged.
Any hopes that corporate Japan would see brighter days in the near future faded Friday when the government announced that gross domestic product contracted for a second consecutive period in the January-March quarter, the standard definition of a recession.
"We're getting hit by the very sharp reduction in the economic pie we saw last week," said an analyst at a foreign research house. "Even the classic export stocks, which should be supported by the weak yen, are falling."
The falling yen, some worry, will bring exporters under further pressure if it forces other Asian countries to devalue their currencies in a bid to remain competitive with Japan, the region's economic dynamo.
"It's become broader than just Japan," said a broker at an international securities house. "Now it's about Asia."
Few think the market will stage a strong rebound in the near term, even though many believe Japan's cash-rich pension funds will look to buy shares on dips.
"We're on a real knife edge here," said a dealer at a European securities house. "With sentiment so low, bad news is no longer news."
     Hong Kong stocks dived to a sharply lower close on Monday as buyers took flight, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index slumped 452.94 points, or 5.72 percent, to close at 7,462.50 after hitting a low of 7,438.72.
"No one is going to stick their neck out right now," said David Williamson, director at Indosuez W. I. Carr. "My feeling is that we have discounted a lot of the bad news but international investors are continuing to run away from the Hong Kong market because they fear the peg is going to go."
The market was dragged lower by the weaker yen and expectations a shortage of the Hong Kong dollar among banks, dealers said.
Brokers said concern about the strength of the Chinese yuan, or renminbi, continued to haunt the market.
"We are of the view that the renminbi will not be devalued and the peg will also remain intact and therefore we are seeing some very good value in the market," said Robert Sassoon, head of research at SG Securities.
Caution also prevailed ahead of local unemployment figures which were expected to add to the general gloom.
Hong Kong's unemployment rate rose to its highest level since 1983, with provisional data released after the market close showing the jobless rate at 4.2 percent in March-May, up from 3.9 percent in February-April.
Turnover ended at HK$6.24 billion against Friday's HK$5.99 billion.
The territory's chief administrator, Tung Chee-hwa, said on Monday the territory's economic problems were likely to remain for some time.
"Many quarters of difficulty lie ahead," he said.
Singapore shares ended sharply lower on Monday, led by a rout in banking stocks.
Selling by fund managers led to fresh year lows in the overseas shares of three of Singapore's Big Four banks, with shares of both United Overseas Bank and Overseas Union Bank plunging 10 percent to end at new year lows of Singapore $5.05 and S$3.56 respectively.
The SES finance index also touched a new year low of 291.07 before ending at 292.42, down 12.53 points or 4.1 percent.
Selling in other blue chips helped pull the benchmark Straits Times Industrials (STI) index down 3.54 percent or 38.65 points to 1,052.84.
Total market volume was a moderate 140 million units with 338 losers beating 35 gainers.
Elsewhere in Southeast Asia, Malaysian stocks were also sharply lower on the region's bad news, falling 20.13 points, 4.26 percent, to 452.24.


Tuesday June 16.
    Continued weakness in the yen kept Pacific Rim markets under selling pressure on Tuesday as stocks ended whipsaw trading sessions in disarray but generally lower, having received scant support from Wall Street overnight.
The yen surged more than four yen at one point, reaching a high of 142.35. However, it later slipped back to 145.80.
The Nikkei average closed down 104.79 points, or 0.71 percent, to 14,720.38. September futures fell 70 to 14,660.
Trading was relatively active with 425 million shares changing hands on the Tokyo Stock Exchange's first section.
"We've been all over the shop," said a dealer at a European securities house. "It's been very messy."
The Nikkei traded in a broad range, during the day reaching a high of 14,917.58 and a low of 14,614.74 -- its lowest level in the financial year that began on April 1.
Analysts said the market was searching for a bottom that could bring it below 14,309.41 -- the lowest close since Japan's bubble economy burst, hit on August 18, 1992.
"There is no question the market is worried," said Tetsuya Ishijima, strategist at Okasan Securities. "The market is searching for a bottom."
Hong Kong stocks ended higher on Tuesday after a volatile session which saw share prices track a rollercoaster ride by the Japanese yen.
The Hang Seng Index gained 63.95 points, or 0.86 percent, to close at 7,526.45, after jumping to a high of 7,642.66 points in early trade as the U.S. dollar slipped against the yen.
"The rebound in the yen was not convincing," said Alex Tang, head of research at Core Pacific-Yamaichi International. "Sentiment is still weak and there is no upward momentum to sustain this rebound."
Singapore shares flattened their descent on Tuesday following the tumble on Wall Street stocks overnight and continued weakness of regional currencies, dealers said.
"All the blue chips continued to fall. Sentiment is just being driven by weak currencies and the fall on Wall Street," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said.
The benchmark Straits Times Industrials index brushed with the January low of 1,031 before inching up to 1,048.96 by the close, down 3.88 points or 0.37 percent.


Wednesday June 17.
    Asian stocks staged strong rallies on Wednesday as the yen strengthened to 142.3 to the dollar, helping markets claw back ground lost in hefty falls the previous day.
However, Tokyo stocks closed flat after a sharp sell-off of shares in the Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan (LTCB) dragged down the benchmark index, traders said.
LTCB was bashed by wave after wave of selling by both domestic and foreign institutions amid rumors the bank had been mentioned in a morning conference call between analysts of Moody's Investor's Service and Asia-based investors. Moody's declined to comment on the contents of the call.
The Nikkei 225 ended off 5.00 points, or 0.03 percent, at 14,715.38. September Nikkei futures rose 140 to 14,800.
A total of 404 million shares changed hands on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
Rumors sweeping through the market that LTCB was in financial difficulties were denied by the bank as "groundless."
"Somebody wants this (stock) lower and in a hurry," said a salesman at a European securities house. "Whether it's true or not, who knows?"
LTCB ended trading down 30 at 123. Other banking issues were mixed as a firmer yen alleviated concerns that their huge dollar-denominated loan portfolios to Southeast Asia were on the brink of going bad.
The mass-circulation Yomiuri Shimbun reported in its morning edition that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party had called on banks to adopt a system that would force institutions to liquidate non-performing loans.
While such a practice would help restore confidence in the financial system, some market participants were concerned it could prompt bankruptcies, dragging the Nikkei lower.
Analysts said the dollar/yen rate, which clung stubbornly to the mid-143 yen level in afternoon trading, would remain the catalyst for the market in the near term, with many worried the yen's recent relative strength will prove fleeting.
