La Niņa Information

Introduction

This page deals with another weather phenomenon, La Niņa. La Niņa is very different from El Niņo but there are some obvious similarities between the two. What is La Niņa? provides a basic definition of this phenomenon and a picture of the anomaly. What does La Niņa mean gives the Spanish translation of the name. La Niņa's global climatic impact describes how La Niņa's impact is felt. How does La Niņa form? provides a the steps involved in the creation of a La Niņa. 1998-99 La Niņa? discusses the possibility of a La Niņa event this year, and Chart of La Niņas since 1925 gives the dates of past La Niņas.

What is La Niņa?

La Niņa is the cold counterpart of El Niņo, meaning sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific drop below normal. La Niņas form after some, but not all, El Niņos, and therefore occurs less frequently than El Niņo.

88/89 La Nina
Picture of 1988/89 La Niņa where the blue represents below average temperatures

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What does La Niņa mean?

La Niņa means "The Little Girl" and has a variety of names. La Niņa, El Viejo, and anti-El Niņo all refer to this cold event.

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La Niņa's global climatic impact

La Niņa's impact on climate is about the opposite of El Niņo's impact. Like El Niņo, La Niņa's impact is best seen during winter. During a La Niņa winter, winter temperatures are warmer in the Southeast while temperatures are cooler from the Great Lakes to the Pacific Northwest. Winters in the Northeast and Middle Atlantic vary. For example, the 1988 La Niņa has been tied, although inconclusively, to floods in Bangladesh and droughts in the Midwest.

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How does La Niņa form?

La Niņa can only form after an El Niņo. During an El Niņo, types of waves, not beach waves, but massive movements of energy through water, are formed. They are Kelvin waves and Rossby waves. As Kelvin waves are formed, they push cold water down, which initially causes the ocean to warm. At the same time, another series of waves, Rossby waves, also form under water. They roll towards Asia and Australia. When the waves hit the coast, they reverse and head back towards South America. As the Rossby waves return, they leave cold water closer to the surface. If they bring back just enough cold water, the ocean temperatures return to normal, but sometimes they bring back to much, causing a La Niņa after an El Niņo.

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1998-99 La Niņa?

Many of the models which correctly predicted that EL Niņo would weaken by May, also predicted that it would be followed by a La Niņa. As this year's El Niņo weakens, there are already indications that it will lead to a La Niņa.


Beginnings of the possible 1998-99 La Niņa

As can be seen from the picture above, there is already a pool of cold water forming on the equator in El Niņo's wake. If a La Niņa does actually form, it would most likely be weak. One reason for this is that powerful La Niņas in the past have already begun to cool water in the Pacific by June. As of June, water temperature is still above average. Also, following the 1982/83 El Niņo, a weak La Niņa was present. Therefore, expect the impact of a weak La Niņa in the winter.

Chart of La Niņas since 1925:

Years of onset of strong or moderate La Niņa (Cold Phase) events

1930's 1940's 1950's 1960's 1970's 1980's 1990's
1938 ---- 1950 1964 1970 1988 1995
    1955   1971   1998
    1956   1973    
        1975    

A year is defined as cold phase from October of that year to September of the next. For example, 1988 means a cold phase from October 1988 to September 1989.

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