| The Cycle of an Epidemic |
An epidemic hits a population, runs its
course, and dies out. It disappears either because of a cure, or
everyone without immunity dies. In this way pockets of population
have disappeared again and again throughout history. Diseases
come into existence, change, and vanish. And some have always
been with us. Most diseases
are the result of change in our environment, behavior, or both.
AIDS has been hastened by promiscuous sexual practices and a
global transportation system. This increase of travel has brought
about the transmission of many diseases from one continent to
another, even centuries ago. Ships hastened the spread of Black
Death, bubonic plague and smallpox, and airplanes have hastened
the spread of newer diseases. Increasingly dense masses of
humanity have made a rich target for the fast spread of disease,
leaving sparse population in its wake. And thus the cycle has
continued.
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Where epidemics in the past came about as the environment degraded, the trend seems to have changed. Lyme disease sprouted up in a recovering environment. The tics that were found to carry the disease are carried by deer that inhabit suburban areas and second-growth forests. Legionnaires disease was found in a protected environment of air conditioning and hot-water systems. AIDS has spread through advancements such as hypodermics, blood transfusions, tissue transplants, and changes in sexual behavior. New epidemics come into existence, change, and vanish. Most disease is the result of change in our environment, behavior, or both. |
Sparks
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Water
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In many ways the cycle of an epidemic is like a fire. Our population is the kindling, waiting to burn. One spark starts the fire. Steps are taken to put it out. In red are the "sparks" that start an epidemic. In blue are the steps to quenching the "flames."