"Everybody's watching forex," said an analyst at an international research house. "People are saying for the first time they don't know where the bottom is for the yen."
Hong Kong stocks rallied to a sharply higher close on Wednesday with market bulls spurred by the rebounding yen, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index jumped 477.90 points, or 6.35 percent, to end at 8,004.35 after hitting a high of 8,005.76.
Turnover slipped to HK$6.14 billion against Tuesday's HK$7.57 billion.
But caution remained the watchword after recent volatility and brokers said it was too early to determine whether Wednesday's rally was an aberration.
"The Hong Kong market at the moment is almost a warrant on the yen movements," said Miles Remington, sales trader at SG Securities. "Certainly, the underlying factors have not gone away."
Singapore shares ended sharply higher on Wednesday led by a rebound in banking and property stocks.
Dealers said sentiment was lifted by the stronger Singapore dollar, itself a result of the yen rally. A small gain on Wall Street overnight also underpinned the market.
"It is mainly a technical bounce as the market has been very oversold. Property and banks, which have been the worst hit, are up again," a broker at a Singapore firm said.
After a slow start, the Straits Times Industrials index closed up 58.74 points or 5.60 percent at 1,107.70.


Thursday June 18.
    The United States rode to the rescue of the battered Japanese yen Wednesday in a dramatic shift from its recent hands-off approach. Joining forces with Japan's central bank, the Treasury Department instructed the New York Federal Reserve to spend an estimated $2 billion to boost the value of the yen against the dollar -- the first U.S. intervention on behalf of the yen in more than six years.  Intervention is when central banks buy or sell a currency on the open market to affect its value.  News of the intervention sent the value of the yen soaring to 137 yen to the dollar from 142 late Tuesday. It also fueled a strong rally on Wall Street as equity investors, who had feared the Asian economic crisis would worsen and the weak yen would eat into the bottom lines of large multinational corporations, breathed a sigh of relief.  By late afternoon, the Dow Jones industrial average surged 163 points to 8,828.
The dollar's skid quickly stung the bond market, pushing the yield on the benchmark 30-year bond up to 5.74 percent as its price slid 1-13/32 of a point. Many investors feared that Japan might sell U.S. bonds to replenish its dollar reserves after Wednesday's intervention.
The Japanese currency had fallen to its lowest level in eight years recently on fears that the ailing Japanese economy would spark another round of Asian financial shocks.
Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin said Washington stood ready to continue supporting the yen if needed. However, he said Wednesday's action did not mark a change in U.S. dollar policy.
"The answer to that is no," Rubin said in response to a question at a White House briefing. "I think the strong dollar policy has served us exceedingly well over the past several years and still does."
"The actions that were taken and announced both in Japan and the United States today were very much animated by concern for Asia, the other parts of Asia, but has nothing to do with our more general policy with respect to the dollar," he said.
Traders said the intervention appeared limited to U.S. and Japanese authorities, without a hand from other big industrialized countries. Britain said the action was a U.S.-Japanese initiative and wished it every success.
"This is a clear shift in U.S. policy and it probably indicates that the U.S. has received some concessions from Japan," said Henry Willmore, senior economist at Barclays Capital in New York.
President Bill Clinton said the action was taken to show Washington supported Japan as it takes steps to revive its economy. Clinton said he had spoken with Japanese Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto shortly before midnight Tuesday to express U.S. support for Tokyo.
"I was very encouraged by the Prime Minister's statement that he intends to pursue aggressive reform of their banking institutions and intends to do the things that were necessary to get the economy going again," Clinton said at the White House.
Japan's economy, the second largest in the world, has tumbled into recession this year, shrinking at an annual rate of 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 1998.
Worried that the Japanese crisis could spread elsewhere in Asia and ultimately affect the U.S. economy, Washington has repeatedly called on Tokyo to do more to revive its economy.
But it has been frustrated with Japan's reluctance to commit to specific plans. An additional factor in the U.S. decision to go to Japan's rescue was fear that the Japanese currency slide would force its huge neighbor China to devalue its currency. China had warned that it could not withstand the economic pressure from the Japanese situation much longer.
"There's one other reason we're doing this -- a very important reason -- and that's the Chinese," said a U.S. administration official, who asked not to be identified.
The official said Washington wanted to avoid at all costs a devaluation of the Chinese currency, the yuan, because that could have set off a chain reaction throughout Asia.
    The sagging yen and the decline of Japan's economy have put additional economic pressure on already struggling nations across the Asian continent.
Exporters in countries such as South Korea, Indonesia or Thailand -- at the receiving end of multibillion dollar bailout deals -- need the Japanese market to sell their products, but are unable to do so since the weak yen makes their products more expensive for the Japanese to buy.
In a joint statement, Clinton and Hashimoto said the two economic superpowers had to act together to end a nosedive in the yen.
"The president and I are delighted to see that the United States and Japan have cooperated in the exchange markets to support a strong, stable yen," Hashimoto said.
The U.S. Treasury confirmed initial intervention at 142 yen. The Fed also reportedly made purchases at 141 yen, 140 yen and 138.50 yen.
The statement by Clinton and Hashimoto came a few hours after Japan's parliament passed a special 4.65 trillion yen ($32.7 billion) supplementary budget that is part of a record 16.65 trillion yen economic stimulus package announced in April.
The statement also came a day ahead of a hastily arranged visit to Japan by U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers that will include a meeting of finance officials from the Group of Seven industrialized nations.
Economists' reactions were mixed, with many stressing Japan still needs to get its house in order.
"I think the Japanese are in a very tough dilemma," said Clyde Prestowitz, president of the Economic Strategy Institute.
"They don't seem to be able politically to take the steps that are necessary to get their economy stabilized. In fact, it's not even clear that they entirely recognize the danger that the falling yen poses to the rest of Asia and in fact the rest of the world economy."
Alison Montgomery, a currency economist with I.D.E.A., said it is unclear whether the Treasury's move is a sign the yen has peaked or amounts to little more than a "smoothing operation" by the government.
"At this point, we don't think the U.S. will abandon the strong dollar policy; it is just to add stability " she said. "But the fundamentals in Japan haven't changed, we still need to see significant action from the Japanese authorities."
A Treasury official said the department last intervened in the currency markets to prop up the dollar against the yen in August 1995. The last time the United States stepped into to buy yen was in February 1992.
A falling yen lowers the price of goods from Japan and thus helps keep a cap on U.S. inflation.
