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Teleconnections The relationship between El Niņo events and climatic variations in the Equatorial Pacific region is extremely strong and well-documented. The relationship outside this area is harder to prove. Weather anomalies occur all over the globe every year, but some do tend to recur with most or all El Nino events and are referred to as teleconnections. The Pacific weather system covers about 25% of the world's surface area, therefore it shouldn't be surprising that this system can affect weather in all parts of the world.
The first investigations of El Niņo teleconnections were carried out after the strong El Niņo of 1957. One result was the development of a model of the Equatorial atmosphere, comprising three major convective cells over the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Ocean. In each, warm moist air - characterized by clouds and rain - rises to a height of about 12 km, cools, and then lowers as cold, dry air. These "Walker Cells", named after the father of El Niņo - Sir Gilbert Walker, are the engines of atmoshperic circulation. Normally, the rising currents of warm air in the cells are situated over Indonesia, Africa, and the Amazon; the cold, dry air descends over the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceas, as shown in the figure below.
Recent studies have confirmed that ther are correlations in many othe areas of the world between changes in rainfall and El Niņo events. Correlations are strong in the following areas: the central Pacific and the south-east of South America have above-average rainfall during El Niņo months, as does Equatorial eastern Africa. Rainfall is well below average during El Niņo over Papua New Guinea, northern, eastern, and central Australia; north-eastern South America; and India and south-eastern Africa. Clearly, the potential payoff to
societies of research that identifies robust teleconnections far outweighs the costs
associated with searching for them.
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