Winter Forecast vs. Actual Events
U.S.
Winter Comparison
Introduction:
This page will serve as a comparison between the Winter Forecast, created in early November, posted on a previous page and the actual weather experienced this winter. The comparison will be done by comparing historical data, averages for the past 30 years, in temperature, precipitation, and snowfall for a station in a region to the data collected this winter. Winter will be considered from November and March, inclusive. Please click on a region to see a station comparison.
Regional
Comparison Image Map - click on a state or region to find a
Comparison
Prediction: Numerous near misses of snowstorms, but possibly one or two big ones. If North Atlantic blocking continues then temperatures will be below average, but expect periodic warm-ups.
Reporting Station: New York, New York
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Prediction: With the similarities between this El Niņo and the '77/78 and '87/88, temperatures should be around normal, with precipitation and snowfall either near or above average. But this region will probably experience both warm and cold spells, with both snowy and dry periods.
Reporting Station: Buffalo, New York
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Prediction: The region will be relatively wet with above average snowfall, with possibly a big storm. Temperatures should be below average.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: Winter in this region will most likely be dry and cool, with a possible snow or ice threat.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: This should be a wet and stormy winter and spring. There is the possibility of some severe weather events.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: This area will probably experience normal temperatures with slightly below average precipitation. Also, the interior could experience an ice or snow storm if there is enough cold air.
Reporting Station: New Orleans, Louisiana
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Prediction: This region will most likely have below average temperatures and precipitation, with the possibility of above average snowfall.
Reporting Station: Indianapolis, Indiana
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Prediction: The region will probably experience both warm and cold spells, with snowy periods in-between. El Niņo's with the most similarity to this one, '77/78, '87/88, created cold and snowy winters, compared to '82/83 with average temperatures, precipitation, and snowfall.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Final Prediction: This region will likely experience near or above average temperatures, with below average precipitation. Snowfall will be below average, even with the heavy spring blizzards that have been observed in the past few El Niņos.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: Temperatures will likely be average to above average and precipitation will be average to below average in the northwest. In the southeast, precipitation will be slightly above average.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: This region will likely be wet and cool, including some powerful storms with sever weather during the end of winter and early spring. Mostly likely, a southerly jet stream will dominate due to very warm waters off the eastern Pacific.
Reporting Station: Dallas, Texas
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Predictions: With the big El Niņos all creating above average precipitation, this year will likely follow this pattern. Temperatures will also be above average.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: This region will experience both above average temperatures and precipitation, with the heaviest precipitation over the south.
Reporting Station: Salt Lake City, Utah
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Prediction: With this strong El Niņo, the region will have above average precipitation.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: This year will be both mild and wet. The strong Pacific low should bring heavy rain and wind to the north and a southern jet stream should bring tropical heat and moisture to the south. Also, there will be an increase of mountain snow.
This Winter's Data was Unavailable.
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Prediction: Alaska will have above average temperatures, with precipitation varying upon location. Hawaii on the other hand will be drier and cooler then usual. There is also a possibility of an out of season storm system.
Reporting Station: Anchorage, Alaska
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