    Asian markets soared Thursday, closing in high spirits after regionwide fears of currency collapse were assuaged when the United States finally stepped in to help Japan rescue its rapidly sliding yen.
Tokyo's key Nikkei average ended more than 4 percent higher on Thursday, as joint currency intervention by Japan and the United States to support the yen spurred hopes that external pressure will force Japan to carry out new reform steps, brokers said.
The Nikkei average of the leading 225 shares rose 4.39 percent, or 646.16 points, to 15,361.54. Nikkei 225 futures closed 650 points higher at 15,450.
On the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), turnover swelled to 701 million shares from 404 million shares traded Wednesday.
On Wednesday, the United States and Japan moved to halt a nosedive in the battered Japanese currency which had threatened to push Asia into a fresh round of crisis.
The dollar, which rose to an eight-year high of above 146 yen earlier in the week, plunged to 136 yen in New York on the intervention and was trading at around 137.00 yen in late Tokyo on Thursday.
Banks spiked up after their recent sell-off amid worries over Asia's economic turmoil, with Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi Ltd. up by its daily limit of 200 at 1,430 and Fuji Bank Ltd. also up by its daily limit of 100 at 636.
Better sentiment helped the Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan Ltd. (LTCB), which was battered on Wednesday due to market rumors about its financial health that were denied by the bank. LTCB shares ended three yen higher at 126.
Hong Kong stocks leapt to a markedly higher close on Thursday as investors breathed a sigh of relief after the intervention rescued the yen, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index rose 511.62 points, or 6.39 percent, to end at 8,515.97 after hitting a high of 8,644.14.
"In the last week or so the market has been oversold and I still believe there is upside," said David Williamson, director at Indosuez W.I. Carr. "It is not just a Hong Kong story today, it is a whole regional story."
The move also set most other Asian markets alight.
Seoul stocks soared over 7 percent while the Philippine market was up more than 6 percent. Key indices in Thailand and Malaysia added more than 5 percent.
Most brokers believed Hong Kong's blue chip index had further upside but said it was too early to determine whether the yen would hold on to its renewed strength.
Singapore shares ended sharply higher on Thursday with the benchmark Straits Times Industrials index closing at 1,133.41, up 25.71 points or 2.32 percent.
However some dealers say the rebound was far too fast and sharp.
"Prices just gapped up from the open in the morning. Looking at the volume, there are a lot of traders out there, a lot of proprietary traders who are long in the market. I think many of them may not hold the positions for long," a dealer with a Singapore brokerage said.
Dealers said buying was across the board and blue chips led as they were the most battered since the start of the week.
"But I won't be buying at these prices. A lot of things have not really changed except for the currencies and it is a big question whether that can be sustained," another dealer said.
  Australian shares vaulted higher on Thursday, propelled by a resurgent Australian dollar and overall improved regional sentiment.
The All Ordinaries index jumped 58.9 points or 2.3 percent to 2,608.2. The rise was the biggest jump since the benchmark's record points gain of 143.8 points on October 29, 1997.
"What a surprise it was," said Austock Brokers director David Perry of the day's strength. "The Australian dollar was the key factor, as was the positive sentiment out of the United States."


Friday June 19.
    Stocks lost ground across Asia on Friday after rebounding sharply the previous day as investors locked in gains but otherwise chose to watch and see what official aid Japan would offer the struggling yen.
The Tokyo stock market's key index closed slightly lower, rattled by speculation that Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan Ltd. (LTCB) might merge or was facing difficulties in restructuring on its own.
Investors and traders were nervous of possible restructuring moves in the financial industry. Many were taking a wait-and-see stance ahead of meetings of Group of Seven (G7) deputy finance ministers over the weekend, brokers said.
The Nikkei 225-share average was down 93.56 points, or 0.61 percent, at 15,267.98. Nikkei September futures finished 170 points lower at 15,280.
On the TSE's first section, turnover was 482 million shares. Losing issues beat gainers 679 to 419.
The yen slipped back against the dollar to 137.83 from 136.40 on Thursday.
"Almost consensus, people are expecting (the yen) to creep back up to 140," said one broker.
The Nikkei average was dragged down by the woes of LTCB, which saw its shares briefly plunge below the psychologically important 100-yen level for the first time since its listing.
LTCB, recently been hit hard by public speculation about its financial health, was pounded in the wake of an announcement on Thursday by Moody's Investors Service that it had lowered the subordinated debt rating of LTCB to B1 from Ba1.
On Friday, LTCB recouped most of its earlier losses and reached 112 yen, down 14 yen from Thursday's close, when the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) temporarily suspended trading in the company.
Kyodo news agency quoted unidentified sources as saying the Japanese government was mulling steps to help reconstruct LTCB, including a possible merger with Nippon Credit Bank, and that LTCB was unable to reconstruct its business on its own.
Hong Kong stocks wiped out earlier losses in a late comeback to close Friday higher on the yen's newfound staying power, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index added 75.94 points, or 0.89 percent, to end at 8,591.91 after hitting a low of 8,350.45.
"People are getting a little bit more confident that the worst of the yen may be behind," said Kent Rossiter, institutional sales manager at Nikko Securities.
"The rush to either buy stocks or cover positions was largely done yesterday," he added. "Now people are taking a wait-and-see on what measures the Japanese government comes up with."
Turnover dropped to HK$6.44 billion from Thursday's hefty HK$10.35 billion as investors stepped to the sidelines to wait for news of Japan's plans to revive its economy.
Singapore shares closed down but off their lows on Friday following some firming in regional currencies in the late afternoon.
But trading was relatively quiet with most investors taking a cautious wait-and-see stance ahead of the upcoming G7 meeting in Japan.
"It has been relatively quiet. There is a bit of arbitrage activity going on in the foreign and local tranches of banks," a broker with a Singapore firm said.
The SES finance index ended little changed at 309.06, down 0.40 points.
The benchmark Straits Times Industrials index bounced off its intraday low of 1,100.48 to close at 1,122.93, down 10.48 points or almost 1 percent.
Total market volume was 164.7 million shares with 226 losers beating 91 gainers.
Australian shares locked in a lower close on Friday as traders consolidated Thursday's big gains and awaited the outcome of the G7 meeting in Japan.
The benchmark All Ordinaries index shed 19.4 points or about 0.7 percent to 2,588.8, having spent most of the day range trading in a 7-point band.
