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La Niņa
It's Effects

La Niņa features colder than normal sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean. La Niņa often implies drier than normal conditions in the Southwest in late summer, the Southwest and central Plains in the fall and the Southwest and Southeast in the winter.

In contrast, the Pacific Northwest is likely to be wetter than normal in the late fall and early winter with the presence of a well-established La Niņa.

Temperature wise, La Niņa winters are usually warmer than normal in the Southeast and colder than normal in the Northwest.



La Niņa can bring a wet and cold early winter to the Northwest US, a something skiiers want to hear.

The long-term climate outlook issued by NOAA this week calls for warm and dry conditions in the Southwest during July, August and September, and continuing through the fall and winter. This is of particular concern because the area encompassing Arizona, New Mexico and much of Texas is already quite dry.

The Gulf Coast states to east of Texas, also currently quite dry, are forecast to have normal chances of precipitation in the summer months.

According NOAA , cool conditions will prevail during the next three months in the northern Great Plains. Dry conditions are expected for interior Washington and Oregon during that time. The dryness forecast for the Southwest is expected to also extend into the central Great Plains in the fall and later into the Southeast in the late fall and winter.

Researchers from Texas Tech University say current drought conditions across the southern region of the United States may continue straight through the winter months, meaning less chance of rain, dried-up farm fields and dismal prospects for 1999 agricultural crops. The main reason: La Niņa.

La Niņa's effect could mean an economic diaster for the southern US.

The sister of El Niņo, La Niņa will have an opposite effect on southern states than El Niņo, making for the potential of an economic disaster.

Warmer and dryer are not what the south needs at this point. With very little rain during the past few months, conditions for farmers are worsening by the day while the potential for wildfires, like the ones in Florida, continues to grow. The warmer and dryer conditions also affect the average person who is trying to keep his or her lawn or garden in top-notch shape.

One hope for rain is the effect La Niņa could have on this year's hurricane season. The cooling of the eastern Pacific Ocean by La Niņa could make for a severe hurricane season along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts. For southeast states along the Atlantic Ocean that may be a bittersweet pill to swallow. However, the last hurricane that blew into the Gulf of Mexico and affected Texas and adjacent states was Hurricane Gilbert in 1988, meaning as always, the possibility is slim to none.

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Sign up for our El Niņo newsletter which will contain the most updated information about La Niņa. The 1998-99 La Niņa is predicted to be quite strong. Thus, if you live in any of the areas that have been affected by El Niņo or will be affected by La Niņa, sign up for our newsletter to receive the most updated information including links to where you can find more information. If you wish, let us know at 20901@advanced.org , and we will mail a different language version of our newsletter just for you. (The default version is English.)

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