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Bjerknes puts it together
It took another 50 years, but in the late 1960s a Norwegian meteorologist, Jacob Bjerknes, put the whole picture together. As a professor at the University of California, he was the first to see a connection between unusually warm sea-surface temperatures and the weak easterlies and heavy rainfall that accompany low-index conditions. Ultimately, Bjerknes' discovery led to the recognition that the warm waters of El Niņo and the pressure seesaw of Walker's Southern Oscillation are part and parcel of the same phenomenon -- sometimes referred to by the acronym ENSO. Advances in the last two decades More and more resources were brought to bear on the phenomenon, and scientists continued to collect data and document the weather. It wasn't until the advent of high speed computers, though, that the complex interactions and massive amounts of data could be put together to provide a really clear picture of the phenomenon. Even so, the 1982-83 El Niņo, widely recognized as the most
severe of the 20th century, caught scientists by surprise. Unlike the El Niņos of the
previous three decades, it was not preceded by a period of stronger than normal easterlies
on the equator, and it took place later in the calendar year than usual.
The good news from the scientific point of view, even though it wasn't recognized as an El Niņo until it was half over, was that it created effects on the climate that couldn't be missed. North America experienced wildly unusual weather throughout 1983, Australia experienced massive drought and devastating bushfires; it was one of the worst periods for drought in the sub-Sahelian countries and the monsoons failed in the Indian Ocean. Total damages were estimated at somewhere between $8 billion and $13 billion and 2,000 lives were lost. It caught the weatherman's attention, so to speak. After the 1982-83 humdinger, there was a minor respite, followed by El Niņos in 1986-1987, and in an unusual break with tradition, 1990 to mid-1995, the longest in 130 years of recordkeeping. In 1988-1989, there was a La Niņa, which occurs after some (but not all) El Niņo years.
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