"Everyone is just waiting for the big meetings in Japan," said a Sydney-based dealer. "In the meantime they are taking profits from yesterday and in the current climate they are taking smaller profits than they have in the past."


Monday June 22.
    All eyes in the Pacific Rim were on Japan Monday as markets grew anxious over the recession-struck nation's power to restore stability to its economy and the embattled yen.
Tokyo stocks rose as a senior member of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) pledged to complete details of a widely discussed "bridge bank" to help Japan resolve its banks' problem loans, traders said.
Koichi Kato, secretary-general of the LDP, said he was committed to the proposed bank, which would extend loans to healthy borrowers of failed financial institutions before July 12 Upper House elections.
The Nikkei average was up 41.11 points, or 0.27 percent, at 15,309.09. Volume on the first section was a slim 370 million, down from 482 million on Friday.
"You want evidence investors aren't in the market? Just look at the volume," said a fund manager at an investment advisory firm affiliated with a currency bank.
A communique issued after an emergency meeting of Group of Seven and Asian nations in Tokyo on Saturday said restoration of Japan's banks was of "vital importance" to the region, but left the yen floundering against the U.S. dollar.  The dollar gained ground against the Japanese yen on Monday, trading at 138.54/59 yen following this weekend's meeting of G7 officials.
"I expect the yen to go back to 140," said Ricky Tam, senior research manager at Delta Asia Securities.
Traders said Kato's timetable added credibility to government efforts to restore confidence in Japanese markets.
"They're seeking to create the impression that they're doing something and they're doing it quickly," said Michael Wilkins, a dealer at Credit Lyonnais.
Market participants were also focused on the Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan (LTCB), which closed limit-down amid media reports and subsequent denials that it would merge with Dai-Ichi Kangyo Bank (DKB) or Daiwa Bank.
"The market's putting the squeeze on those guys," said one dealer at an overseas securities house on the fall in the bank's shares. "It's going to be very messy from here."
LTCB has been the subject of persistent market speculation since last week, when rumors emerged that it would merge with fellow long-term lender Nippon Credit Bank (NCB).
LTCB closed down 50 yen at 62, while DKB slid 19 to 762 and Daiwa dropped 35 to 175. NCB fell 10 to 125.
Hong Kong stocks suffered a heavy setback on Monday, closing sharply lower after the G7 meeting failed to soothe concerns about Japan's ailing economy.
The Hang Seng Index tumbled 387.70 points, or 4.51 percent, to close at 8,204.21 points after sliding to a low of 8,180.04 during the session. Turnover was HK$5.65 billion compared with HK$6.44 billion last Friday.
"People are disappointed that nothing happened in Japan over the weekend," said Douglas Hansen-Luke, associate director at South China Securities.
Brokers said uncertainty remained about how Japan would boost its economy and sort out its banking problems, prompting some investors to take profits in the Hong Kong market after an 8.55 percent gain in the Hang Seng Index last week.
"The market gets very unrealistic on these things. They want things to change today," said Richard Verin, head of equities trading at Credit Suisse First Boston.
Singapore shares closed down more than two percent on Monday, depressed over Japan's economic recession, with blue chips suffering the heaviest losses.
The 30-share Straits Times Industrials Index closed down 2.18 percent, or 24.48 points, at 1,098.45, off its low of 1,083.83.
Dealers said the weakening yen dragged prices down further in the afternoon and expected the currency to stay weak unless Japan announces effective economic reforms.
"But I'm still skeptical Japan will come up with anything concrete," said Jeffrey Teo, institutional dealer at Santander Investment Securities.
    The dollar edged higher in Europe in early Monday trade, and traders expected it to continue gaining after a bland statement from a weekend meeting of Group of Seven (G7) officials failed to boost confidence in the yen.  The yen began its slide after the statement made no specific reference to the currency, saying only that it was vital for Japan, Asia and the world economy that Japan restore the health of its banking system, achieve domestic demand-led growth and open its markets.  "We're targeting 142 (yen to the dollar) at the end of this week, based on the lack of specific plans and timetables coming from the G7 meeting," said Jesper Dannesboe at ABN AMRO in London. "The market will be cautious to take the dollar too high too fast but the economic situation in Japan is likely to worsen before it gets better, so there is room for the yen to weaken," said Dannesboe. By mid-morning the dollar was near European session highs at 138.44/54 yen, just above overnight highs around 138.40 and up over three percent from 134.12/22 in late European trading on Friday. It was also firmer against the mark at 1.7987/92 from 1.7838/48.
G7 and Asian officials said on Saturday joint U.S. and Japanese currency intervention last week to boost the yen had created a "window of opportunity" for Japan to repair its economy but that the chance would not last forever.
The dollar was knocked off highs temporarily overnight after Japan's Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Eisuke Sakakibara said Japan would intervene in the currency exchange market when appropriate. He said the G7 nations and other countries were in close contact on currency exchange cooperation.
"This is symptomatic of the fact that markets don't have very much confidence in themselves at the moment," said a senior equity trader. "People are genuinely concerned about the significant threat of a potential deflationary wave from Asia."  "The yen has slipped this morning, which shows there are people who feel that Japan may drag their feet or renege on their promises," he added.  Japan pledged at the G7 meeting to solve its bad loans problems.
Worries about Japan's financial system and its beleaguered economy had sent the yen to eight-year lows of below 146 against the dollar before a surprise joint rescue by Washington and Tokyo last week bolstered the Japanese currency by some 10 yen.


Tuesday June 23.
Under intense pressure to solve its bad loan banking mess, Japan said on Monday that it launched a new watchdog group to supervise its financial sector and has has come up with a timetable for getting started on its banking clean-up scheme.
But doubts still circulated over what form the scheme would take and whether it would be bold enough and timely enough to persuade skeptics that Japan means what it says this time.
Ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) Secretary-General Koichi Kato said the party planned to decide key details of a blueprint to solve banking woes that have dragged down the world's second-largest economy and risk taking the world along with it.
The main component would be a so-called "bridge bank," which would provide loans to sound borrowers if their banks fail.
Worries had surfaced that policy-makers would not make tough decisions on the issue ahead of the July 12 parliamentary Upper House election, but Saturday's meeting of Group of Seven and Asian nations in Tokyo turned up the heat on Japan to act quickly.
Kato, who held crisis talks with Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto on Monday morning, said the party would provide details of the bank -- which could resemble one the United States set up in the 1980s to clean up its bad loan crisis - by July 8.
