Nicaragua and US Policy
The election of conservative Arnoldo Aleman, former mayor of Managua, as president of Nicaragua is unlikely to cause any decisive change in US- Nicaraguan relations. US embassy officials took care not to openly support one party over another in the October 1996 elections--in contrast to the 1990 elections, when the US invested several million dollars in Violeta Chamorro's campaign. But US policy-makers surely breathed a collective sigh of relief when Aleman defeated FSLN candidate and former president Daniel Ortega.
Aleman, while officially receiving more than 50% of the vote, must overcome serious allegations of electoral fraud implicating members of his Liberal Alliance. For Nicaraguans, Aleman's election poses a serious question: Will the combative Aleman reach out to all sides in this still- divided country, or will he govern along the lines of his vehemently anti- Sandinista rhetoric? US Nicaraguan relations have been rocky ever since the end of the US sponsored war against the Sandinista government. When the US-backed Violeta Chamorro scored an upset victory in the 1990 Nicaraguan elections, her administration had cause to believe that bilateral relations with Washington would be smooth sailing. After years of divisive political battles over US support for efforts to overthrow the leftist, nationalist Sandinistas, members of Congress on both sides of the aisle welcomed her victory and quickly approved a $300 million aid package.
Chamorro's honeymoon was short, however, both within Nicaragua and with Washington. The multiparty UNO coalition that elected her fractured over two major issues: Chamorro's pragmatic agreement with former Sandinista army leaders and her refusal to immediately return properties confiscated through the Sandinistas' land reform. Unwilling to throw some 120,000 peasant families off confiscated lands, the Chamorro government searched for a compromise.
Echoing the concerns of Nicaraguan conservatives, conflicts immediately arose between the Chamorro administration and certain congressional Republicans in Washington, led by Senator Jesse Helms (NC), who demanded the immediate return of confiscated property to US citizens. Many of these US citizens, holding some 1500 claims, are naturalized Nicaraguan-Americans who took US citizenship after their property was confiscated. Helms and his supporters viewed Nicaraguan property issues as a precedent for property rights worldwide, particularly in post-Castro Cuba. US-Nicaraguan conflicts over property resulted in temporary aid freezes during both the Bush and Clinton administrations.
The Bush administration correctly deplored human rights violations against ex-contras and the Chamorro government's frustrating lack of progress in investigating and prosecuting these cases. Yet they ignored the equally deplorable killing of Sandinista-affiliated farmers and ex- soldiers, sending a message that the United States only supported human rights of one side.
The Bush administration also used US leverage to hastily return Nicaragua to the free-market path. US aid, which totaled some $440 million in the first two years, was tied directly to meeting the conditions of an unusually strict structural adjustment plan. The US Agency for International Development (AID) worked closely with the IMF and World Bank in prodding the Nicaraguan government to downsize the public sector, restrict rural credit, privatize public-sector industries, and change laws to favor foreign investment. US aid for development projects was channeled solely to anti-Sandinista organizations, with the explicit purpose of undermining what US officials term "Sandinista control" over the populace.
Recognizing the unhealthy historical dynamic of US entanglement in Nicaraguan internal affairs, Clinton's officials set a tone of greater disengagement from Nicaraguan political debates and divisions.
PROBLEMS WITH CURRENT US POLICY
The Clinton administration's approach to Nicaragua represents an improvement over Washington's historically divisive role in Nicaragua. In particular, attempts to distance the United States from internal Nicaraguan divisions, the embassy's willingness to talk to representatives from all sides, and AID's efforts to diversify its funding portfolio to include a wider range of organizations (such as the Sandinista-linked farmers union, UNAG), represent a welcome departure from traditional US policy.
But Clinton's policy deviation has only been partial. The administration's neutral posture slipped on the eve of the 1996 presidential election as the FSLN appeared to be gaining in the polls. In remarks widely circulated in Nicaragua, a State Department spokesmen declared that Ortega was not a democrat, and US officials demanded that the FSLN withdraw a television ad showing Ortega standing with a US congressman.
In addition, most US diplomatic and funding contacts were formed during the Bush administration, and the majority of non-governmental organizations chosen as aid recipients are still drawn from conservative circles. Certain AID-funded subcontractors still promote a polarizing message, despite AID's efforts to initiate a change of direction.
Following a sorry US tradition of abandoning proxy forces once US interest wanes, either Bush nor Clinton seriously addressed the postwar plight of Washington's contra allies. Instead, US assistance to Nicaragua fell steeply, from $147 million in 1993 to $25.7 million I 1997.
Like its predecessor, the Clinton administration offers entrance into NAFTA as the panacea for Nicaragua's problems. In the meantime, however, no major rethinking of the harsh structural adjustment pursued in post- war Nicaragua has occurred. Additionally, while AID no longer plays a strong role in imposing economic adjustments in Nicaragua, Clinton appointees to the IMF and World Bank continue to support a strict adjustment plan.