Whether Japan can really come up with a blueprint to sort out the bad loan problems at its banks and consolidate its financial system is likely to determine not only the fate of the weak yen and Tokyo stock prices, but will also affect whether the rest of Asia slips back into crisis mode.
A government advisory panel headed by Toyota Motor Corp. chairman Shoichiro Toyoda handed Hashimoto a report on Monday saying that in order to get the economy back on the road to recovery, complete disposal of bad loans was necessary.
"We must completely get rid of 'negative assets' such as the bad loans and the resulting worries over the financial system," the panel said in its report.
It added if such steps were taken along with structural reform, the economy was likely to record an annual growth of 2.5 percent on average between fiscal years 1998 and 2003.
  Highlighting the need for Japan to fix its banking woes, sources at the Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan Ltd. (LTCB) said on Saturday that the bank was considering a merger or restructuring -- both requiring some form of public funds.
On Monday, after LTCB's share price plunged nearly 45 percent, Hashimoto said the government and ruling party would look for ways to restore market confidence in the bank.
In February, Japan enacted a 30 trillion yen ($217 billion) financial stabilization package including 17 trillion yen to protect depositors and 13 trillion to recapitalize banks.
But it still has a lengthy list of issues to tackle, including getting banks to disclose the true extent of their problem assets and to speed up write-offs of bad loans.
Authorities must also clarify a currently-vague framework for using public funds to handle failed institutions and to facilitate the merger of those too weak to survive but too important to go out of business altogether.
  A key part of that framework would be the creation of the bridge bank to provide funds, possibly from public coffers, to firms left in the lurch when financial institutions fail.
LDP policy chief Taku Yamasaki has said the bridge bank should be allowed to use public money, but the head of a new financial watchdog launched on Monday told his first news conference that it was too early to say if such an institution was needed or what form it might take.
The new Financial Supervisory Agency (FSA) will play a critical role in any banking clean-up, but hard details on how it is to function have been in short supply and experts worry the agency has too few of the expert staff needed to carry out its job.
FSA chief Masaharu Hino said he would undertake "tough and transparent" supervision of the nation's troubled financial sector, based on clear and fair rules.
However, despite Japanese newspaper reports, he said he had not yet decided whether to launch simultaneous inspections of the nation's top 19 banks.
Assessing the scope of the bad loan problem -- in particular the amount of loans not yet classified as "bad" but which might turn sour -- is vital to creating a scheme to solve it.
    Asian stocks ended mixed on Tuesday amid skepticism over Japan's will to fix its economy and trader anticipation of a barrage of troubling economic news out of Hong Kong.
Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei 225 average fell 254.49 points, or 1.66 percent, to 15,054.60. September futures fell 220 to 15,050. A modest 410 million shares changed hands in broadly negative trading.
While the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has discussed the establishment of a "bridge bank," which is expected to extend credit to sound borrowers in the event their bank fail, no concrete details have been divulged.
Talk of the bridge bank briefly buoyed shares on Monday. But while party leaders confirmed they were studying three main proposals for the new institution, market participants concentrated on the speed with which progress would be made.
"It's going to be too little, too late," said one dealer at an overseas house. "The market will be disappointed."
In currencies, the yen made an unconvincing rebound to 137.72 against the dollar from 137.88 the day before.
  Hong Kong stocks ended modestly higher on Tuesday but well off the day's highs as government measures to boost the economy failed to change investors' gloomy view of the territory's outlook.
The Hang Seng Index closed 15.46 points, or 0.19 percent, higher at 8,219.67 points after a knee-jerk reaction to an economic stimulus package pushed the blue chip index to a high of 8,341.44 earlier. Volume was HK$6.41 billion compared with HK$5.65 billion on Monday.
"It is probably more cosmetic than anything else so from that point of view it is not going to relieve totally the pressures that are on the economy," Robert Sassoon, head of research at SG Securities, said of the government action, which focused mainly on a suspension of land sales to support real estate prices.
Hong Kong leader Tung Chee-hwa said on Monday the economy was likely to contract in the second quarter of this year after shrinking 2.0 percent in the first quarter and announced a series of moves to help boost the economy.
After the market closed on Tuesday, the government announced a 15 percent drop in the value of retail sales in April. This followed a 12 percent fall in March.
Reflecting the problems still plaguing Hong Kong, Standard & Poor's on Monday placed Hong Kong's long- and short-term overseas and local currency ratings on CreditWatch with negative implications.
S&P said the action reflected increasing financial sector strain and the growing likelihood of a protracted economic downturn that could challenge the ability of Hong Kong's government to maintain its prudent fiscal policies and traditional non-interventionist stance towards the economy.
"S&P was just another nail in the coffin," said Osborn, who expected the Hang Seng Index to test 7,300 to 7,400 soon.
  Singapore shares ended down on Tuesday as the market waited for Japan to take firm action to cure its economic ills.
The 30-share Straits Times Industrials Index closed down 16.20 points, 1.47 percent, at 1,082.25.
"The news and themes in recent weeks have been negative and that has set the trend for a negative tone and it will remain so until we get a significant piece of good news," said T.K. Yap, sales director at OCBC Securities.
He said in the absence of news, the market was just mirroring the state of regional currencies, which in turn took their lead from the yen.


Wednesday June 24.
 Movements in the yen joined with an overnight rally on Wall Street to wash Pacific Rim markets with some positive spillover Wednesday, with most Asian markets closing moderately higher.
The yen regained its balance to trade at 140.11 against the dollar after falling to about 140.90, its lowest level in a week.
Its renewed weakness tempted Tokyo funds to snap up high-tech exporters and other blue-chip stocks, dealers said.
The Nikkei 225 average ended up 68.58 points, or 0.46 percent, at 15,123.18. September futures were up 10 at 15,060.
Activity remained muted. A total of 373 million shares changed hands on the first section, down from Tuesday's 421 million.
Japan's high-tech sector also benefited from an overnight rally in New York that pushed tech shares -- as measured by the Nasdaq 100 index of technology issues -- to a record close.
"These stocks are going to have revisions up for the interim period and possibly even the year," said Celia Farnon, a manager at Nomura Securities.
Banking shares were among the most active, with continued confusion over the future of the Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan (LTCB) boosting action.
LTCB, which has denied widespread rumors it would be merged with another institution, fell one yen to 70 on a volume of 22.11 million shares. It was the most actively traded issue.
While uncertainty over plans to rid the banking sector of an estimated 77 trillion yen in problem loans still weighed on the stock market, some dealers said recent comments by leading politicians on the establishment of a "bridge bank" were encouraging.
  Hong Kong stocks closed firmer on Wednesday in light but choppy trade as investors covered their positions in late afternoon when the yen rebounded, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index added 77.10 points, or 0.94 percent, to finish at 8,296.77.
"The market is actually directionless but people expected some good news from U.S. President Bill Clinton's China visit due to start later this week," Lai said.
Brokers said the government's stimulus package had failed to boost enthusiasm in the market and sentiment had been further dampened by rating agency Standard & Poor's decision on Monday to place the ratings of Hong Kong on CreditWatch.
"Two thirds of the stocks have not changed price," said Frederick Tsang, strategist at BNP-Prime Peregrine Securities.
  Singapore shares trudged further downhill on the yen's back on Wednesday.
Dealers said there was little activity as most investors stayed on the sidelines, watching the yen and waiting for Japan to come up with firm measures to tackle its economic problems.
"Everybody's closely watching it. The market is just drifting down. Japan is the overriding factor," said a dealer at a local brokerage.
The 30-share Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) closed down 7.40 points at 1,074.85, giving up early gains which took it to an intra-day high of 1,089.20.
Most sector indices finished flat to weaker after starting on a firm note.


Thursday June 25.
Hong Kong stocks shot up more than 4 percent on Thursday on good news from the property sector, but concerns about the weak yen generally kept a lid on Asian and Australian markets.
Tokyo stocks ended little changed on Thursday as market participants waited for more details as to how the government would help bail out the nation's troubled banking system.
The benchmark Nikkei-225 average rose 9.04 points, or 0.06 percent, to 15,132.22. September futures rose 30 to 15,090.
Turnover on the first section improved to 422 million shares from Wednesday's 373 million.
Progress on the establishment of a "bridge bank" to help sound borrowers of failed banks may come later on Thursday.
Japan's banks are seen at the center of the country's economic malaise, sitting on a mountain of problem loans valued at 77 trillion yen that has prompted them to rein in lending.
For a second day, Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan (LTCB) was the most actively traded issue. The bank, which has denied rumors it is in financial difficulty and will be merged, briefly fell to 50 yen - a record low -- before recovering to 58. LTCB was down 12 on volume of 27.35 million shares.
Meanwhile, the yen weakened to the 141 level, improving the yen value of repatriated profits.
"Japan's high-techs, which have consolidated recently, were helped a lot by the rally in New York," said Masatoshi Sato, manager at Kankaku Securities Co.
  Hong Kong stocks rallied to a sharply higher close on Thursday, fueled by futures-related buying as property and banking stocks appeared to have found a support after government measures were introduced to lift the economy.
The blue chip Hang Seng Index jumped 369.06 points, or 4.45 percent, to close at 8,665.83, off a high of 8,705.81.
Property prices seemed to have stabilized somewhat after Hong Kong Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa announced on Monday the suspension of government land sales until March as part of a package to stimulate the economy, said Alex Wong, research manager at OSK Asia Securities.
Wong said there was speculation that U.S. President Bill Clinton would announce granting permanent Most Favored Nation trade status to China during his visit.
Index heavyweight HSBC Holdings surged HK$8.00 to HK$188.50 on derivatives-linked buying and boosted by hopes that more offshore deposits would flow back to Hong Kong.
Brokers said some blue-chip companies had indicated they would move their offshore deposits to Hong Kong after the government waived profit tax on corporate interest earned from Hong Kong deposits.
  Singapore shares ended weaker on Thursday as negative sentiment hung over the market.
"Sentiment is on the downside," an institutional dealer said. "It's something that's constantly nagging the market, telling people not to be too gung ho, whether in Singapore, Malaysia or elsewhere in the region."
By the close, the 30-stock Straits Times Industrials Index had fallen to 1,069.83, down 5.02 points or 0.47 percent. Total market volume was modest at 107.9 million shares.
"The market is following the yen and regional currencies. For the past year, the market has been tracking currencies very closely," another dealer said.


Friday June 26.
Pressure on Pacific Rim stocks eased somewhat on Friday as activity in the Japanese banking sector sparked a late afternoon rally in most major regional markets, although traders still cautiously scrutinized the health of the yen.
Tokyo shares erased losses to close higher on Friday after local media reported that troubled Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan (LTCB) would merge, helping remove at least one problem from Japan's rickety banking system.
Trading in both LTCB and Sumitomo Trust & Banking was suspended on the Tokyo Stock Exchange after it was reported the two banks would merge.
The benchmark Nikkei-225 average finished 77.82 points, or 0.51 percent higher, at 15,210.04. September futures wiped out a 160-point loss to finish up 140 at 15,230.
Volume was lackluster with 424 million shares changing hands.
Traders said the merger, if it comes to term, displayed a new resolve in the country's attempts to deal with its problems.
"This is an example of things to come," said a trader at an overseas brokerage. "Things are progressing and that is good news."
Even with the trading suspension, LTCB was the most active issue on the TSE for a third day, rising 15 yen to 73 on volume of 18.64 million shares. Sumitomo Trust fell 20 yen to 648 on volume of 1.59 million shares.
Earlier in the day, the Nikkei average fell below the psychologically significant 15,000-yen level as a weakening yen underscored Japan's economic malaise. The yen weakened to around 142.50 in Tokyo.
In general, banking shares continued to dominate trading as the market awaited details for a "bridge bank" that would extend credit to sound borrowers of failed banks.
  Hong Kong stocks recovered most of the morning's losses to close slightly lower on Friday, and brokers said next week's trend would again be dictated by factors affecting the Japanese yen.
The Hang Seng Index closed 57.97 points, or 0.67 percent, lower at 8,607.86, after tumbling more than 250 points in mid-morning to a low of 8,410.60.
"The market's trend really depends on the yen," Steve Cheng, associate director at Lippo Securities, said. "That's because the stability of the currencies of Hong Kong and China is linked to the yen."
Currency jitters also fueled trading activity in Hang Seng Index futures which exacerbated the market's choppy trend, brokers said.
Futures were being used not only as a hedge against equity portfolios but increasingly as a hedge against a depreciation in the Hong Kong and Chinese currencies, brokers said.
  Singapore stocks sprinted up in Friday afternoon trade as the dollar pared gains against the yen.
The 30-share Straits Times Industrials Index (STII) closed up 15.76 points, or 1.47 percent, at 1,085.59. Total market volume was fairly active at 163.7 million shares.