The intensity of the structural adjustment program (pursued with US support) has been particularly inappropriate for postwar recovery. While some public sector downsizing and some privatization was necessary to control inflation and stabilize the economy, the pace and extent of these efforts were ideologically driven. Sharp cutbacks in rural credit slowed the economy's recovery and contributed to greater inequality. Rapid lifting of trade barriers undermined Nicaragua's small and medium-size producers. Under/unemployment hovered at above 50%; real GDP growth was negative from 1991-1993, rising to 3.% in 1994. The percentage of the population in poverty increased, while some sectors--including certain government officials--prospered.
Along with the harsh and unequal economic impact, structural adjustment has affected the progress of national reconciliation. IMF demands limited the government's options for reaching compromises with all factions and at times escalated tensions to the boiling point. Cutbacks in rural credit and ongoing property conflicts affected a volatile group: ex-contra fighters and discharged army troops. Lacking the secure land titles, credit, and technical assistance needed to make the difficult transition back to civilian life, members of both sides took up arms again, but they have since laid down their weapons.
Politically, the Clinton administration has had to wage a defensive battle regarding its Nicaragua policy in response to Republican critics. Senator Helms and his allies have hounded the administration to vigorously purse property compensation for US citizens, at times attaching language to legislation governing aid, multilateral loans, and debt relief. Despite a near consensus by Nicaraguans to allow small farmers and the urban poor to keep their properties, to require individuals who received large properties either to return them or pay for them, and to offer bonds as compensation to those who had their property confiscated, Senator Helms' resistance to any compromise on the property issue has inhibited resolution of these highly divisive conflicts. The property issue as also preempted the Clinton administration's attention to human rights and other important matters.
Other problems with US policy include the emphasis on free trade and the continuing focus on the divisive property issue. Like Bush, President Clinton holds out entrance to a hemispheric free trade bloc as a panacea for Nicaragua's severe economic problems. And under pressure from Senator Helms, the Clinton Administration focuses on property cases to the detriment of other priorities. Following a sorry US tradition of abandoning proxy forces once US interest wanes, neither the Bush nor Clinton administration has taken measures to help the postwar plight of the contra troops.
US policy has done little to resolve the unmanageable burden of Nicaragua's debt, one of the highest per capita debts in the world. Never very large, Nicaragua's debt with the US is now negligible, all but $100 million having been forgiven by the Bush administration when Chamorro took power. But US officials could have more actively advocated pardoning more of Nicaragua's debt. They could also have funded Nicaraguan efforts to buy back commercial debt and urged the international financial institutions to grant multilateral debt relief.
TOWARD A NEW FOREIGN POLICY
US policy should support Nicaraguan efforts to build workable, fair compromises that allow formerly polarized factions to live together in harmony, and should urge all Nicaraguans to adhere to democratic processes. The US should supply assistance and support international loans, programs, and debt relief to help the poorest Nicaraguans, thereby contributing to a sound, equitable, and sustainable economy.
Specific recommendations include the following:
US policy should support democratic processes and institutions in Nicaragua rather than championing particular factions. The US should encourage Nicaraguans to resolve their disputes among themselves and not seek US endorsement for particular candidates or parties.
US policy should emphasize the importance of consensus-building efforts in Nicaragua. US aid should include support for unifying activities and joint projects among former antagonists.
Washington should support the emerging consensus among Nicaraguans on a compromise solution over the divisive property issue, whereby small farmers and the urban poor would be able to keep their properties, while bonds would be offered to compensate those who lost property. Disproportionate pressure to return or compensate US property owners does not contribute to the democracy and consensus in Nicaragua.
US policy should emphasize human rights by supporting and funding a human rights ombudsman's office. Washington's human rights policy toward Nicaragua needs to continue its departure from the partisan perspectives of the past.
The US aid program in Nicaragua should increase its support for small farmers and microenterprises, including cooperatives, through technical assistance, revolving credit programs, and the establishment of savings and loans institutions. AID still needs to make progress in funding a more diverse range of non-governmental organizations and in encouraging Nicaraguan organizations to work together. Health and environmental programs should be continued. Washington has cut its economic aid too rapidly, especially given its moral obligations to help rebuild postwar Nicaragua.
Washington should support Nicaragua's efforts to reduce its crippling debt by forgiving the minimal amount of bilateral debt Nicaragua owes to the United States. Additionally, the US government should recognize--and urge other governments and financial institutions to recognize--that Nicaragua has an unsustainable debt burden. The US should then advocate generous repayment terms, including substantial debt stock reduction.
US representatives to the international financial institutions should thoroughly review all structural adjustment and sectional loans to Nicaragua to ensure that these loans will stimulate broad-based economic reactivation. Loan conditions should not increase high levels of unemployment, harm poor people, restrict credit to small farmers, or contradict internationally recognized labor rights--all serious concerns regarding conditionally on recent loans.
US trade policy should recognize Nicaragua's lack of competitiveness, ensure protection for national production, and it should emphasize the importance of respect for internationally recognized labor rights.
Reprinted from: Foreign Policy In Focus, Lisa Haugaard, Vol. 2 No. 32, March 1997 (Public Domain)