But dealers said they were not hopeful that gains would be sustained through next week.
"I don't think this is going to be lasting. Buying in blue chips is very light," a local brokerage dealer said.
"It takes a lot to get the market moving. It's painfully obvious the economy is going into a recession," said Jeffrey Teo, institutional dealer at Santander Investment Securities.
 


Monday June 29.
The widely watched "tankan" survey released by the Bank of Japan helped bolster stocks in Tokyo and neighboring Asia markets Monday, but futures concerns sent Hong Kong down.
The tankan survey showed that Japan's business confidence had not deteriorated as much as expected, brokers said.
The key Nikkei 225 average rose 155.69 points, or 1.02 percent, to end at 15,365.73.
"The index did not turn out to be extremely bad, and the stock market had mostly discounted negative figures," said Shinichi Ichikawa, strategist at Credit Lyonnais Securities.
"The market was paying closer attention to how banks' bad loan problems will be settled," he said.
The diffusion index for major manufacturers -- the most widely watched component of the Bank of Japan's tankan -- fell to minus 38 in June from minus 31 in the previous survey in March. But that was not as bad as the minus 42 average for June in a Reuters survey of economists' forecasts.
The "tankan" survey lifted the yen against the dollar, which also helped brighten sentiment in the stock market. The dollar briefly rallied to 143.40 yen on Monday, but it quickly eased to as low as 141.38 yen after the survey was released.
The yen has been on a declining trend again in recent sessions amid worries over Japan's flagging economy, and skepticism that the government will take swift action to solve the bad loan problems.
Share prices in many banks recovered on Monday after Friday's announcement by Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan and Sumitomo Trust & Banking that they were discussing a merger.
The news prompted some optimism that the merger would be a first step in fixing Japan's banking system, which is creaking under the weight of as much as 77 trillion yen in problem loans.
LTCB jumped 24 yen to end at 97 in the heaviest trading volume in the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Commerz Securities (Japan) senior manager Hitoshi Ichio said: "The rise in bank shares today was mostly attributed to buying backs, which will not continue for a long time."
  Hong Kong stocks gyrated from positive to negative throughout Monday trade to close sharply down on trade related to the expiration of June futures contracts.
Brokers said more weakness was likely on Tuesday.
The Hang Seng Index closed down 147.15 points, or 1.71 percent, at 8,460.71, after leaping ahead to 8,790.55 after the open, then sliding to a low of 8,444.25 just ahead of the close.
"Because of the rollover, there is a premium to the futures," Gary Wong, associate director at Vickers Ballas said. "But once June expires, the index will fall another couple hundred points."
The June Hang Seng Index futures contract, which expired at the close of trade on Monday, gained 66 points to end at 8,646, a large premium to the spot market.
Strong demand to buy back or close out the June contract pushed it well above the spot market close, brokers said.
But the July contract sank 220 points to close at 8,390 on heavy trade of 26,613 contracts.
"People are still very bearish on the market," Kathleen Emerson in institutional sales at ING Futures and Options said.
"What you are probably seeing is people liquidating their short positions in June and selling the July," Emerson said.
  Singapore shares ended little moved with only thin activity as the market waited for the government to announce moves to cushion knocks to the domestic economy from Asia's crisis.
The 30-share Straits Times Industrials Index was off 0.44 points at 1,085.15 at the close after nudging a high of 1,097.92 in the morning.
"People want to see exactly what the measures are. They think the market can't run ahead too much. They want to hear the good news before they buy more," an institutional dealer said.
"Those who bought last Friday thinking the market would move up, saw that it wasn't and took profit quickly," another dealer said.
The government said earlier on Monday there would be no cuts for the time being to employers' or employees' contributions to the compulsory Central Provident Fund pension scheme.
But it said it would make adjustments to property tax payable by companies.
"I think the market is probably expecting more than what the government intends to give. So there is not likely to be a major boost," a dealer said.


Tuesday June 30.
 Two days before the deadline for a plan to wind up failed banks without bankrupting their relatively healthy borrowers, Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto ordered the government and ruling party to consider a U.S.-style solution.
Hashimoto on Tuesday instructed key government and Liberal Democratic Party officials to consider a "bridge bank" system that would temporarily put failed banks under public supervision, ensuring that borrowers not be left in the lurch.
"I want you to consider fundamentally introducing the functions of the U.S.-style bridge bank to create a system that can put a bank under public supervision immediately upon its failure," Hashimoto told the meeting.
The government -- which has recently acknowledged that the estimated 77 trillion yen ($550 billion) in problem loans weighing on the banking sector is a key impediment to economic recovery -- is scurrying to show leadership in solving the crisis before parliamentary elections less than two weeks away.
Japan is also under pressure from the United States and Asian nations to bolster the bank sector to keep a weakening yen and Japanese economy from sending the region into another tailspin.
Hashimoto's LDP has said it will produce a draft bridge bank plan on Thursday.
The United States used the bridge bank system to keep sound borrowers afloat in solving the savings-and-loan crisis of the 1980s. But many observers have questioned whether Tokyo will act boldly enough in adopting its own plan.
Ed Lincoln, who was until recently an adviser at the U.S. Embassy in Tokyo, said in Washington on Monday that he was "somewhat more pessimistic" after talking to government and LDP officials during a trip a few days ago.
Lincoln, now a Brookings Institution scholar, expressed concern that shaky borrowers would get access to more credit under the plan and that it was unclear how vigorously bad loan foreclosure would be pursued.
But the government and LDP efforts apparently cheered up the stock market, where financial shares were actively traded and many participants expressed optimism that the government was finally getting serious about helping the banking system eliminate the problem loans.
"Japan is now addressing the biggest single impediment to economic recovery -- the bad debts," said Coen Kluyver, manager of foreign institutional sales at ING Baring Securities.
Hashimoto told Tuesday's meeting, according to a statement released by the government, that in the event no private receiver bank emerges, the government should consider establishing a bridge bank to protect sound borrowers.
In this case, Hashimoto said using the Deposit Insurance Corp. would be useful for protecting depositors.
A key sticking point in the plan is what to do with "Class Two" loans held by a failed or rescued bank. Those are loans that the bank itself has determined require more care than usual obligations.
"Class One" healthy loans would be transferred to a takeover bank or be maintained by a bridge bank until a private buyer was found. Current law already provides for "Class Three" loans, those about which a bank has "grave concern", and "Class Four" loans, those it deems irrecoverable, to be transferred to the Resolution and Collection Bank.
Hashimoto said the government would urge financial institutions to disclose their bad loans and their restructuring plans, and that the bridge bank must have a strict inspection function.
The meeting was attended by Finance Minister Hikaru Matsunaga, LDP policy chief Taku Yamasaki and the head of the party panel examining the bridge bank issue, Okiharu Yasuoka.
Matsunaga told a regular news conference: "There is still a credit-crunch problem for small- and medium-sized firms, and the problem of bad loans at financial institutions exists as an obstacle."
He said it was important to swiftly dispose of the bad loans, adding that government needed to strengthen the financial sector to regain confidence from overseas. This was an important factor in overcoming Japan's severe economic conditions, Matsunaga added.
Major Pacific Rim markets, with the exception of Singapore, enjoyed a day of soaring investor confidence based in large part on a firmer yen and further developments in Japan's "bridge bank" plan.
Australia enjoyed a boost thanks in great measure to a jump in Rupert Murdoch's News Corp. shares. Hong Kong stocks moved up on the strength of Tokyo and a recovering yen.
In Tokyo, stocks soared more than 3 percent news that Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto had ordered the government and his party to consider a U.S.-style "bridge bank" to clean up Japan's bad-loan mess inspired investor confidence, brokers said.
As a result, the key 225 Nikkei average surged 464.54 points, or 3.02 percent, to close at 15,830.27. Nikkei September futures ended 260 points higher at 15,650.
Hopes that the Japanese government will finally try to solve its own problems, particularly its estimated 77 trillion yen in bad loans, were also boosted by speculation that a permanent income tax cut may be in the offing, they said.
"Stocks have been sold recently due to the slowness of Japan's policy-making, but people on the sell side are starting to hold back," said Masaaki Higashida, deputy general manager at Nomura Securities Co. Ltd.
Gains were led by bank shares and the Nikkei futures.
"Japan is now addressing the biggest single impediment to economic recovery -- the bad debts," said Coen Kluyver, manager of foreign institutional sales at ING Baring Securities.
Hashimoto's LDP will produce a draft bridge bank plan on Thursday.
Shares in many banks gained amid hopes for a healthier financial system. But Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan slipped 16 yen to 81. Traders said this was because the future of the bank, which is in merger talks with Sumitomo Trust & Banking, remained unclear. Sumitomo Trust was up 10 at 620.
  Hong Kong stocks, boosted by the strength of Tokyo shares and a recovery of the yen, closed higher on Tuesday, but gains were pared as traders locked in profits ahead of a public holiday Wednesday, brokers said.
The Hang Seng Index ended up 82.39 points, or 0.97 percent, at 8,543.10 after retreating from a day high of 8,660.13.
The steadier yen triggered light window- dressing by institutional investors ahead of the half year end, said Sunny Chan, senior research manager at Seapower Securities.
"Buying continued in the afternoon to support stock prices, creating a better market atmosphere to welcome political leaders who visit Hong Kong," he said.
Sentiment improved on anticipation that Japan was pushing ahead with plans to clear out bad loans in its financial system, but investors were sidelined for further announcements expected from Japan next week, brokers said.
The yen was quoted at 139.83 to the U.S. dollar in late afternoon after recovering from below 142 in early trade.
Chinese President Jiang Zemin arrived in Hong Kong on Tuesday to attend celebrations to mark the first anniversary of this territory's return to China after more than 150 years of British rule. U.S. President Bill Clinton will arrive in Hong Kong for the last stop of his nine-day China visit on Thursday.
The market will close on Wednesday and reopen on Thursday.


Wednesday July 1.
    A stronger yen and optimism about Japan's moves to help the economy fueled a 3.4 percent rise in the Nikkei and led the way for significant gains in Asia's other major markets.  The exception was Hong Kong, where the stock exchange was closed Wednesday for a holiday.  The Tokyo stock market's key index closed above the key 16,000 level for the first time in two months. The key benchmark Nikkei 225 average surged 532.62 points, or 3.36 percent, to end at 16,362.89.
Brokers said that if trading volume remained heavy and the market maintained its energy, the stock average could head to even higher levels.
Banks and brokerages continued to dominate activity ahead of the expected release Thursday of a plan by the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) for a "bridge bank" to help work problem loans out of the financial system.
"People are hoping the LDP will announce something else in addition to its bridge bank plans, including further tax cuts," said Ken Okamura, strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort Benson.
The optimism helped fuel the yen against the dollar. The dollar fell below 138 yen in late trade in Asia trading Wednesday, down more than 2 yen from the previous day's session.
Activity in the equity market was heavy with 876 million shares changing hands on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), sharply up from 576 million shares on Tuesday.
The Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan, which has entered into merger talks Sumitomo Trust & Banking, lost five yen to close at 76. Sumitomo Trust rose 58 yen to end at 678.
Other indices also got a steep lift. The TOPIX index of all first section shares was up 40.37 points, or 3.28 percent, to 1,270.75. The capitalization-weighted Nikkei 300 was up 8.75 points, or 3.59 percent, to 252.52.
  Share prices jumped 5.9 percent Wednesday on the Seoul stock exchange on the back of a stronger Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar.  The composite stock price index soared 17.68 points to close at 315.56.  Local dealers also attributed the increase to reports that the operations of five ailing banks, which were given shutdown orders on Monday, were normalizing.  According to the Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC), for the past two days bank employees hampered the process of merging the five banks with healthier institutions by blocking the access to computer systems and other means.
  Singapore share prices bounced off early lows to end nearly 3 percent higher on Wednesday, boosted by yen strength and a surge in Japan's key Nikkei stock index.
The benchmark Straits Times Industrials Index closed up or 28.44 points, or 2.67 percent, at 1,095.10.
Dealers said the day's gains were due to a confluence of several factors -- gains in the yen, the Nikkei's strength, as well as fresh funds entering the Singapore market at the start of a new quarter.
"The yen's gain is the main reason, plus the rest of the region is also up," said an institutional dealer with a large local bank.
Market players said morning dealings were dismal and trading only revived in the afternoon when fairly aggressive buying emerged.
Volume was an estimated 159.09 million shares with gainers outnumbering losers 233 to 101 and 77 counters left unchanged.
Gains were seen largely in blue chip shares with banking and property stocks taking the lead. Dealers said the counters were seen to be fairly valued at current levels after recent falls.

The End

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